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Guessing Very Best
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Guessing Very Best, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 30, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of PLTR

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Guessing Very Best
0.59%-3.45%-6.25%-11.29%30.79%42.81%27.54%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.93%-1.47%-4.88%-6.08%60.69%85.17%66.71%70.07%
OGE
OGE Energy Corp.
1.04%-0.12%15.34%9.37%9.25%14.26%13.26%9.94%
TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
-2.76%-11.45%1.37%-32.22%-40.72%-10.36%-17.81%11.46%
ETR
Entergy Corporation
1.16%8.59%25.13%24.43%36.30%33.64%22.55%15.66%
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
-1.58%-5.78%13.59%-43.33%-38.32%-12.43%-8.52%
HSIC
Henry Schein, Inc.
1.23%-7.82%-2.17%11.98%6.77%-3.32%1.49%0.91%
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
-1.18%1.77%29.58%46.95%20.77%0.65%14.42%-0.96%
ECL
Ecolab Inc.
-1.95%-11.21%0.94%-3.02%5.27%17.99%5.19%10.14%
CSGP
CoStar Group, Inc.
0.81%-14.60%-40.59%-52.38%-50.01%-16.56%-14.24%8.01%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
1.11%-7.54%-22.60%-27.29%-1.52%10.00%9.94%22.58%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 1, 2020, Guessing Very Best's average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.43%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +21.1%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -13.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Guessing Very Best closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +13.2%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -8.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-2.72%-2.19%-2.28%0.83%-6.25%
2025-0.48%1.32%-6.65%5.88%13.49%9.32%7.56%-0.55%5.95%5.27%-11.91%3.23%34.14%
20245.54%16.46%8.00%-4.39%10.99%6.54%0.29%2.40%3.82%5.43%12.14%-3.16%83.21%
20239.31%0.49%5.75%-0.28%5.95%8.03%7.04%0.14%-5.78%-3.50%9.66%4.61%48.24%
2022-10.64%-1.36%3.90%-13.77%2.42%-10.20%9.48%-7.42%-8.96%12.75%9.51%-4.48%-20.94%
20217.09%-3.63%0.71%5.59%0.68%5.92%-1.26%6.70%-5.77%9.04%3.63%0.52%31.96%

Benchmark Metrics

Guessing Very Best has an annualized alpha of 13.31%, beta of 1.27, and R² of 0.69 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 01, 2020.

  • This portfolio captured 148.59% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 79.99% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 13.31% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
13.31%
Beta
1.27
0.69
Upside Capture
148.59%
Downside Capture
79.99%

Expense Ratio

Guessing Very Best has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


The portfolio doesn't include any funds that charge management fees.

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Guessing Very Best ranks 30 for risk / return — below 30% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


Guessing Very Best Risk / Return Rank: 3030
Overall Rank
Guessing Very Best Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3434
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Guessing Very Best Sortino Ratio Rank: 3636
Sortino Ratio Rank
Guessing Very Best Omega Ratio Rank: 2626
Omega Ratio Rank
Guessing Very Best Calmar Ratio Rank: 3838
Calmar Ratio Rank
Guessing Very Best Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.04

0.88

+0.16

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.60

1.37

+0.24

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.21

1.21

0.00

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.61

1.39

+0.22

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

3.85

6.43

-2.59


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
811.472.171.273.027.54
OGE
OGE Energy Corp.
560.570.861.111.022.18
TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
12-0.79-0.920.86-0.70-1.27
ETR
Entergy Corporation
861.762.351.324.3111.30
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
18-0.56-0.210.94-0.66-1.23
HSIC
Henry Schein, Inc.
460.240.561.070.420.96
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
550.520.981.130.851.45
ECL
Ecolab Inc.
450.250.481.060.300.86
CSGP
CoStar Group, Inc.
4-1.26-1.820.74-0.84-1.77
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
35-0.060.111.01-0.05-0.12

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Guessing Very Best Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.04
  • 5-Year: 1.06
  • All Time: 1.18

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Guessing Very Best compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Guessing Very Best provided a 1.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.17%1.31%1.28%1.44%1.30%1.25%1.52%1.37%1.50%1.34%1.41%1.61%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.02%0.02%0.03%0.03%0.11%0.05%0.12%0.27%0.46%0.29%0.45%1.20%
OGE
OGE Energy Corp.
3.47%3.95%4.06%4.75%4.16%4.21%4.91%3.33%3.48%3.77%3.37%3.90%
TREX
Trex Company, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ETR
Entergy Corporation
2.16%2.64%3.03%4.29%3.64%3.43%3.75%3.06%4.16%4.30%4.65%4.89%
DD
DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
2.68%3.56%1.99%1.87%1.92%1.49%1.69%0.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
HSIC
Henry Schein, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SLB
Schlumberger Limited
2.33%2.97%2.87%1.92%1.22%2.09%4.01%4.98%5.54%2.97%2.38%2.87%
ECL
Ecolab Inc.
1.04%1.02%1.01%1.09%1.42%0.83%0.87%0.96%1.15%1.13%1.21%1.17%
CSGP
CoStar Group, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
0.93%0.70%0.73%0.74%1.06%0.68%0.94%1.20%1.69%1.86%2.37%2.33%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Guessing Very Best. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Guessing Very Best was 35.04%, occurring on Sep 30, 2022. Recovery took 175 trading sessions.

The current Guessing Very Best drawdown is 16.40%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-35.04%Nov 22, 2021216Sep 30, 2022175Jun 13, 2023391
-26.66%Feb 19, 202533Apr 4, 202540Jun 3, 202573
-19.99%Oct 30, 202567Feb 5, 2026
-13.36%Jun 20, 202432Aug 5, 202410Aug 19, 202442
-12.67%Feb 10, 202118Mar 8, 202167Jun 11, 202185

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 12.50, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkABBVSLBETROGESPOTHSICAXONPLTREXPOCSGPNVDAMSFTDDTREXECLPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.280.340.310.310.460.420.480.530.510.540.680.740.610.600.620.82
ABBV0.281.000.160.260.270.000.320.040.010.210.170.030.120.260.150.260.16
SLB0.340.161.000.110.170.050.290.090.130.240.140.130.060.460.250.190.31
ETR0.310.260.111.000.730.020.270.050.050.250.200.020.160.260.170.360.20
OGE0.310.270.170.731.000.010.310.060.030.300.23-0.000.120.290.200.390.18
SPOT0.460.000.050.020.011.000.110.420.460.160.340.450.420.200.330.260.49
HSIC0.420.320.290.270.310.111.000.130.120.390.310.120.180.430.340.410.28
AXON0.480.040.090.050.060.420.131.000.520.290.370.430.410.240.390.280.60
PLTR0.530.010.130.050.030.460.120.521.000.260.350.490.430.270.380.260.67
EXPO0.510.210.240.250.300.160.390.290.261.000.380.240.290.410.420.430.42
CSGP0.540.170.140.200.230.340.310.370.350.381.000.340.440.330.440.420.44
NVDA0.680.030.130.02-0.000.450.120.430.490.240.341.000.620.320.410.290.84
MSFT0.740.120.060.160.120.420.180.410.430.290.440.621.000.320.390.390.63
DD0.610.260.460.260.290.200.430.240.270.410.330.320.321.000.500.530.49
TREX0.600.150.250.170.200.330.340.390.380.420.440.410.390.501.000.490.55
ECL0.620.260.190.360.390.260.410.280.260.430.420.290.390.530.491.000.45
Portfolio0.820.160.310.200.180.490.280.600.670.420.440.840.630.490.550.451.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Oct 1, 2020