Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
APP AppLovin Corporation | Technology | 0.74% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 4.58% |
AXP American Express Company | Financial Services | 5.98% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 15.98% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | Industrials | 10.66% |
ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | Financial Services | 9.46% |
GE General Electric Company | Industrials | 6.02% |
KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | Financial Services | 5.21% |
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | Technology | 10.17% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | Technology | 3.05% |
NTRA Natera, Inc. | Healthcare | 2.52% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 1.68% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 12.63% |
SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. | Communication Services | 3.22% |
TT Trane Technologies plc | Industrials | 8.10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Magnum Experiment 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 15, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of APP
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio Magnum Experiment 2 | -0.07% | -7.84% | -4.49% | -10.97% | -5.19% | 31.05% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.01% | -0.62% | 15.72% | 8.94% | 4.99% | 27.83% | 24.29% | 22.28% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | -2.46% | -9.40% | -9.70% | -16.53% | -27.58% | 13.94% | 17.76% | 21.80% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 1.71% | -14.66% | -8.31% | -15.12% | -16.53% | 15.15% | 15.65% | 23.82% |
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | 0.04% | -10.46% | 13.55% | -4.42% | 0.66% | 16.17% | 19.59% | 20.85% |
ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | -1.72% | -7.41% | -13.39% | -20.09% | -38.88% | 3.81% | 3.90% | 12.64% |
TT Trane Technologies plc | 2.74% | -7.94% | 10.27% | 1.12% | 26.47% | 34.01% | 22.51% | 23.26% |
GE General Electric Company | 3.14% | -15.22% | -4.84% | -2.47% | 44.38% | 57.37% | 35.26% | 7.96% |
AXP American Express Company | -0.34% | -1.95% | -18.34% | -7.81% | 12.64% | 23.74% | 17.17% | 18.98% |
KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | -1.23% | 0.83% | -28.20% | -28.09% | -21.99% | 21.16% | 13.63% | 22.51% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -0.26% | -25.95% | -25.42% | -40.45% | -21.74% | 23.50% | 24.25% | 36.37% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 16, 2021, Magnum Experiment 2's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.90%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.1 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +16.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -11.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Magnum Experiment 2 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.23% | 3.41% | -7.79% | -0.07% | -4.49% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6.88% | 0.27% | -4.39% | 3.12% | 6.55% | 1.52% | -1.97% | 0.84% | -1.12% | -4.52% | -1.95% | -1.10% | 3.43% |
| 2024 | 4.47% | 13.47% | 7.92% | -1.05% | 5.24% | 1.70% | 5.96% | 8.65% | 4.63% | -1.00% | 16.16% | -9.54% | 69.79% |
| 2023 | 11.90% | 1.45% | 4.40% | -0.70% | -1.04% | 6.11% | 1.86% | 4.24% | -1.40% | 1.21% | 12.67% | 7.80% | 59.05% |
| 2022 | -8.02% | -2.61% | 4.00% | -11.29% | -0.09% | -5.24% | 13.88% | -0.78% | -7.61% | 11.88% | 7.14% | -7.75% | -9.68% |
| 2021 | -0.90% | 0.66% | 5.22% | 1.92% | 2.23% | -4.25% | 10.76% | -2.03% | 3.63% | 17.75% |
Benchmark Metrics
Magnum Experiment 2 has an annualized alpha of 13.55%, beta of 0.95, and R² of 0.75 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 16, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 137.00% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 79.82% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 13.55% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.95 and R² of 0.75, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 13.55%
- Beta
- 0.95
- R²
- 0.75
- Upside Capture
- 137.00%
- Downside Capture
- 79.82%
Expense Ratio
Magnum Experiment 2 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Magnum Experiment 2 ranks 3 for risk / return — in the bottom 3% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.26 | 0.92 | -1.17 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.26 | 1.41 | -1.67 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.97 | 1.21 | -0.25 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.23 | 1.41 | -1.64 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.52 | 6.61 | -7.13 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 46 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.11 | -1.45 | 0.82 | -0.93 | -1.50 |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 14 | -0.78 | -0.98 | 0.88 | -0.58 | -1.26 |
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | 38 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 1.03 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | 5 | -1.22 | -1.68 | 0.79 | -0.92 | -1.54 |
TT Trane Technologies plc | 67 | 0.90 | 1.42 | 1.19 | 1.41 | 2.84 |
GE General Electric Company | 79 | 1.37 | 1.84 | 1.26 | 2.25 | 8.02 |
AXP American Express Company | 53 | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.11 | 0.55 | 1.58 |
KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | 21 | -0.48 | -0.43 | 0.94 | -0.46 | -1.06 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 25 | -0.41 | -0.30 | 0.96 | -0.36 | -0.74 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Magnum Experiment 2 provided a 1.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.63% | 0.95% | 0.62% | 1.06% | 0.86% | 1.49% | 1.66% | 1.63% | 1.70% | 2.19% | 1.65% | 2.59% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.52% | 0.59% | 0.49% | 2.87% | 0.76% | 0.54% | 3.38% | 0.86% | 1.08% | 4.81% | 1.09% | 4.06% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.19% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 1.01% | 0.89% | 0.80% | 0.83% | 0.93% | 0.77% | 0.99% | 0.95% | 1.22% | 1.04% | 1.15% | 1.15% |
MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc. | 1.06% | 1.17% | 0.87% | 1.16% | 1.26% | 1.07% | 1.55% | 1.46% | 1.85% | 2.14% | 2.05% | 2.09% |
ERIE Erie Indemnity Company | 2.25% | 1.90% | 1.24% | 1.42% | 1.79% | 2.15% | 2.39% | 2.17% | 2.52% | 2.57% | 1.95% | 3.61% |
TT Trane Technologies plc | 0.90% | 0.97% | 0.91% | 1.23% | 1.59% | 1.17% | 1.46% | 1.59% | 2.15% | 1.91% | 1.81% | 2.10% |
GE General Electric Company | 0.53% | 0.47% | 0.67% | 0.25% | 0.38% | 0.34% | 0.37% | 4.12% | 4.89% | 4.81% | 2.94% | 2.95% |
AXP American Express Company | 1.09% | 0.85% | 0.91% | 1.24% | 1.35% | 1.05% | 1.42% | 1.29% | 1.51% | 1.32% | 1.61% | 1.58% |
KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | 0.81% | 0.57% | 0.47% | 0.78% | 1.31% | 0.77% | 1.31% | 1.71% | 3.23% | 3.18% | 4.16% | 10.13% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Magnum Experiment 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Magnum Experiment 2 was 27.53%, occurring on Jun 16, 2022. Recovery took 157 trading sessions.
The current Magnum Experiment 2 drawdown is 14.53%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.53% | Nov 15, 2021 | 148 | Jun 16, 2022 | 157 | Feb 1, 2023 | 305 |
| -16.04% | Dec 5, 2024 | 84 | Apr 8, 2025 | 26 | May 15, 2025 | 110 |
| -15.8% | Aug 13, 2025 | 157 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -5.88% | Oct 18, 2023 | 8 | Oct 27, 2023 | 5 | Nov 3, 2023 | 13 |
| -5.14% | Sep 3, 2021 | 19 | Sep 30, 2021 | 12 | Oct 18, 2021 | 31 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.68, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | PGR | ERIE | NTRA | MSTR | SPOT | COST | APP | AXON | MSI | GE | NVDA | AXP | CTAS | TT | KKR | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| PGR | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.46 |
| ERIE | 0.33 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| NTRA | 0.47 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| MSTR | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| SPOT | 0.48 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| COST | 0.53 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.52 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| APP | 0.53 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| AXON | 0.50 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| MSI | 0.56 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.45 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| GE | 0.57 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| NVDA | 0.69 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| AXP | 0.66 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| CTAS | 0.63 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| TT | 0.64 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.69 |
| KKR | 0.70 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| Portfolio | 0.81 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 1.00 |