Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in US Dalio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 2.51% | -0.19% | -0.92% | 0.43% | 36.13% | 18.22% | 10.44% | 12.72% |
Portfolio US Dalio | 2.75% | -1.99% | 6.91% | 14.39% | 53.60% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF | 2.74% | -6.35% | 10.59% | 34.85% | 202.66% | 48.96% | 20.22% | 17.69% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.63% | -8.04% | 9.64% | 16.72% | 57.90% | 32.57% | 21.62% | 13.88% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 2.32% | -13.79% | 4.73% | 51.41% | 148.60% | 43.38% | 23.58% | 16.52% |
EMXC iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF | 6.09% | 4.61% | 16.68% | 24.41% | 74.58% | 22.80% | 9.80% | — |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 4.46% | 2.49% | 5.10% | 4.76% | 45.59% | 15.34% | 4.90% | 8.36% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 0.04% | -0.64% | 0.90% | 0.60% | 4.67% | 2.98% | 1.51% | 2.61% |
VNQI Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF | 4.27% | -1.16% | 2.18% | 3.69% | 29.91% | 9.32% | 0.36% | 2.93% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 3.38% | 3.30% | -18.59% | -42.31% | -7.27% | — | — | — |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 4.19% | 3.07% | 8.75% | 13.55% | 53.27% | 18.15% | 9.45% | 10.00% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, US Dalio's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.07%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.8 years.
Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, US Dalio closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.7%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -6.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.38% | 6.81% | -9.88% | 3.44% | 6.91% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.14% | 0.78% | 3.70% | 2.70% | 2.30% | 3.92% | -0.43% | 4.54% | 6.92% | 2.01% | 2.94% | 4.26% | 44.78% |
| 2024 | -0.49% | 1.11% | 5.31% | -0.08% | 4.06% | -0.83% | 3.42% | 1.37% | 3.77% | -0.97% | -1.42% | -2.80% | 12.77% |
Benchmark Metrics
US Dalio has an annualized alpha of 19.54%, beta of 0.49, and R² of 0.28 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 89.98% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -18.96%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- Beta of 0.49 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.28 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.28 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 19.54%
- Beta
- 0.49
- R²
- 0.28
- Upside Capture
- 89.98%
- Downside Capture
- -18.96%
Expense Ratio
US Dalio has an expense ratio of 0.22%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
US Dalio ranks 69 for risk / return — better than 69% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.19 | 2.19 | +1.01 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.76 | 3.49 | +0.27 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.62 | 1.48 | +0.14 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.71 | 3.70 | +0.01 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 14.62 | 16.45 | -1.82 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF | 87 | 3.89 | 3.52 | 1.50 | 5.90 | 19.27 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 57 | 2.11 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 2.88 | 10.09 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 67 | 2.66 | 2.52 | 1.46 | 3.51 | 10.33 |
EMXC iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF | 92 | 3.65 | 4.65 | 1.68 | 4.83 | 20.04 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 80 | 2.74 | 3.96 | 1.54 | 3.39 | 12.62 |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 29 | 1.23 | 1.73 | 1.22 | 1.65 | 4.25 |
VNQI Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF | 55 | 2.16 | 3.21 | 1.41 | 1.74 | 7.22 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 6 | -0.16 | 0.08 | 1.01 | -0.31 | -0.64 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 90 | 3.23 | 4.61 | 1.63 | 4.23 | 17.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
US Dalio provided a 2.20% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.20% | 2.43% | 2.30% | 2.08% | 2.65% | 2.51% | 1.12% | 2.38% | 2.10% | 1.61% | 1.67% | 1.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF | 1.61% | 1.78% | 1.05% | 0.88% | 0.63% | 1.63% | 2.39% | 2.03% | 1.28% | 0.85% | 2.32% | 0.72% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EMXC iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF | 2.41% | 2.82% | 2.69% | 1.83% | 2.85% | 1.78% | 1.45% | 3.25% | 2.63% | 0.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.57% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 3.70% | 4.06% | 2.99% | 3.02% | 7.19% | 4.39% | 1.11% | 2.02% | 2.26% | 1.90% | 1.38% | 0.28% |
VNQI Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF | 4.60% | 4.70% | 5.16% | 3.74% | 0.57% | 6.48% | 0.93% | 7.58% | 4.62% | 3.86% | 5.18% | 2.86% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.77% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the US Dalio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the US Dalio was 13.47%, occurring on Mar 26, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current US Dalio drawdown is 6.98%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -13.47% | Jan 29, 2026 | 40 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.02% | Mar 20, 2025 | 14 | Apr 8, 2025 | 7 | Apr 17, 2025 | 21 |
| -6.84% | Sep 27, 2024 | 73 | Jan 13, 2025 | 22 | Feb 13, 2025 | 95 |
| -5.85% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 14 | Aug 23, 2024 | 28 |
| -4.53% | Oct 21, 2025 | 11 | Nov 4, 2025 | 24 | Dec 9, 2025 | 35 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.61, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SCHP | IBIT | GLD | SLV | SLVP | VNQI | VWO | EMXC | VEA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.51 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.48 |
| SCHP | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| GLD | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.79 |
| SLV | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.82 |
| SLVP | 0.29 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.81 |
| VNQI | 0.51 | 0.37 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| VWO | 0.62 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| EMXC | 0.69 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.61 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| VEA | 0.72 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Portfolio | 0.48 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 1.00 |