Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | S&P 500 | 55% |
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
DFEN.DE VanEck Defense UCITS ETF A | Aerospace & Defense | 10% |
IS3N.DE iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF (Acc) | Emerging Markets Equities | 10% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2026
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of €10,000 in 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.58% | 0.82% | 10.23% | 10.46% | 24.15% | 16.63% | 12.86% | 13.24% |
Portfolio 2026 | 1.96% | -0.56% | 7.57% | 9.04% | 25.54% | 22.73% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold | 2.93% | -6.80% | -2.63% | -0.59% | 23.16% | 26.47% | 18.62% | 12.28% |
DFEN.DE VanEck Defense UCITS ETF A | 0.60% | 3.18% | 3.04% | 4.46% | 11.89% | 37.43% | — | — |
IS3N.DE iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF (Acc) | 3.12% | 4.34% | 24.88% | 27.74% | 45.03% | 18.80% | 8.46% | 10.23% |
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 1.56% | 0.60% | 9.96% | 11.01% | 24.90% | 17.96% | 14.24% | 14.87% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 5, 2023, 2026's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.77%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.3 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +6.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 10, 2025 with a return of +3.2%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -3.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.88% | 1.80% | -6.03% | 5.61% | 4.41% | -2.78% | 7.57% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.86% | -1.40% | -2.81% | -1.89% | 4.55% | 0.40% | 4.87% | -0.25% | 6.56% | 4.33% | -0.10% | 1.20% | 21.66% |
| 2024 | 2.93% | 4.17% | 4.95% | -0.03% | 0.79% | 4.60% | 0.76% | 0.14% | 2.54% | 3.92% | 5.17% | -0.83% | 32.98% |
| 2023 | -0.47% | 3.61% | 2.13% | 2.63% | -0.26% | -1.71% | -0.42% | 3.99% | 2.35% | 12.31% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 has an annualized alpha of 16.55%, beta of 0.34, and R2 of 0.21 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 05, 2023.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (96.05%) than losses (58.94%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.34 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.21 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.21 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 16.55%
- Beta
- 0.34
- R²
- 0.21
- Upside Capture
- 96.05%
- Downside Capture
- 58.94%
Expense Ratio
2026 has an expense ratio of 0.11%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 ranks 65 for risk / return — better than 65% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.10 | 1.87 | +0.23 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.99 | 2.42 | +0.57 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.38 | 1.34 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.24 | 3.07 | +0.17 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.07 | 11.40 | +1.67 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold | 29 | 1.03 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.12 | 3.41 |
DFEN.DE VanEck Defense UCITS ETF A | 19 | 0.56 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 0.74 | 1.72 |
IS3N.DE iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets IMI UCITS ETF (Acc) | 83 | 2.40 | 3.23 | 1.44 | 4.10 | 14.25 |
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 74 | 2.08 | 2.85 | 1.39 | 3.52 | 12.50 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 was 14.72%, occurring on Apr 9, 2025. Recovery took 76 trading sessions.
The current 2026 drawdown is 2.92%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -14.72%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 3mo 21d | 5mo 9dFeb 2025 - Jul 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -7.96%Mar 2026 | 24d | 1mo 11d | 2mo 5dMar 2026 - May 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -6.93%Aug 2024 | 19d | 1mo 15d | 2mo 4dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.87%Jun 2026 | 7d | — | 12d 16hJun 2026 - now |
2023 pullback2023 | -4.12%Oct 2023 | 20d | 1mo 11d | 2mo 1dSep 2023 - Nov 2023 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.60, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.37 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.37, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2023 | 0.54 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SXR8.DE has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.63, while 4GLD.DE has the lowest at 0.06.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 2026 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification