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LONG TERM RISK
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in LONG TERM RISK, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 22, 2017, corresponding to the inception date of COMM.L

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
LONG TERM RISK
-0.12%-2.38%-1.92%-1.22%21.43%20.54%11.78%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.64%-4.65%-3.18%23.45%22.97%13.18%19.05%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.09%-3.34%-3.56%-1.44%17.51%18.37%11.88%14.11%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-2.56%0.69%-0.91%-0.77%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
-0.72%-2.55%0.11%0.38%21.72%13.41%3.75%7.73%
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
0.16%-3.33%1.76%4.21%15.91%14.42%10.17%12.88%
SGLP.L
Invesco Physical Gold A
-2.08%-8.98%8.43%21.69%48.98%32.68%21.85%14.18%
ISTB
iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF
0.10%-0.46%0.23%1.24%4.53%4.74%1.90%2.33%
COMM.L
iShares Diversified Commodity Swap UCITS ETF
1.91%8.76%24.87%32.31%32.67%13.54%13.88%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-1.99%-2.31%-23.70%-44.66%-19.07%33.89%3.18%66.03%
RBTX.L
iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF
-1.12%-4.01%-4.63%-3.61%19.18%12.17%4.76%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 23, 2017, LONG TERM RISK's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.47%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.

Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +12.6%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -10.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, LONG TERM RISK closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -9.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.49%-0.68%-4.46%0.85%-1.92%
20252.80%-2.03%-4.18%0.96%6.36%5.36%1.98%1.56%4.88%3.17%-1.29%-0.08%20.70%
20240.62%6.28%3.16%-3.76%4.77%3.36%0.13%0.81%3.57%-0.56%5.50%-1.32%24.44%
20239.88%-1.88%7.30%0.31%2.69%5.22%3.19%-2.63%-4.06%-0.60%8.68%5.39%37.61%
2022-6.50%-1.82%2.56%-10.06%-1.09%-8.24%8.53%-4.81%-9.02%3.19%5.98%-5.74%-25.53%
20210.98%2.61%3.59%4.27%-1.11%2.95%2.57%3.41%-4.37%7.50%0.25%0.83%25.56%

Benchmark Metrics

LONG TERM RISK has an annualized alpha of 6.03%, beta of 0.87, and R² of 0.88 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 23, 2017.

  • This portfolio captured 104.02% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 84.15% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.03% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.87 and R² of 0.88, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
6.03%
Beta
0.87
0.88
Upside Capture
104.02%
Downside Capture
84.15%

Expense Ratio

LONG TERM RISK has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

LONG TERM RISK ranks 40 for risk / return — below 40% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


LONG TERM RISK Risk / Return Rank: 4040
Overall Rank
LONG TERM RISK Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5757
Sharpe Ratio Rank
LONG TERM RISK Sortino Ratio Rank: 6060
Sortino Ratio Rank
LONG TERM RISK Omega Ratio Rank: 5252
Omega Ratio Rank
LONG TERM RISK Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
LONG TERM RISK Martin Ratio Rank: 1414
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.28

0.88

+0.40

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.91

1.37

+0.55

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.26

1.21

+0.05

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.86

1.39

-0.53

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

2.81

6.43

-3.62


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
591.041.621.231.937.00
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
530.921.451.221.517.11
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
10-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
621.221.741.251.786.68
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
581.111.611.241.526.97
SGLP.L
Invesco Physical Gold A
841.862.341.332.8310.96
ISTB
iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF
932.353.591.473.5714.03
COMM.L
iShares Diversified Commodity Swap UCITS ETF
881.942.521.354.9612.27
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
39-0.43-0.360.96-1.14-2.03
RBTX.L
iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF
460.811.271.161.736.09

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

LONG TERM RISK Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.28
  • 5-Year: 0.72
  • All Time: 1.01

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.01 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of LONG TERM RISK compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

LONG TERM RISK provided a 1.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.09%1.07%1.19%1.27%1.31%0.84%0.93%1.20%1.40%1.13%1.29%1.33%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.13%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
VWO
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
2.70%2.79%3.20%3.52%4.11%2.63%1.91%3.23%2.88%2.30%2.52%3.26%
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
2.09%2.09%2.26%2.45%2.34%1.93%2.30%2.21%2.44%2.03%2.27%2.52%
SGLP.L
Invesco Physical Gold A
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ISTB
iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF
4.21%4.12%3.83%2.97%2.01%1.69%2.20%2.75%2.57%2.06%1.90%1.58%
COMM.L
iShares Diversified Commodity Swap UCITS ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RBTX.L
iShares Automation & Robotics UCITS ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the LONG TERM RISK. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the LONG TERM RISK was 30.50%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 433 trading sessions.

The current LONG TERM RISK drawdown is 6.20%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-30.5%Nov 9, 2021341Oct 15, 2022433Dec 22, 2023774
-26.22%Feb 20, 202032Mar 22, 202078Jun 8, 2020110
-18.52%Jan 29, 2018331Dec 25, 2018100Apr 4, 2019431
-17.45%Feb 20, 202548Apr 8, 202559Jun 6, 2025107
-9.45%Jan 29, 202661Mar 30, 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkTLTISTBSGLP.LBTC-USDCOMM.LCNYARBTX.LDGROSMHVWOQQQSPYPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.080.100.090.250.200.390.590.890.790.670.921.000.91
TLT-0.081.000.600.19-0.01-0.08-0.07-0.05-0.07-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.07-0.01
ISTB0.100.601.000.280.030.050.030.080.080.040.090.090.090.11
SGLP.L0.090.190.281.000.090.390.150.130.070.070.190.090.090.17
BTC-USD0.25-0.010.030.091.000.080.130.170.160.200.190.210.210.51
COMM.L0.20-0.080.050.390.081.000.250.230.190.140.280.140.190.23
CNYA0.39-0.070.030.150.130.251.000.340.300.350.630.330.350.41
RBTX.L0.59-0.050.080.130.170.230.341.000.430.530.530.530.530.58
DGRO0.89-0.070.080.070.160.190.300.431.000.560.530.630.840.66
SMH0.79-0.080.040.070.200.140.350.530.561.000.590.810.730.76
VWO0.67-0.060.090.190.190.280.630.530.530.591.000.600.620.66
QQQ0.92-0.030.090.090.210.140.330.530.630.810.601.000.870.87
SPY1.00-0.070.090.090.210.190.350.530.840.730.620.871.000.84
Portfolio0.91-0.010.110.170.510.230.410.580.660.760.660.870.841.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 23, 2017