Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 80% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 20% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 20/80, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 20/80 returned 4.16% Year-To-Date and 3.10% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 20/80 | -0.04% | 2.64% | 4.16% | 4.36% | 10.70% | 4.19% | -1.85% | 3.10% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.59% | 0.22% | 17.57% | 17.85% | 37.55% | 26.43% | 16.85% | 21.79% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 1.40% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 26, 2002, 20/80's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.59%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 9.8 years.
Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +12.2%, while the worst month was Jan 2009 at -10.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 7 months.
On a daily basis, 20/80 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 20, 2020 with a return of +5.7%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -5.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.22% | 3.22% | -4.30% | 2.56% | 2.86% | -0.27% | 4.16% | ||||||
| 2025 | 0.83% | 4.00% | -2.43% | -0.81% | -0.70% | 3.50% | -0.43% | 0.21% | 3.96% | 2.06% | -0.11% | -2.25% | 7.81% |
| 2024 | -1.43% | -0.69% | 0.89% | -6.04% | 3.55% | 2.77% | 2.56% | 1.92% | 2.12% | -4.53% | 2.69% | -4.91% | -1.73% |
| 2023 | 8.25% | -3.92% | 5.83% | 0.37% | -0.83% | 1.53% | -1.26% | -2.79% | -7.34% | -4.78% | 10.11% | 8.04% | 12.07% |
| 2022 | -4.87% | -2.17% | -3.56% | -10.25% | -2.13% | -2.77% | 4.42% | -4.68% | -8.72% | -3.98% | 6.80% | -3.98% | -31.42% |
| 2021 | -2.85% | -4.58% | -3.79% | 3.19% | -0.25% | 4.81% | 3.55% | 0.56% | -3.48% | 3.54% | 2.61% | -1.35% | 1.36% |
Benchmark Metrics
20/80 has an annualized alpha of 7.22%, beta of 0.02, and R2 of 0.00 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 26, 2002.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (25.46%) than losses (5.81%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.02 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.00 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.00 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 7.22%
- Beta
- 0.02
- R²
- 0.00
- Upside Capture
- 25.46%
- Downside Capture
- 5.81%
Expense Ratio
20/80 has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
20/80 ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 20/80 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.07 | 1.86 | -0.79 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.56 | 2.53 | -0.97 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.19 | 1.34 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.52 | 2.53 | -1.02 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.02 | 11.37 | -7.35 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 69 | 2.09 | 2.73 | 1.37 | 3.01 | 11.22 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
20/80 provided a 3.73% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.73% | 3.63% | 3.55% | 2.83% | 2.29% | 1.28% | 1.31% | 1.96% | 2.29% | 2.11% | 2.30% | 2.29% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 20/80. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 20/80 was 37.04%, occurring on Oct 19, 2023. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 20/80 drawdown is 17.14%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 bear market2023 | -37.04%Oct 2023 | 1y 10mo | — | 4y 6moDec 2021 - now |
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -17.30%Jun 2009 | 5mo 20d | 1y 1mo | 1y 7moDec 2008 - Jul 2010 |
COVID crash2020 | -14.66%Mar 2020 | 8d | 28d | 1mo 6dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2021 correction2021 | -14.63%Mar 2021 | 7mo 13d | 8mo 19d | 1y 3moAug 2020 - Dec 2021 |
2013 correction2013 | -12.91%Aug 2013 | 1y 26d | 8mo 27d | 1y 9moJul 2012 - May 2014 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.42, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
20/80 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.51 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.44 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.35 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.22 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 26, 2002 | 0.06 |
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 20/80 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 20/80 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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