Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 12.50% |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | Precious Metals, Gold | 12.50% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | Long-Short, Actively Managed | 12.50% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 12.50% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 12.50% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 12.50% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | Leveraged Equities, S&P 500 | 12.50% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | Government Bonds | 12.50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Even 8s, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 2, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of KMLM
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Even 8s | 0.13% | -3.73% | -2.00% | 0.07% | 23.34% | 20.64% | 11.97% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 0.21% | -11.26% | -13.96% | -11.61% | 31.98% | 37.93% | 17.21% | 25.67% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.22% | -0.98% | 0.31% | 0.85% | 4.27% | 3.53% | 0.30% | 1.70% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 0.98% | -3.71% | 0.67% | -3.18% | -6.75% | -8.76% | -10.82% | -3.73% |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | -1.93% | -8.33% | 8.33% | 21.17% | 49.47% | 32.89% | 21.86% | — |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 1.25% | 4.87% | 9.21% | 11.72% | 9.50% | 0.87% | 5.74% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 3, 2020, Even 8s's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.10%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +11.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -12.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Even 8s closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.54% | 0.90% | -6.51% | 1.31% | -2.00% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.51% | -0.93% | -5.51% | -1.65% | 6.67% | 6.75% | 1.64% | 1.97% | 6.99% | 3.94% | -0.47% | -0.65% | 22.49% |
| 2024 | 0.32% | 4.97% | 3.68% | -5.13% | 5.37% | 5.05% | 1.02% | 1.79% | 3.10% | -2.42% | 5.18% | -2.66% | 21.44% |
| 2023 | 10.53% | -3.54% | 8.58% | 1.47% | 3.24% | 6.18% | 3.23% | -2.78% | -6.95% | -3.02% | 11.93% | 7.02% | 39.68% |
| 2022 | -7.29% | -2.67% | 3.29% | -11.66% | -1.74% | -7.84% | 11.00% | -5.93% | -11.96% | 3.50% | 6.41% | -8.08% | -30.62% |
| 2021 | -1.73% | -0.15% | 1.58% | 7.49% | 0.40% | 4.52% | 3.31% | 3.59% | -6.23% | 8.83% | 0.32% | 2.65% | 26.46% |
Benchmark Metrics
Even 8s has an annualized alpha of -0.01%, beta of 1.10, and R² of 0.89 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 03, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 121.16% of S&P 500 Index gains and 117.58% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- With beta of 1.10 and R² of 0.89, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- -0.01%
- Beta
- 1.10
- R²
- 0.89
- Upside Capture
- 121.16%
- Downside Capture
- 117.58%
Expense Ratio
Even 8s has an expense ratio of 0.42%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Even 8s ranks 40 for risk / return — below 40% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.13 | 0.88 | +0.25 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.68 | 1.37 | +0.31 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.24 | 1.21 | +0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.80 | 1.39 | +0.41 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.91 | 6.43 | +0.48 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 35 | 0.59 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.03 | 4.06 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 48 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.71 | 4.64 |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 6 | -0.36 | -0.37 | 0.96 | -0.44 | -0.77 |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 81 | 1.80 | 2.23 | 1.33 | 2.59 | 9.40 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 44 | 0.96 | 1.39 | 1.18 | 1.42 | 4.22 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
Even 8s provided a 2.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.12% | 2.11% | 1.63% | 1.33% | 2.76% | 1.54% | 0.78% | 0.99% | 1.07% | 0.96% | 1.09% | 1.12% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 1.01% | 0.84% | 0.93% | 0.74% | 0.52% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.41% | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.34% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 5.06% | 4.96% | 4.58% | 3.52% | 2.76% | 1.60% | 1.68% | 2.22% | 2.06% | 2.53% | 3.00% | 2.98% |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.60% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Even 8s. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Even 8s was 33.68%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 339 trading sessions.
The current Even 8s drawdown is 7.39%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -33.68% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 339 | Feb 22, 2024 | 541 |
| -20.44% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 54 | Jun 26, 2025 | 88 |
| -11.68% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -10.61% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 33 | Sep 24, 2024 | 49 |
| -9% | Feb 16, 2021 | 15 | Mar 8, 2021 | 22 | Apr 8, 2021 | 37 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | KMLM | GLDM | ZROZ | BND | QQQ | TQQQ | UPRO | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.09 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| KMLM | -0.09 | 1.00 | -0.01 | -0.30 | -0.35 | -0.11 | -0.11 | -0.09 | -0.09 | -0.06 |
| GLDM | 0.12 | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.26 |
| ZROZ | 0.05 | -0.30 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| BND | 0.17 | -0.35 | 0.32 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| QQQ | 0.93 | -0.11 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| TQQQ | 0.93 | -0.11 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| UPRO | 1.00 | -0.09 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| SPY | 1.00 | -0.09 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Portfolio | 0.94 | -0.06 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.95 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 1.00 |