Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
The All-Weather portfolio is an investment strategy developed by Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, a prominent hedge fund. It is designed to be a globally diversified portfolio that can perform well in various market conditions, hence the name "All Weather." The portfolio is intended to be relatively simple and easy to implement, with a mix of stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies.
The core of the All Weather portfolio is a combination of 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, and 15% commodities. The specific investments within each category can vary, but the overall allocation is meant to be relatively stable over time, which could be achieved through regular rebalancing.
One of the fundamental principles behind the All Weather portfolio is the idea of "risk parity," which seeks to balance risk across different asset classes rather than maximizing returns from any particular asset. The goal is to create a portfolio that can weather market volatility and produce consistent returns over the long term.
Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Quarterly
The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 20, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of PANW
Returns By Period
As of Sep 19, 2024, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned 18.77% Year-To-Date and 23.25% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
Year-To-Date | 1 month | 6 months | 1 year | 5 years (annualized) | 10 years (annualized) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 | 17.79% | 0.18% | 7.53% | 26.42% | 13.48% | 10.85% |
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | 18.77% | 0.54% | 7.97% | 29.17% | 28.47% | 23.25% |
Portfolio components: | ||||||
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 17.74% | 0.58% | 7.81% | 27.69% | 14.52% | 12.28% |
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -0.95% | -1.18% | -4.67% | -10.32% | 8.65% | 0.01% |
SPDR Gold Trust | 23.19% | 1.68% | 16.49% | 31.41% | 10.53% | 7.25% |
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.60% | 1.67% | 6.68% | 9.80% | -0.64% | 1.52% |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.41% | 2.06% | 9.38% | 11.62% | -4.57% | 1.08% |
Celsius Holdings, Inc. | -37.12% | -17.52% | -62.19% | -48.03% | 96.49% | 69.50% |
NVIDIA Corporation | 128.98% | -12.78% | 25.47% | 160.58% | 92.73% | 73.75% |
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.60% | -4.50% | -17.49% | 45.94% | 37.72% | 44.30% |
Tesla, Inc. | -8.56% | 2.01% | 29.34% | -14.75% | 70.13% | 29.43% |
Broadcom Inc. | 45.91% | -3.60% | 27.10% | 93.73% | 45.89% | 37.82% |
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | -0.98% | -4.35% | -14.89% | 14.00% | 32.60% | 31.50% |
Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 16.52% | 19.11% | -5.85% | 49.62% | 57.37% | 41.33% |
Fair Isaac Corporation | 63.26% | 8.36% | 52.59% | 108.83% | 43.63% | 41.87% |
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 11.83% | -3.96% | 16.91% | 39.62% | 36.67% | 25.89% |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 72.30% | 4.84% | 59.06% | 47.89% | 35.47% | 31.01% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 1.23% | 6.26% | 2.63% | -3.98% | 3.94% | 3.52% | 1.80% | 1.34% | 18.77% | ||||
2023 | 8.53% | 0.30% | 5.22% | -1.02% | 5.98% | 6.09% | 2.85% | 1.29% | -5.15% | -2.83% | 9.17% | 5.88% | 41.46% |
2022 | -6.97% | 1.85% | 1.91% | -8.45% | 1.96% | -6.68% | 10.44% | -3.57% | -8.40% | 3.54% | 8.39% | -5.68% | -13.14% |
2021 | -0.35% | 2.81% | 1.26% | 4.67% | 0.96% | 4.06% | 2.11% | 3.18% | -2.66% | 7.62% | 1.36% | 3.17% | 31.67% |
2020 | 3.39% | -3.10% | -10.61% | 13.72% | 9.23% | 4.85% | 8.82% | 9.53% | -2.52% | -3.57% | 13.38% | 8.67% | 61.03% |
2019 | 8.69% | 2.99% | 3.33% | 1.65% | -4.81% | 7.34% | 2.30% | -0.64% | -0.97% | 3.62% | 5.52% | 3.94% | 37.44% |
2018 | 5.86% | -3.27% | -2.50% | 1.85% | 4.32% | 0.72% | 0.58% | 4.84% | 0.55% | -6.89% | -0.32% | -3.69% | 1.26% |
2017 | 4.43% | 4.22% | 0.20% | 1.31% | 1.67% | 1.73% | 2.26% | 3.18% | 1.62% | 1.31% | 1.44% | 0.89% | 27.04% |
2016 | -4.66% | 1.95% | 7.85% | 2.23% | 3.03% | 1.94% | 4.19% | 1.12% | 1.40% | -1.87% | 2.51% | 3.40% | 25.06% |
2015 | 1.27% | 7.37% | -0.13% | 7.25% | 1.14% | 0.51% | -1.02% | -3.65% | -0.18% | 3.27% | 1.17% | -0.23% | 17.49% |
2014 | 1.37% | 7.72% | 3.60% | -0.43% | 2.32% | 2.93% | -3.12% | 5.46% | -4.27% | 0.81% | 2.22% | -0.21% | 19.31% |
2013 | 3.30% | 0.74% | 2.42% | 2.18% | 6.43% | -0.84% | 4.61% | 2.30% | 1.57% | 0.43% | 1.25% | 1.70% | 29.18% |
Expense Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.13%, which is considered low compared to other funds. Below you can find the expense ratios of portfolio funds side-by-side and effortlessly compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
The current rank of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is 63, suggesting that the investment has average results relative to other portfolios in terms of risk-adjusted performance. This ranking is determined by the cumulative values of the indicators listed below.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 2.13 | 2.86 | 1.38 | 1.97 | 12.31 |
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -0.74 | -0.95 | 0.89 | -0.38 | -1.61 |
SPDR Gold Trust | 2.17 | 3.05 | 1.38 | 2.43 | 13.05 |
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 1.26 | 1.85 | 1.22 | 0.41 | 4.38 |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.70 | 1.07 | 1.12 | 0.24 | 1.91 |
Celsius Holdings, Inc. | -0.80 | -1.10 | 0.87 | -0.72 | -1.60 |
NVIDIA Corporation | 3.10 | 3.40 | 1.43 | 5.94 | 18.70 |
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.95 | 1.54 | 1.20 | 1.09 | 2.42 |
Tesla, Inc. | -0.27 | -0.04 | 1.00 | -0.23 | -0.62 |
Broadcom Inc. | 2.06 | 2.68 | 1.35 | 3.71 | 11.49 |
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | 0.46 | 0.85 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 1.48 |
Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 1.09 | 1.58 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Fair Isaac Corporation | 3.53 | 3.68 | 1.54 | 6.48 | 20.83 |
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 0.90 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.30 | 2.74 |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 1.19 | 2.06 | 1.27 | 1.02 | 3.45 |
Dividends
Dividend yield
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio granted a 1.58% dividend yield in the last twelve months.
TTM | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | 1.58% | 1.52% | 1.16% | 0.71% | 0.92% | 1.25% | 1.35% | 1.02% | 1.09% | 1.14% | 1.11% | 1.19% |
Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.32% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% | 1.76% | 1.74% |
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 4.99% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPDR Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.24% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% | 2.05% | 1.77% |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.63% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% | 2.67% | 3.26% |
Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.30% | 0.46% | 1.19% | 1.68% | 1.95% |
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Broadcom Inc. | 1.59% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% | 1.22% | 1.66% |
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Fair Isaac Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.13% |
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 1.92% | 0.83% | 1.37% | 0.88% | 3.58% | 0.77% | 0.75% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 0.21% | 0.22% | 0.81% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio was 29.30%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 51 trading sessions.
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio drawdown is 0.91%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-29.3% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 51 | Jun 1, 2020 | 71 |
-20.83% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 147 | May 17, 2023 | 349 |
-16.08% | Sep 17, 2018 | 69 | Dec 24, 2018 | 55 | Mar 15, 2019 | 124 |
-11.58% | Jun 23, 2015 | 160 | Feb 9, 2016 | 26 | Mar 17, 2016 | 186 |
-9.62% | Sep 4, 2014 | 28 | Oct 13, 2014 | 77 | Feb 3, 2015 | 105 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio volatility is 4.52%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Diversification
Asset Correlations Table
GLD | CELH | TPL | IEF | TLT | DBC | TSLA | BLDR | PANW | FICO | AMD | AVGO | NVDA | CDNS | VTI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
CELH | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.10 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.25 |
TPL | 0.01 | 0.10 | 1.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.32 |
IEF | 0.37 | -0.02 | -0.14 | 1.00 | 0.92 | -0.14 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.09 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.15 | -0.10 | -0.08 | -0.19 |
TLT | 0.30 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.92 | 1.00 | -0.16 | -0.08 | -0.09 | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.09 | -0.16 | -0.09 | -0.09 | -0.21 |
DBC | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.35 | -0.14 | -0.16 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.32 |
TSLA | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.15 | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.46 |
BLDR | 0.01 | 0.18 | 0.21 | -0.08 | -0.09 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.56 |
PANW | -0.01 | 0.18 | 0.14 | -0.09 | -0.08 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.49 |
FICO | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.05 | -0.06 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
AMD | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.16 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.51 |
AVGO | -0.00 | 0.17 | 0.20 | -0.15 | -0.16 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.64 |
NVDA | 0.01 | 0.20 | 0.18 | -0.10 | -0.09 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.60 |
CDNS | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.19 | -0.08 | -0.09 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.66 |
VTI | 0.02 | 0.25 | 0.32 | -0.19 | -0.21 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.51 | 0.64 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 1.00 |