Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Technology | 3.50% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 3.50% |
BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | Industrials | 3.50% |
CDNS Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | Technology | 3.50% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 3.50% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 7.50% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | Technology | 3.50% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 10% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 3.50% |
PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | Technology | 3.50% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 10% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Energy | 3.50% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 3.50% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 4, 2016, corresponding to the inception date of CELH
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned -0.53% Year-To-Date and 23.23% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | 0.18% | -3.83% | -0.53% | -0.72% | 18.62% | 21.97% | 17.71% | 23.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.27% | 13.20% | 31.17% | 35.71% | 33.85% | 11.56% | 14.82% | 10.42% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.23% | -1.48% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 3.83% | 2.14% | -0.73% | 0.79% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | -0.73% | -27.66% | -25.49% | -42.14% | -7.27% | 3.53% | 15.58% | 46.86% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3.47% | 13.90% | 1.56% | 28.14% | 111.25% | 31.09% | 21.81% | 54.37% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | -5.42% | -8.11% | -19.82% | -17.30% | 27.53% | 22.79% | 10.33% | 36.16% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.34% | 0.44% | -8.93% | -6.61% | 84.26% | 72.07% | 48.84% | 38.50% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 5, 2016, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.84%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.
Historically, 73% of months were positive and 27% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +13.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -8.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.09% | 1.55% | -5.29% | 0.32% | -0.53% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.92% | -1.74% | -1.88% | 1.04% | 3.60% | 5.91% | 1.38% | 2.90% | 3.49% | 4.70% | -2.42% | -0.81% | 19.21% |
| 2024 | 1.23% | 6.25% | 2.63% | -3.98% | 3.94% | 3.52% | 1.80% | 1.34% | 3.24% | -0.08% | 6.23% | -3.70% | 24.16% |
| 2023 | 8.53% | 0.30% | 5.22% | -1.02% | 5.98% | 6.09% | 2.85% | 1.29% | -5.15% | -2.83% | 9.17% | 5.88% | 41.46% |
| 2022 | -6.97% | 1.85% | 1.91% | -8.45% | 1.96% | -6.68% | 10.44% | -3.57% | -8.40% | 3.54% | 8.39% | -5.68% | -13.14% |
| 2021 | -0.35% | 2.81% | 1.26% | 4.67% | 0.96% | 4.06% | 2.11% | 3.19% | -2.66% | 7.62% | 1.36% | 3.17% | 31.67% |
Benchmark Metrics
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 12.60%, beta of 0.79, and R² of 0.79 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 05, 2016.
- This portfolio captured 120.46% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 71.89% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 12.60% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 12.60%
- Beta
- 0.79
- R²
- 0.79
- Upside Capture
- 120.46%
- Downside Capture
- 71.89%
Expense Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.13%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio ranks 49 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.12 | 0.88 | +0.24 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.72 | 1.37 | +0.35 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.24 | 1.21 | +0.04 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.93 | 1.39 | +0.54 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.47 | 6.43 | +1.04 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 81 | 1.80 | 2.41 | 1.32 | 3.16 | 8.12 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 32 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 2.87 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 34 | -0.13 | 0.20 | 1.03 | -0.10 | -0.23 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.73 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 4.02 | 8.17 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 60 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 3.01 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 84 | 1.76 | 2.49 | 1.32 | 3.08 | 7.50 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio provided a 1.42% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.42% | 1.46% | 1.65% | 1.52% | 1.16% | 0.71% | 0.87% | 1.23% | 1.34% | 1.02% | 1.09% | 1.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.54% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.84% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.79% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio was 29.32%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 51 trading sessions.
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio drawdown is 5.96%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -29.32% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 51 | Jun 1, 2020 | 71 |
| -20.83% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 147 | May 17, 2023 | 349 |
| -16.08% | Sep 17, 2018 | 69 | Dec 24, 2018 | 55 | Mar 15, 2019 | 124 |
| -14.34% | Dec 17, 2024 | 76 | Apr 8, 2025 | 25 | May 14, 2025 | 101 |
| -8.47% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 30 | Sep 19, 2024 | 46 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.49, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | TLT | IEF | DBC | CELH | TPL | BLDR | TSLA | PANW | FICO | AMD | AVGO | NVDA | CDNS | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.03 | -0.11 | -0.11 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| GLD | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | -0.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| TLT | -0.11 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.92 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.13 | -0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.10 | -0.06 | -0.02 | -0.11 | 0.06 |
| IEF | -0.11 | 0.37 | 0.92 | 1.00 | -0.14 | -0.01 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.03 | -0.07 | -0.09 | -0.07 | -0.03 | -0.11 | 0.06 |
| DBC | 0.27 | 0.25 | -0.15 | -0.14 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| CELH | 0.33 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| TPL | 0.34 | 0.04 | -0.13 | -0.13 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| BLDR | 0.54 | 0.01 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| TSLA | 0.48 | 0.01 | -0.03 | -0.04 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| PANW | 0.51 | -0.00 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| FICO | 0.56 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| AMD | 0.54 | 0.04 | -0.05 | -0.07 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.66 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| AVGO | 0.66 | 0.02 | -0.10 | -0.09 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| NVDA | 0.64 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.07 | 0.15 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| CDNS | 0.68 | 0.05 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.03 | -0.11 | -0.11 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Portfolio | 0.84 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.40 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 1.00 |