Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
CEG Constellation Energy Corp | Utilities | 14.75% |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | Healthcare | 5.30% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | Industrials | 0.85% |
MCK McKesson Corporation | Healthcare | 18.32% |
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | Energy | 17.03% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | Healthcare | 33.48% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 3.55% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | Communication Services | 3.40% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | Energy | 3.33% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Candidate (2/22/25), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 2, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of CEG
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.80% | 4.83% | 2.59% | 5.27% | 30.14% | 19.29% | 10.91% | 12.94% |
Portfolio Candidate (2/22/25) | -0.76% | -1.98% | 11.64% | 17.97% | 52.02% | 25.67% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CEG Constellation Energy Corp | -0.63% | -3.55% | -16.46% | -26.86% | 42.13% | 57.99% | — | — |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | -0.48% | -3.75% | 14.52% | 19.60% | 35.77% | 23.07% | 20.29% | 7.31% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | -0.08% | -5.29% | 27.01% | 23.94% | 33.69% | 10.72% | 12.29% | 13.43% |
MCK McKesson Corporation | 0.07% | -8.46% | 5.35% | 9.22% | 25.11% | 34.23% | 35.67% | 18.36% |
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | -0.40% | -2.58% | 37.83% | 22.55% | 86.38% | 22.07% | 36.01% | 23.15% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | -1.72% | 2.14% | 12.84% | 42.42% | 55.87% | 3.88% | 13.30% | 11.59% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.09% | 3.47% | 2.62% | -8.34% | 0.43% | 16.31% | 21.49% | 17.98% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 0.10% | -11.47% | -5.88% | -15.27% | -27.47% | 9.76% | 8.25% | 17.54% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | -0.15% | -5.23% | 24.65% | 35.57% | 49.50% | 12.45% | 26.07% | 10.49% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 3, 2022, Candidate (2/22/25)'s average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.29%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Oct 2022 with a return of +16.6%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -6.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Candidate (2/22/25) closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.10% | 12.84% | -1.05% | -2.07% | 11.64% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 7.00% | -1.27% | -2.82% | -0.90% | 5.85% | 3.29% | 0.57% | 2.23% | 4.75% | 3.63% | 9.18% | -3.84% | 30.31% |
| 2024 | 7.87% | 8.49% | 7.59% | -3.14% | 2.41% | -0.71% | -1.00% | 0.93% | 0.69% | -4.18% | 6.68% | -6.89% | 18.76% |
| 2023 | 0.76% | -4.41% | 3.32% | 1.90% | -1.97% | 7.06% | -0.65% | 4.12% | 1.47% | 1.49% | 1.75% | 1.77% | 17.40% |
| 2022 | -3.02% | 10.10% | 3.58% | 7.50% | -5.41% | 5.27% | 6.05% | -1.47% | 16.64% | 5.07% | -2.46% | 47.88% |
Benchmark Metrics
Candidate (2/22/25) has an annualized alpha of 24.05%, beta of 0.52, and R² of 0.31 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 03, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 104.08% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 20.97% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- Beta of 0.52 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.31 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.31 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 24.05%
- Beta
- 0.52
- R²
- 0.31
- Upside Capture
- 104.08%
- Downside Capture
- 20.97%
Expense Ratio
Candidate (2/22/25) has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Candidate (2/22/25) ranks 92 for risk / return — in the top 92% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.46 | 2.30 | +1.16 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.84 | 3.18 | +1.66 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.61 | 1.43 | +0.18 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 8.47 | 3.40 | +5.07 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 27.57 | 15.35 | +12.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CEG Constellation Energy Corp | 55 | 0.92 | 1.47 | 1.18 | 1.09 | 2.76 |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 70 | 1.28 | 1.99 | 1.23 | 2.88 | 8.25 |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 66 | 1.31 | 1.74 | 1.25 | 2.07 | 5.16 |
MCK McKesson Corporation | 61 | 0.90 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.84 | 4.57 |
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 88 | 2.91 | 3.52 | 1.47 | 4.61 | 13.05 |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 82 | 2.04 | 2.86 | 1.36 | 3.94 | 11.37 |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 30 | 0.02 | 0.18 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.11 |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 5 | -1.07 | -1.40 | 0.82 | -0.83 | -1.47 |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 82 | 2.18 | 2.79 | 1.35 | 3.77 | 13.71 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Candidate (2/22/25) provided a 1.68% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.68% | 1.90% | 2.00% | 1.85% | 1.71% | 2.31% | 2.70% | 2.03% | 2.02% | 1.96% | 1.93% | 1.83% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CEG Constellation Energy Corp | 0.54% | 0.44% | 0.63% | 0.97% | 0.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 2.28% | 2.57% | 3.33% | 3.70% | 3.40% | 3.91% | 4.67% | 3.88% | 3.65% | 2.90% | 2.57% | 1.27% |
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 2.21% | 2.76% | 2.62% | 2.68% | 2.34% | 2.98% | 2.76% | 2.31% | 3.13% | 2.32% | 2.71% | 2.83% |
MCK McKesson Corporation | 0.37% | 0.37% | 0.47% | 0.50% | 0.54% | 0.72% | 0.95% | 1.16% | 1.32% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.53% |
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 1.71% | 2.29% | 2.43% | 2.07% | 2.14% | 3.63% | 5.61% | 3.52% | 3.12% | 2.30% | 2.70% | 2.20% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 2.82% | 3.12% | 3.14% | 2.72% | 2.52% | 3.41% | 3.03% | 2.48% | 2.60% | 3.36% | 3.14% | 3.43% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 2.00% | 1.80% | 1.28% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 2.71% | 3.32% | 3.57% | 3.68% | 3.22% | 5.70% | 8.44% | 4.92% | 4.74% | 3.66% | 3.30% | 3.69% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Candidate (2/22/25). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Candidate (2/22/25) was 16.42%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 45 trading sessions.
The current Candidate (2/22/25) drawdown is 3.72%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -16.42% | Jan 24, 2025 | 52 | Apr 8, 2025 | 45 | Jun 12, 2025 | 97 |
| -10.97% | Jun 8, 2022 | 8 | Jun 17, 2022 | 35 | Aug 9, 2022 | 43 |
| -10.19% | Jun 26, 2024 | 52 | Sep 9, 2024 | 93 | Jan 23, 2025 | 145 |
| -7.37% | Dec 1, 2022 | 77 | Mar 23, 2023 | 54 | Jun 9, 2023 | 131 |
| -6.34% | Feb 3, 2022 | 15 | Feb 24, 2022 | 13 | Mar 15, 2022 | 28 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.93, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | CEG | LMT | TMUS | GILD | XOM | ORLY | MRK | MPC | MCK | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.47 |
| CEG | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.57 |
| LMT | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| TMUS | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| GILD | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| XOM | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.64 | 0.13 | 0.45 |
| ORLY | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| MRK | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
| MPC | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.64 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.55 |
| MCK | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Portfolio | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 1.00 |