Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 15% | |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 15% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 10% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 10% | |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
Find the right asset allocation for 1
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 1, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 1 returned 0.47% Year-To-Date and 16.10% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.17% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 22.93% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 1 | 0.09% | -3.60% | 0.47% | 0.54% | 10.63% | 15.56% | 6.21% | 16.10% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.17% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 22.93% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.05% | -19.79% | -27.32% | -29.56% | -39.85% | 34.86% | 10.27% | 57.32% |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 5.86% | -20.60% | -9.77% | -8.79% | 48.95% | 40.48% | 17.92% | 12.83% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.17% | 0.19% | -0.47% | -0.18% | 3.39% | 2.86% | -1.24% | 0.59% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.59% | 0.93% | 17.57% | 17.85% | 35.82% | 26.43% | 16.85% | 21.79% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 1.54% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 2.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 27, 2012, 1's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.80%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +63.7%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -18.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 1 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +13.9%, while the worst single day was Dec 6, 2013 at -10.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.84% | 1.37% | -6.12% | 4.55% | 2.52% | -3.28% | 0.47% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.25% | 0.20% | -0.89% | 1.97% | 2.70% | 3.44% | 0.62% | 2.11% | 5.58% | 0.96% | 0.02% | -0.80% | 20.70% |
| 2024 | -1.24% | 4.48% | 4.76% | -5.31% | 4.73% | 1.11% | 3.03% | 1.15% | 2.64% | -1.41% | 6.04% | -4.07% | 16.26% |
| 2023 | 10.96% | -3.91% | 8.51% | 1.14% | -1.57% | 2.88% | -0.15% | -3.25% | -5.63% | 0.23% | 9.50% | 6.64% | 26.43% |
| 2022 | -6.26% | 0.72% | 0.25% | -10.06% | -3.34% | -7.57% | 5.84% | -5.98% | -7.06% | -0.28% | 5.05% | -3.85% | -29.14% |
| 2021 | -0.76% | 1.02% | 3.70% | 3.40% | -1.95% | 1.31% | 4.57% | 1.81% | -4.69% | 8.31% | 0.34% | -2.28% | 15.08% |
Benchmark Metrics
1 has an annualized alpha of 14.41%, beta of 0.34, and R2 of 0.14 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 27, 2012.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (88.19%) than losses (51.95%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.34 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.14 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.14 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 14.41%
- Beta
- 0.34
- R²
- 0.14
- Upside Capture
- 88.19%
- Downside Capture
- 51.95%
Expense Ratio
1 has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
1 ranks 13 for risk / return — in the bottom 13% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 1 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.93 | 1.86 | -0.93 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.34 | 2.53 | -1.19 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.15 | 1.34 | -0.18 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.17 | 2.53 | -1.36 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.01 | 11.37 | -7.36 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 73 | 1.86 | 2.53 | 1.34 | 2.53 | 11.37 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 37 | -0.93 | -1.31 | 0.87 | -0.78 | -1.36 |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 26 | 1.22 | 1.63 | 1.23 | 1.43 | 4.10 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 22 | 0.72 | 1.10 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 2.35 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 71 | 2.09 | 2.73 | 1.37 | 3.01 | 11.22 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
1 provided a 4.00% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.00% | 3.77% | 2.38% | 1.85% | 1.38% | 0.75% | 0.96% | 1.31% | 1.45% | 1.33% | 1.60% | 1.38% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 17.26% | 15.57% | 2.11% | 1.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.69% | 0.83% | 0.34% | 0.51% | 2.18% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.89% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 1. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 1 was 35.72%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 732 trading sessions.
The current 1 drawdown is 4.12%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -35.72%Nov 2022 | 12mo 4d | 2y 2d | 3y 1dNov 2021 - Nov 2024 |
2013 bear market2013 | -27.49%Dec 2013 | 13d | 2y 3mo | 2y 4moDec 2013 - Apr 2016 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -23.81%Nov 2018 | 11mo 12d | 6mo 28d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
2013 bear market2013 | -21.59%Jul 2013 | 2mo 26d | 4mo 6d | 7mo 2dApr 2013 - Nov 2013 |
COVID crash2020 | -17.88%Mar 2020 | 11d | 1mo 6d | 1mo 17dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.26, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.52 | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.74 | 1.80 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.80, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
1 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.50 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 27, 2012 | 0.41 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. ^GSPC has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while TLT has the lowest at -0.16.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 1 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 1 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification