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Futures vs Spot
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


CL=F 16.67%USO 16.67%BZ=F 16.67%IBIT 16.67%BTC-USD 16.67%BITO 16.67%CommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Futures vs Spot, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Futures vs Spot
0.00%23.33%32.65%9.28%30.63%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
-1.73%-8.37%-23.52%-45.61%-18.47%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.01%-7.96%-23.54%-45.31%-19.57%33.40%2.82%65.95%
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
-1.60%-8.48%-24.03%-46.41%-21.71%24.92%
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI
11.41%49.40%94.25%83.21%66.60%11.51%12.65%12.07%
USO
United States Oil Fund LP
11.15%50.63%99.42%92.33%90.89%25.20%26.94%6.62%
BZ=F
Crude Oil Brent
7.78%33.94%79.18%68.96%55.45%8.68%10.95%11.21%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Futures vs Spot's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +2.45%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.

Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Mar 2026 with a return of +36.0%, while the worst month was Feb 2025 at -10.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 3 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Futures vs Spot closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Feb 5, 2026 at -7.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.25%-7.28%35.97%0.93%32.65%
20255.71%-10.85%0.08%-1.92%7.88%4.60%7.82%-7.04%1.96%-3.23%-9.94%-3.40%-10.19%
2024-1.61%22.32%10.79%-8.56%2.99%-2.19%1.08%-7.14%0.74%6.41%18.83%-0.57%46.02%

Benchmark Metrics

Futures vs Spot has an annualized alpha of 20.83%, beta of 0.67, and R² of 0.12 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 91.72% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -26.51%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
  • Beta of 0.67 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.12 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.12 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
20.83%
Beta
0.67
0.12
Upside Capture
91.72%
Downside Capture
-26.51%

Expense Ratio

Futures vs Spot has an expense ratio of 0.33%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Futures vs Spot ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Futures vs Spot Risk / Return Rank: 1919
Overall Rank
Futures vs Spot Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2929
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Futures vs Spot Sortino Ratio Rank: 3131
Sortino Ratio Rank
Futures vs Spot Omega Ratio Rank: 1717
Omega Ratio Rank
Futures vs Spot Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
Futures vs Spot Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.01

0.88

+0.12

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.56

1.37

+0.19

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.18

1.21

-0.03

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.46

1.39

-0.93

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.88

6.43

-5.55


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
4-0.51-0.490.94-0.43-0.91
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
36-0.44-0.380.96-1.12-2.00
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
3-0.58-0.620.93-0.49-1.02
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI
561.141.731.242.884.78
USO
United States Oil Fund LP
811.912.641.343.876.70
BZ=F
Crude Oil Brent
380.931.421.212.925.15

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Futures vs Spot Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.01
  • All Time: 0.94

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Futures vs Spot compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Futures vs Spot provided a 13.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM202520242023
Portfolio13.63%13.05%10.27%2.52%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
81.78%78.29%61.59%15.14%
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USO
United States Oil Fund LP
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BZ=F
Crude Oil Brent
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Futures vs Spot. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Futures vs Spot was 27.72%, occurring on Feb 5, 2026. Recovery took 38 trading sessions.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-27.72%Jul 31, 2025190Feb 5, 202638Mar 15, 2026228
-24.99%Jan 19, 202580Apr 8, 202594Jul 11, 2025174
-22.76%Apr 9, 2024151Sep 6, 202466Nov 11, 2024217
-7.79%Dec 18, 20246Dec 23, 202423Jan 15, 202529
-7.05%Mar 14, 20249Mar 22, 202417Apr 8, 202426

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBZ=FUSOCL=FBTC-USDIBITBITOPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.01-0.03-0.030.370.400.400.26
BZ=F-0.011.000.850.89-0.000.040.040.50
USO-0.030.851.000.88-0.000.040.050.49
CL=F-0.030.890.881.000.010.050.050.51
BTC-USD0.37-0.00-0.000.011.000.730.730.70
IBIT0.400.040.040.050.731.001.000.73
BITO0.400.040.050.050.731.001.000.73
Portfolio0.260.500.490.510.700.730.731.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024