Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | Cryptocurrency, Actively Managed | 16.67% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 16.67% | |
BZ=F Crude Oil Brent | 16.67% | |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 16.67% | |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 16.67% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | Oil & Gas | 16.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Futures vs Spot, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Futures vs Spot | 0.00% | 23.33% | 32.65% | 9.28% | 30.63% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -1.73% | -8.37% | -23.52% | -45.61% | -18.47% | — | — | — |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.01% | -7.96% | -23.54% | -45.31% | -19.57% | 33.40% | 2.82% | 65.95% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -1.60% | -8.48% | -24.03% | -46.41% | -21.71% | 24.92% | — | — |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 11.41% | 49.40% | 94.25% | 83.21% | 66.60% | 11.51% | 12.65% | 12.07% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 11.15% | 50.63% | 99.42% | 92.33% | 90.89% | 25.20% | 26.94% | 6.62% |
BZ=F Crude Oil Brent | 7.78% | 33.94% | 79.18% | 68.96% | 55.45% | 8.68% | 10.95% | 11.21% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Futures vs Spot's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +2.45%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.
Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Mar 2026 with a return of +36.0%, while the worst month was Feb 2025 at -10.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 3 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Futures vs Spot closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Feb 5, 2026 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.25% | -7.28% | 35.97% | 0.93% | 32.65% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.71% | -10.85% | 0.08% | -1.92% | 7.88% | 4.60% | 7.82% | -7.04% | 1.96% | -3.23% | -9.94% | -3.40% | -10.19% |
| 2024 | -1.61% | 22.32% | 10.79% | -8.56% | 2.99% | -2.19% | 1.08% | -7.14% | 0.74% | 6.41% | 18.83% | -0.57% | 46.02% |
Benchmark Metrics
Futures vs Spot has an annualized alpha of 20.83%, beta of 0.67, and R² of 0.12 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 91.72% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -26.51%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- Beta of 0.67 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.12 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.12 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 20.83%
- Beta
- 0.67
- R²
- 0.12
- Upside Capture
- 91.72%
- Downside Capture
- -26.51%
Expense Ratio
Futures vs Spot has an expense ratio of 0.33%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Futures vs Spot ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.01 | 0.88 | +0.12 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.56 | 1.37 | +0.19 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.21 | -0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.46 | 1.39 | -0.93 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.88 | 6.43 | -5.55 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 4 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -0.43 | -0.91 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.44 | -0.38 | 0.96 | -1.12 | -2.00 |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 3 | -0.58 | -0.62 | 0.93 | -0.49 | -1.02 |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 56 | 1.14 | 1.73 | 1.24 | 2.88 | 4.78 |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 81 | 1.91 | 2.64 | 1.34 | 3.87 | 6.70 |
BZ=F Crude Oil Brent | 38 | 0.93 | 1.42 | 1.21 | 2.92 | 5.15 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Futures vs Spot provided a 13.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 13.63% | 13.05% | 10.27% | 2.52% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 81.78% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BZ=F Crude Oil Brent | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Futures vs Spot. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Futures vs Spot was 27.72%, occurring on Feb 5, 2026. Recovery took 38 trading sessions.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.72% | Jul 31, 2025 | 190 | Feb 5, 2026 | 38 | Mar 15, 2026 | 228 |
| -24.99% | Jan 19, 2025 | 80 | Apr 8, 2025 | 94 | Jul 11, 2025 | 174 |
| -22.76% | Apr 9, 2024 | 151 | Sep 6, 2024 | 66 | Nov 11, 2024 | 217 |
| -7.79% | Dec 18, 2024 | 6 | Dec 23, 2024 | 23 | Jan 15, 2025 | 29 |
| -7.05% | Mar 14, 2024 | 9 | Mar 22, 2024 | 17 | Apr 8, 2024 | 26 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BZ=F | USO | CL=F | BTC-USD | IBIT | BITO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.26 |
| BZ=F | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.89 | -0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.50 |
| USO | -0.03 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.88 | -0.00 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.49 |
| CL=F | -0.03 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.51 |
| BTC-USD | 0.37 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| BITO | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| Portfolio | 0.26 | 0.50 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.00 |