Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | Long-Term Bond | 20% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | Short-Term Bond | 20% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 20% | |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 20% |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | Mid Cap Blend Equities | 20% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Golden butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio Golden butterfly | -0.03% | 0.20% | 3.54% | 3.55% | 10.03% | 8.76% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | -0.38% | -1.02% | -0.54% | -0.73% | 5.53% | 1.83% | -3.70% | 0.81% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | -0.01% | -0.38% | 0.10% | 0.53% | 3.66% | 4.42% | 1.57% | 1.91% |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | -0.04% | 1.75% | 8.60% | 8.43% | 16.32% | 15.78% | 7.59% | 11.44% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 0.24% | 0.45% | 8.51% | 8.47% | 24.49% | 21.67% | 13.12% | 15.36% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, Golden butterfly's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.41%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 14.1 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +6.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -6.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Golden butterfly closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -2.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.70% | 1.26% | -3.00% | 3.70% | 1.83% | -0.87% | 3.54% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.66% | 0.40% | -2.10% | -0.36% | 2.00% | 2.60% | 0.78% | 1.02% | 1.74% | 0.57% | 0.32% | -0.37% | 8.48% |
| 2024 | -0.16% | 1.44% | 1.86% | -2.96% | 2.36% | 0.94% | 2.00% | 1.67% | 1.58% | -1.45% | 3.49% | -2.91% | 7.90% |
| 2023 | 4.58% | -2.32% | 1.79% | 0.35% | -1.06% | 3.10% | 1.23% | -1.49% | -3.26% | -2.28% | 6.16% | 4.24% | 11.01% |
| 2022 | 0.89% | -0.21% | 0.53% | -5.95% | 0.09% | -4.21% | 4.82% | -2.75% | -5.84% | 2.46% | 4.30% | -2.83% | -9.03% |
Benchmark Metrics
Golden butterfly has an annualized alpha of -0.73%, beta of 0.43, and R2 of 0.81 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 62.89% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 44.48% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.43 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- -0.73%
- Beta
- 0.43
- R²
- 0.81
- Upside Capture
- 44.48%
- Downside Capture
- 62.89%
Expense Ratio
Golden butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Golden butterfly ranks 33 for risk / return — below 33% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Golden butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.77 | 1.94 | -0.16 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.54 | 2.63 | -0.09 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.33 | 1.35 | -0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.39 | 2.59 | -0.20 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.85 | 11.84 | -2.00 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | 21 | 0.69 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 0.97 | 2.42 |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 70 | 2.06 | 3.30 | 1.39 | 2.85 | 9.83 |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | 43 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 1.23 | 2.01 | 7.62 |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 66 | 2.01 | 2.72 | 1.36 | 2.67 | 12.13 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Golden butterfly provided a 2.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.24% | 2.22% | 2.24% | 1.89% | 1.79% | 1.43% | 2.16% | 1.83% | 1.99% | 1.68% | 1.81% | 1.84% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | 4.84% | 4.67% | 5.09% | 4.06% | 4.17% | 3.37% | 6.12% | 3.57% | 4.07% | 3.63% | 4.16% | 4.37% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 4.00% | 3.83% | 3.38% | 2.46% | 1.50% | 1.45% | 1.79% | 2.29% | 1.99% | 1.65% | 1.48% | 1.40% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | 1.38% | 1.52% | 1.49% | 1.52% | 1.60% | 1.12% | 1.45% | 1.48% | 1.82% | 1.35% | 1.45% | 1.47% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 0.99% | 1.08% | 1.24% | 1.41% | 1.66% | 1.19% | 1.46% | 1.81% | 2.09% | 1.75% | 1.98% | 1.96% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Golden butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Golden butterfly was 15.03%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 344 trading sessions.
The current Golden butterfly drawdown is 1.24%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -15.03%Oct 2022 | 6mo 18d | 1y 4mo | 1y 11moMar 2022 - Feb 2024 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.35%Apr 2025 | 4mo | 2mo 19d | 6mo 19dDec 2024 - Jun 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.22%Mar 2026 | 28d | 21d | 1mo 19dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
Bear market2022 | -3.99%Mar 2022 | 1mo 2d | 15d | 1mo 17dFeb 2022 - Mar 2022 |
2024 pullback2024 | -3.40%Apr 2024 | 22d | 1mo 17d | 2mo 9dMar 2024 - Jun 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.33, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Golden butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.88 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.88 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VV has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Golden butterfly is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Golden butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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