Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 5% | |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 7.50% |
DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities, Dividend | 5% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 15% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 15% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 15% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 15% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Emerging Markets Equities | 15% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in ALL WEATHER JULS 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 12, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of DGRO
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the ALL WEATHER JULS 2 returned 0.86% Year-To-Date and 14.50% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio ALL WEATHER JULS 2 | -0.06% | -1.47% | 0.86% | 1.18% | 16.18% | 14.98% | 8.43% | 14.50% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.05% | -0.23% | 0.31% | 1.24% | 3.70% | 3.85% | 1.71% | 1.65% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | -0.72% | -2.55% | 0.11% | 0.38% | 21.72% | 13.41% | 3.75% | 7.73% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.27% | 13.20% | 31.17% | 35.71% | 33.85% | 11.56% | 14.82% | 10.42% |
DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | 0.16% | -3.33% | 1.76% | 4.21% | 15.91% | 14.42% | 10.17% | 12.88% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 13, 2014, ALL WEATHER JULS 2's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +1.00%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.8 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.5%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, ALL WEATHER JULS 2 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.47% | 1.16% | -3.02% | 0.33% | 0.86% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.36% | -0.29% | -1.20% | 0.32% | 3.27% | 3.75% | 1.25% | 1.23% | 4.17% | 1.74% | -0.51% | -0.24% | 16.86% |
| 2024 | -0.22% | 4.01% | 3.36% | -2.75% | 3.27% | 1.84% | 1.42% | 0.83% | 3.12% | -0.68% | 3.59% | -1.78% | 16.89% |
| 2023 | 7.67% | -3.11% | 5.48% | 0.58% | -0.79% | 3.55% | 2.41% | -2.55% | -3.30% | -0.17% | 6.48% | 4.37% | 21.73% |
| 2022 | -3.25% | -0.55% | 0.98% | -6.57% | -0.82% | -5.80% | 4.36% | -3.60% | -7.26% | 1.49% | 5.15% | -3.35% | -18.37% |
| 2021 | 0.46% | 2.34% | 2.62% | 3.28% | -0.53% | 1.58% | 1.82% | 2.09% | -3.06% | 5.66% | -1.12% | 0.57% | 16.58% |
Benchmark Metrics
ALL WEATHER JULS 2 has an annualized alpha of 5.22%, beta of 0.51, and R² of 0.70 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 13, 2014.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (68.15%) than losses (56.75%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.22% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.51 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 5.22%
- Beta
- 0.51
- R²
- 0.70
- Upside Capture
- 68.15%
- Downside Capture
- 56.75%
Expense Ratio
ALL WEATHER JULS 2 has an expense ratio of 0.20%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
ALL WEATHER JULS 2 ranks 52 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.42 | 0.88 | +0.54 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.10 | 1.37 | +0.73 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.21 | +0.08 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.65 | 1.39 | +0.26 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.26 | 6.43 | -1.17 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 95 | 2.57 | 4.23 | 1.54 | 4.08 | 15.52 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 62 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.25 | 1.78 | 6.68 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 81 | 1.80 | 2.41 | 1.32 | 3.16 | 8.12 |
DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | 58 | 1.11 | 1.61 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 6.97 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
ALL WEATHER JULS 2 provided a 2.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.17% | 2.24% | 2.48% | 2.28% | 1.74% | 1.00% | 1.08% | 1.75% | 1.75% | 1.35% | 1.45% | 1.54% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.72% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.70% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.54% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | 2.09% | 2.09% | 2.26% | 2.45% | 2.34% | 1.93% | 2.30% | 2.21% | 2.44% | 2.03% | 2.27% | 2.52% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the ALL WEATHER JULS 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the ALL WEATHER JULS 2 was 23.70%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 501 trading sessions.
The current ALL WEATHER JULS 2 drawdown is 3.81%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -23.7% | Nov 10, 2021 | 340 | Oct 15, 2022 | 501 | Feb 28, 2024 | 841 |
| -19.03% | Feb 20, 2020 | 28 | Mar 18, 2020 | 79 | Jun 5, 2020 | 107 |
| -15.8% | Dec 17, 2017 | 374 | Dec 25, 2018 | 170 | Jun 13, 2019 | 544 |
| -11.49% | Aug 30, 2014 | 361 | Aug 25, 2015 | 238 | Apr 19, 2016 | 599 |
| -10.78% | Feb 21, 2025 | 47 | Apr 8, 2025 | 37 | May 15, 2025 | 84 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.77, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | BTC-USD | SHY | TLT | DBC | VWO | DGRO | QQQ | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.18 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.28 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| GLD | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.17 | -0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.27 |
| BTC-USD | 0.18 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.54 |
| SHY | -0.09 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.58 | -0.08 | -0.03 | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.10 |
| TLT | -0.15 | 0.27 | -0.01 | 0.58 | 1.00 | -0.15 | -0.09 | -0.13 | -0.08 | -0.13 | 0.10 |
| DBC | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.06 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| VWO | 0.68 | 0.17 | 0.12 | -0.03 | -0.09 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| DGRO | 0.90 | -0.00 | 0.11 | -0.08 | -0.13 | 0.24 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 0.61 |
| QQQ | 0.91 | 0.01 | 0.15 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.70 |
| SPY | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.15 | -0.08 | -0.13 | 0.25 | 0.63 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.27 | 0.54 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.71 | 1.00 |