Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
EQAC.MI Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF Acc | Large Cap Growth Equities | 20% |
IB01.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | Government Bonds | 10% |
VGWE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF USD Acc | Dividend | 10% |
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | Global Equities | 60% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Run Gemini, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 3, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of VGWE.DE
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.44% | -1.90% | -3.41% | -1.91% | 30.31% | 17.22% | 10.14% | 12.44% |
Portfolio Long Run Gemini | -0.44% | -1.85% | -1.97% | 0.53% | 29.64% | 17.07% | 9.93% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | -0.55% | -2.12% | -2.23% | 0.29% | 31.58% | 17.09% | 9.52% | — |
EQAC.MI Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF Acc | -0.35% | -3.33% | -6.02% | -3.83% | 35.41% | 22.83% | 12.91% | — |
VGWE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF USD Acc | -0.40% | 0.14% | 4.63% | 9.18% | 33.62% | 16.54% | 10.52% | — |
IB01.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | 0.00% | 0.28% | 0.86% | 1.83% | 3.99% | 4.74% | 3.27% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 4, 2020, Long Run Gemini's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.09%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +10.1%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Long Run Gemini closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 10, 2025 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.84% | 0.96% | -6.31% | 1.77% | -1.97% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.19% | -2.11% | -3.34% | 0.73% | 6.27% | 4.66% | 1.47% | 1.70% | 3.24% | 2.70% | -0.12% | 1.49% | 21.31% |
| 2024 | 1.03% | 3.24% | 2.84% | -2.53% | 2.75% | 3.84% | 0.75% | 1.26% | 2.45% | -1.06% | 3.36% | -1.67% | 17.25% |
| 2023 | 6.56% | -1.86% | 3.50% | 1.37% | 0.91% | 5.21% | 3.18% | -1.87% | -3.45% | -3.06% | 8.05% | 5.00% | 25.24% |
| 2022 | -5.38% | -2.07% | 2.68% | -6.92% | -1.60% | -7.29% | 6.31% | -2.96% | -7.54% | 3.55% | 5.48% | -3.15% | -18.47% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | 1.66% | 2.49% | 3.72% | 1.01% | 1.93% | 1.05% | 2.44% | -3.46% | 4.15% | -0.67% | 3.07% | 18.56% |
Benchmark Metrics
Long Run Gemini has an annualized alpha of 5.17%, beta of 0.50, and R² of 0.35 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 04, 2020.
- This portfolio participated in 82.03% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 78.43% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.50 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.35 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.35 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 5.17%
- Beta
- 0.50
- R²
- 0.35
- Upside Capture
- 78.43%
- Downside Capture
- 82.03%
Expense Ratio
Long Run Gemini has an expense ratio of 0.23%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Long Run Gemini ranks 58 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.34 | 1.84 | -0.50 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.91 | 2.97 | -1.07 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.40 | -0.12 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.87 | 1.82 | +2.04 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 17.10 | 7.76 | +9.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | 67 | 1.27 | 1.81 | 1.27 | 2.76 | 12.05 |
EQAC.MI Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF Acc | 50 | 1.15 | 1.72 | 1.23 | 2.12 | 7.69 |
VGWE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World High Dividend Yield UCITS ETF USD Acc | 70 | 1.71 | 2.19 | 1.35 | 3.35 | 12.66 |
IB01.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 0-1yr UCITS ETF (Acc) | 100 | 11.48 | 30.08 | 7.77 | 46.62 | 447.81 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Run Gemini. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Long Run Gemini was 24.47%, occurring on Oct 12, 2022. Recovery took 302 trading sessions.
The current Long Run Gemini drawdown is 5.25%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.47% | Dec 29, 2021 | 204 | Oct 12, 2022 | 302 | Dec 14, 2023 | 506 |
| -16.18% | Feb 18, 2025 | 37 | Apr 9, 2025 | 27 | May 20, 2025 | 64 |
| -7.66% | Feb 26, 2026 | 22 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -7.46% | Jul 15, 2024 | 16 | Aug 5, 2024 | 33 | Sep 19, 2024 | 49 |
| -6.9% | Sep 3, 2020 | 13 | Sep 21, 2020 | 35 | Nov 9, 2020 | 48 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.38, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IB01.L | VGWE.DE | EQAC.MI | VWCE.DE | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| IB01.L | -0.01 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| VGWE.DE | 0.54 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| EQAC.MI | 0.59 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| VWCE.DE | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Portfolio | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.99 | 1.00 |