Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Global Equities | 30% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | Financial Services | 25% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 15% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | Dividend | 10% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 5% |
BTI British American Tobacco p.l.c. | Consumer Defensive | 5% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 5% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 5% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 预计调仓, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 5, 2026, the 预计调仓 returned 5.62% Year-To-Date and 11.88% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | 0.25% | 7.86% | 7.47% | — | — | — | — |
Portfolio 预计调仓 | -1.14% | 0.44% | 5.62% | 5.78% | 17.22% | 17.30% | 10.46% | 11.88% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | -0.45% | -0.64% | -0.05% | 0.11% | 4.33% | 3.80% | 0.02% | 1.56% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 1.98% | 3.90% | -2.89% | -3.21% | -0.12% | 13.55% | 10.78% | 13.19% |
BTI British American Tobacco p.l.c. | 3.23% | 0.27% | 7.01% | 7.69% | 33.37% | 32.36% | 17.58% | 6.49% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -3.65% | -8.06% | -0.02% | 2.54% | 28.10% | 29.53% | 17.47% | 12.80% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | -4.80% | 1.34% | 14.92% | 13.01% | 35.00% | 26.46% | 16.70% | 21.27% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | -0.89% | 2.02% | 18.75% | 18.75% | 27.90% | 15.14% | 8.31% | 12.64% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | -2.58% | 0.51% | 8.45% | 8.18% | 25.79% | 21.43% | 13.32% | 15.16% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | -3.07% | -0.89% | 9.20% | 9.69% | 25.79% | 19.73% | 10.38% | 12.30% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 21, 2011, 预计调仓's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +0.95%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 6.1 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +9.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 预计调仓 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -8.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.84% | 3.12% | -4.98% | 4.29% | 2.72% | -1.19% | 5.62% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.08% | 2.67% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 1.36% | 2.01% | 0.46% | 3.93% | 1.68% | -0.33% | 3.20% | -0.30% | 19.31% |
| 2024 | 2.04% | 3.66% | 3.09% | -3.75% | 3.85% | 0.76% | 4.53% | 3.90% | 0.46% | -1.60% | 4.46% | -3.65% | 18.67% |
| 2023 | 4.15% | -2.67% | 2.27% | 2.46% | -1.91% | 4.58% | 2.98% | -0.81% | -3.62% | -2.22% | 6.83% | 2.81% | 15.21% |
| 2022 | -0.82% | -0.32% | 3.35% | -6.82% | 0.23% | -7.81% | 5.98% | -4.13% | -7.08% | 6.57% | 6.93% | -3.26% | -8.45% |
| 2021 | -1.04% | 2.20% | 4.09% | 4.07% | 2.67% | -0.54% | 0.71% | 1.92% | -3.79% | 4.05% | -2.01% | 4.91% | 18.15% |
Benchmark Metrics
预计调仓 has an annualized alpha of 4.12%, beta of 0.54, and R2 of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 21, 2011.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (59.22%) than losses (43.40%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.12% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.54 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.12%
- Beta
- 0.54
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 59.22%
- Downside Capture
- 43.40%
Expense Ratio
预计调仓 has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
预计调仓 ranks 42 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 预计调仓 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.14 | — | — |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.96 | — | — |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | — | — |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.50 | — | — |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.85 | — | — |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 33 | 1.16 | 1.71 | 1.20 | 1.62 | 4.86 |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 38 | -0.01 | 0.09 | 1.01 | -0.01 | -0.03 |
BTI British American Tobacco p.l.c. | 77 | 1.47 | 2.09 | 1.25 | 2.44 | 5.60 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 29 | 1.05 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.40 | 3.56 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 62 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 1.37 | 2.94 | 11.22 |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 83 | 2.55 | 3.94 | 1.46 | 6.07 | 14.90 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 66 | 2.14 | 2.88 | 1.39 | 2.92 | 13.50 |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 60 | 1.98 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.68 | 11.87 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
预计调仓 provided a 1.74% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.74% | 1.85% | 2.00% | 2.02% | 1.87% | 1.62% | 1.64% | 1.84% | 2.06% | 1.62% | 1.73% | 1.78% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.98% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTI British American Tobacco p.l.c. | 5.16% | 5.29% | 8.18% | 9.72% | 7.23% | 7.98% | 7.22% | 6.35% | 8.53% | 4.27% | 3.85% | 4.11% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.40% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 3.27% | 3.82% | 3.64% | 3.49% | 3.39% | 2.78% | 3.16% | 2.98% | 3.06% | 2.63% | 2.89% | 2.97% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.64% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 预计调仓. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 预计调仓 was 26.11%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 97 trading sessions.
The current 预计调仓 drawdown is 0.44%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -26.11%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4mo 20d | 5mo 22dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -19.80%Oct 2022 | 6mo 15d | 1y 2mo | 1y 8moMar 2022 - Dec 2023 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -15.74%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 6mo 11d | 1y 5moJan 2018 - Jul 2019 |
2016 correction2016 | -11.74%Jan 2016 | 8mo 6d | 3mo | 11mo 6dMay 2015 - Apr 2016 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.66%Apr 2025 | 5d | 24d | 29dApr 2025 - May 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.13, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.63 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.24 | 1.23 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.23, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
预计调仓 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 21, 2011 | 0.78 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while BRK-B has the lowest at 0.11.
Asset Correlations Table
| BND | GLD | BTI | BRK-B | SCHD | QQQ | VT | SPY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.01 | -0.13 | -0.06 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| GLD | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.10 | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| BTI | 0.01 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| BRK-B | -0.13 | -0.03 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| SCHD | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| QQQ | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.30 | 0.49 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| VT | -0.02 | 0.13 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| SPY | -0.05 | 0.05 | 0.38 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
Find what 预计调仓 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 预计调仓 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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