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Portfolio 2026
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IAU 10.00%IBIT 20.00%USD=X 20.00%VOO 40.00%VEA 5.00%IDEF 5.00%CommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Portfolio 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 21, 2025, corresponding to the inception date of IDEF

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.44%-1.90%-3.41%-1.91%30.31%17.22%10.14%12.44%
Portfolio
Portfolio 2026
0.00%-1.66%-3.68%-8.42%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
0.44%-1.75%-3.12%-1.31%31.67%18.81%11.72%14.33%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
4.08%2.38%-20.40%-44.56%-17.17%
USD=X
USD Cash
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-0.38%-9.66%7.93%17.41%53.00%32.05%21.49%13.86%
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
0.74%-0.08%4.42%8.43%43.21%16.56%8.74%9.55%
IDEF
iShares Defense Industrials Active ETF
1.09%-3.97%11.23%5.14%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 22, 2025, Portfolio 2026's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.35%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 16.5 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -3.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, Portfolio 2026 closed higher 38% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 6, 2026 with a return of +3.0%, while the worst single day was Feb 5, 2026 at -3.2%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.85%-2.93%-3.90%1.38%-3.68%
2025-0.13%3.31%2.57%0.02%4.36%0.66%-3.01%0.07%7.92%

Benchmark Metrics

Portfolio 2026 has an annualized alpha of -7.65%, beta of 0.89, and R² of 0.62 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 22, 2025.

  • This portfolio participated in 110.40% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 55.19% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -7.65% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.89 and R² of 0.62, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
-7.65%
Beta
0.89
0.62
Upside Capture
55.19%
Downside Capture
110.40%

Expense Ratio

Portfolio 2026 has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.84

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.97

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.40

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.28

1.82

-2.10

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-0.69

7.76

-8.44


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
811.943.101.422.048.70
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
5-0.38-0.270.97-0.41-0.85
USD=X
USD Cash
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
801.942.361.352.539.06
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
892.673.791.512.7010.59
IDEF
iShares Defense Industrials Active ETF

Sharpe Ratio

There isn't enough data available to calculate the Sharpe ratio for Portfolio 2026. This metric is based on the past 12 months of trading data. Please check back later for updated information.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Portfolio 2026 provided a 0.62% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.62%0.62%0.67%0.74%0.82%0.66%0.72%0.91%0.99%0.85%0.96%0.99%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
1.18%1.13%1.24%1.46%1.69%1.25%1.54%1.88%2.06%1.78%2.02%2.10%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USD=X
USD Cash
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VEA
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
2.88%3.22%3.35%3.15%2.91%3.16%2.04%3.04%3.35%2.77%3.05%2.92%
IDEF
iShares Defense Industrials Active ETF
0.15%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Portfolio 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Portfolio 2026 was 11.69%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current Portfolio 2026 drawdown is 8.42%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-11.69%Oct 7, 2025175Mar 30, 2026
-2.71%Aug 14, 20258Aug 21, 202521Sep 11, 202529
-2.16%Jul 25, 20258Aug 1, 202511Aug 12, 202519
-1.63%Jun 17, 20254Jun 20, 20255Jun 25, 20259
-1.33%Sep 19, 20257Sep 25, 20254Sep 29, 202511

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkUSD=XIAUIBITIDEFVEAVOOPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.000.120.480.630.771.000.75
USD=X0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
IAU0.120.001.000.140.250.320.120.31
IBIT0.480.000.141.000.440.350.430.84
IDEF0.630.000.250.441.000.560.590.64
VEA0.770.000.320.350.561.000.740.66
VOO1.000.000.120.430.590.741.000.71
Portfolio0.750.000.310.840.640.660.711.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 22, 2025