Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | Financial Services | 6.25% |
CB Chubb Limited | Financial Services | 6.25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 40% |
HSY The Hershey Company | Consumer Defensive | 6.25% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | Consumer Defensive | 6.25% |
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.25% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 6.25% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 10% |
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | Financial Services | 6.25% |
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | Financial Services | 6.25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in test, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every week.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 18, 2004, corresponding to the inception date of GLD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the test returned 5.39% Year-To-Date and 15.42% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio test | -0.26% | -6.27% | 5.39% | 10.78% | 25.02% | 22.13% | 18.42% | 15.42% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 1.09% | -6.25% | -5.77% | -12.66% | -3.61% | 19.18% | 16.93% | 17.37% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 1.03% | -7.59% | -8.77% | -15.44% | -27.55% | 13.80% | 18.00% | 22.03% |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 1.31% | -1.71% | 0.85% | 6.55% | 0.48% | 14.03% | 20.89% | 15.54% |
CB Chubb Limited | 0.36% | -1.45% | 5.50% | 16.34% | 9.96% | 20.29% | 17.37% | 12.58% |
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 1.19% | -5.44% | 1.72% | 4.10% | 13.51% | 21.72% | 16.59% | 12.01% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.98% | 8.35% | 20.07% | 49.92% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -4.10% | -4.65% | -2.77% | 30.43% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 0.84% | -1.09% | 10.50% | 16.71% | 7.88% | 10.37% | 11.14% | 8.39% |
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 1.53% | -3.36% | 10.38% | 12.66% | 7.88% | -1.63% | 5.35% | 7.43% |
HSY The Hershey Company | 1.63% | -11.14% | 14.05% | 7.18% | 27.39% | -4.49% | 7.93% | 10.96% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 19, 2004, test's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.10%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Jul 2020 with a return of +8.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -9.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, test closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 21, 2008 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -8.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.13% | 7.97% | -8.16% | 0.15% | 5.39% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.62% | 4.39% | 4.48% | 1.04% | 1.66% | 0.02% | -1.26% | 3.97% | 5.53% | -0.21% | 6.02% | 0.16% | 32.00% |
| 2024 | 3.48% | 1.97% | 6.16% | -0.56% | 3.15% | -1.00% | 4.18% | 4.61% | 2.20% | -0.34% | 1.71% | -3.83% | 23.50% |
| 2023 | 3.26% | -1.96% | 3.70% | 2.00% | -2.80% | 1.32% | 1.70% | -1.75% | -2.41% | 4.30% | 4.07% | 0.42% | 12.09% |
| 2022 | 0.07% | 2.76% | 3.82% | -2.88% | -0.27% | -2.64% | -0.36% | -1.09% | -3.98% | 6.82% | 5.43% | -0.10% | 7.19% |
| 2021 | -4.98% | -0.15% | 3.20% | 4.19% | 3.55% | -3.39% | 2.27% | 1.92% | -4.30% | 5.16% | -1.97% | 6.27% | 11.53% |
Benchmark Metrics
test has an annualized alpha of 9.09%, beta of 0.49, and R² of 0.53 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 19, 2004.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (60.95%) than losses (22.49%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.09% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.49 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 9.09%
- Beta
- 0.49
- R²
- 0.53
- Upside Capture
- 60.95%
- Downside Capture
- 22.49%
Expense Ratio
test has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
test ranks 70 for risk / return — better than 70% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.71 | 0.88 | +0.83 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.30 | 1.37 | +0.94 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.21 | +0.12 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.10 | 1.39 | +0.71 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.83 | 6.43 | +2.40 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 31 | -0.13 | -0.03 | 1.00 | -0.22 | -0.49 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.04 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.91 | -1.47 |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 37 | -0.00 | 0.16 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.10 |
CB Chubb Limited | 55 | 0.52 | 0.85 | 1.11 | 0.88 | 1.75 |
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 59 | 0.61 | 0.96 | 1.13 | 1.11 | 3.35 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 78 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 58 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 58 | 0.64 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.00 | 2.03 |
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 51 | 0.42 | 0.81 | 1.09 | 0.60 | 1.23 |
HSY The Hershey Company | 71 | 1.10 | 1.73 | 1.20 | 1.49 | 4.63 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
test provided a 1.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.40% | 1.13% | 1.38% | 1.00% | 0.83% | 1.27% | 1.03% | 1.22% | 1.25% | 1.05% | 1.20% | 1.20% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 2.82% | 2.64% | 2.39% | 2.73% | 1.22% | 2.44% | 0.71% | 2.43% | 2.83% | 2.16% | 2.27% | 0.86% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.12% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CB Chubb Limited | 1.18% | 1.22% | 1.30% | 1.51% | 1.49% | 1.65% | 2.01% | 1.91% | 2.24% | 1.93% | 2.07% | 4.23% |
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 1.50% | 1.50% | 1.72% | 2.06% | 1.96% | 2.23% | 2.40% | 2.36% | 2.53% | 2.09% | 2.14% | 2.11% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
KO The Coca-Cola Company | 2.69% | 2.92% | 3.12% | 3.12% | 2.77% | 2.84% | 2.99% | 2.89% | 3.29% | 3.23% | 3.38% | 3.07% |
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 3.62% | 3.92% | 3.51% | 2.91% | 2.50% | 2.45% | 2.71% | 2.77% | 3.25% | 2.64% | 2.83% | 2.76% |
HSY The Hershey Company | 2.70% | 3.01% | 3.24% | 2.39% | 1.67% | 1.76% | 2.07% | 2.03% | 2.57% | 2.24% | 2.32% | 2.50% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the test. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the test was 23.60%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 84 trading sessions.
The current test drawdown is 8.56%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -23.6% | Feb 24, 2020 | 21 | Mar 23, 2020 | 84 | Jul 22, 2020 | 105 |
| -22.86% | Feb 28, 2008 | 187 | Nov 20, 2008 | 175 | Aug 4, 2009 | 362 |
| -12.99% | Apr 21, 2022 | 109 | Sep 26, 2022 | 71 | Jan 6, 2023 | 180 |
| -11.66% | Mar 3, 2026 | 18 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -11.58% | May 11, 2006 | 24 | Jun 14, 2006 | 137 | Dec 28, 2006 | 161 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.97, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | HSY | PEP | QQQ | KO | ACGL | PGR | WRB | CB | TRV | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.89 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| GLD | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.01 | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.58 |
| HSY | 0.39 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| PEP | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.65 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| QQQ | 0.89 | 0.05 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| KO | 0.48 | 0.05 | 0.47 | 0.65 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| ACGL | 0.47 | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| PGR | 0.51 | -0.00 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| WRB | 0.52 | -0.01 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| CB | 0.54 | -0.00 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| TRV | 0.55 | -0.00 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Portfolio | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.00 |