Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | Long-Term Bond | 20% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 20% | |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities | 20% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 20% |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | Mid Cap Blend Equities | 20% |
Find the right asset allocation for Golden butterfly
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Golden butterfly, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio Golden butterfly | 0.03% | 0.80% | 5.85% | 6.06% | 14.28% | 11.39% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | -0.38% | -1.02% | -0.54% | -0.73% | 5.53% | 1.83% | -3.70% | 0.81% |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | -0.04% | 1.75% | 8.60% | 8.43% | 16.32% | 15.78% | 7.59% | 11.44% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 0.25% | 2.67% | 11.91% | 13.41% | 25.49% | 17.72% | 11.30% | 12.42% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 0.24% | 0.45% | 8.51% | 8.47% | 24.49% | 21.67% | 13.12% | 15.36% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, Golden butterfly's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.57%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.2%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Golden butterfly closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.0%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -3.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.58% | 1.87% | -3.82% | 4.73% | 2.28% | -0.72% | 5.85% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.45% | 0.37% | -2.69% | -1.28% | 2.64% | 3.18% | 0.83% | 1.50% | 2.15% | 0.41% | 0.71% | -0.25% | 10.31% |
| 2024 | -0.04% | 2.25% | 2.81% | -3.60% | 2.78% | 0.84% | 2.65% | 2.04% | 1.71% | -1.52% | 4.53% | -4.17% | 10.35% |
| 2023 | 4.89% | -2.72% | 1.33% | 0.62% | -1.79% | 4.43% | 1.85% | -2.01% | -3.83% | -2.82% | 7.17% | 4.91% | 11.90% |
| 2022 | 1.06% | -0.34% | 1.56% | -6.72% | 0.42% | -5.67% | 5.64% | -2.99% | -7.02% | 4.85% | 5.22% | -3.46% | -8.29% |
Benchmark Metrics
Golden butterfly has an annualized alpha of -0.57%, beta of 0.57, and R2 of 0.87 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 75.25% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 58.82% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.57 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- -0.57%
- Beta
- 0.57
- R²
- 0.87
- Upside Capture
- 58.82%
- Downside Capture
- 75.25%
Expense Ratio
Golden butterfly has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Golden butterfly ranks 44 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Golden butterfly and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.97 | 1.94 | +0.03 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.80 | 2.63 | +0.17 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 1.35 | +0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.74 | 2.59 | +0.15 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.26 | 11.84 | -0.58 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | 21 | 0.69 | 1.04 | 1.12 | 0.97 | 2.42 |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | 43 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 1.23 | 2.01 | 7.62 |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 84 | 2.52 | 3.58 | 1.45 | 4.03 | 15.20 |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 66 | 2.01 | 2.72 | 1.36 | 2.67 | 12.13 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Golden butterfly provided a 1.82% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.82% | 1.86% | 2.03% | 1.89% | 1.99% | 1.57% | 2.32% | 1.87% | 2.14% | 1.80% | 2.01% | 2.08% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | 4.84% | 4.67% | 5.09% | 4.06% | 4.17% | 3.37% | 6.12% | 3.57% | 4.07% | 3.63% | 4.16% | 4.37% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VO Vanguard Mid-Cap ETF | 1.38% | 1.52% | 1.49% | 1.52% | 1.60% | 1.12% | 1.45% | 1.48% | 1.82% | 1.35% | 1.45% | 1.47% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 1.87% | 2.05% | 2.31% | 2.46% | 2.52% | 2.15% | 2.56% | 2.50% | 2.73% | 2.29% | 2.44% | 2.60% |
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF | 0.99% | 1.08% | 1.24% | 1.41% | 1.66% | 1.19% | 1.46% | 1.81% | 2.09% | 1.75% | 1.98% | 1.96% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Golden butterfly. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Golden butterfly was 17.17%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 325 trading sessions.
The current Golden butterfly drawdown is 1.37%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -17.17%Oct 2022 | 6mo 18d | 1y 3mo | 1y 10moMar 2022 - Feb 2024 |
2025 selloff2025 | -11.24%Apr 2025 | 4mo 7d | 2mo 23d | 7moDec 2024 - Jun 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -5.24%Mar 2026 | 1mo 1d | 18d | 1mo 19dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
Bear market2022 | -4.70%Mar 2022 | 1mo 2d | 14d | 1mo 16dFeb 2022 - Mar 2022 |
2024 pullback2024 | -4.06%Apr 2024 | 17d | 1mo 26d | 2mo 13dApr 2024 - Jun 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.26 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.26, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Golden butterfly correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.88 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022 | 0.91 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VV has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Golden butterfly is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Golden butterfly is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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