Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 4% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 3% |
COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | Mid Cap Value Equities, Dividend | 25% |
IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | Global Bonds | 3% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 25% |
USRT iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF | REIT | 5% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in longterm balance new 3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 19, 2016, corresponding to the inception date of COWZ
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 0.61% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 29.40% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio longterm balance new 3 | -0.24% | -0.95% | 2.27% | 7.85% | 30.88% | 18.62% | 12.04% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
USRT iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF | 0.37% | 1.57% | 9.49% | 11.44% | 22.26% | 10.58% | 6.11% | 5.95% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | -0.15% | 0.00% | 0.39% | 0.77% | 6.21% | 3.55% | 0.28% | 1.69% |
IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | -0.22% | -0.08% | 0.42% | 0.51% | 3.11% | 4.55% | 1.02% | 2.24% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | -0.07% | 0.73% | -0.09% | 4.64% | 31.12% | 19.99% | 12.14% | 14.61% |
COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | -1.05% | -2.41% | 2.53% | 12.03% | 28.29% | 10.93% | 10.26% | — |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -0.18% | -8.19% | 10.34% | 18.50% | 49.74% | 33.09% | 21.94% | 13.95% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.14% | 0.68% | -0.40% | 3.92% | 37.62% | 25.34% | 13.31% | 19.62% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.03% | 0.32% | 0.98% | 1.82% | 4.00% | 4.70% | 3.30% | 2.14% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 20, 2016, longterm balance new 3's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.19%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.9 years.
Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +11.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, longterm balance new 3 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -9.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.96% | 1.73% | -4.86% | 2.63% | 2.27% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.68% | -0.85% | -3.43% | -0.71% | 4.81% | 3.81% | 1.33% | 2.63% | 3.38% | 2.33% | 1.13% | 0.38% | 18.61% |
| 2024 | 0.38% | 3.83% | 4.19% | -3.63% | 3.85% | 2.13% | 2.42% | 1.48% | 2.05% | -0.64% | 4.51% | -2.74% | 18.92% |
| 2023 | 7.41% | -2.65% | 3.95% | 0.59% | 0.53% | 5.32% | 3.87% | -1.15% | -3.93% | -1.43% | 7.25% | 4.45% | 26.09% |
| 2022 | -4.08% | -0.91% | 3.38% | -7.10% | 0.28% | -8.46% | 7.70% | -3.77% | -8.26% | 6.39% | 5.72% | -5.25% | -15.10% |
| 2021 | 0.36% | 1.09% | 5.24% | 4.40% | 1.32% | 1.45% | 2.47% | 2.60% | -3.90% | 5.01% | -0.01% | 3.74% | 26.10% |
Benchmark Metrics
longterm balance new 3 has an annualized alpha of 3.70%, beta of 0.81, and R² of 0.96 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 20, 2016.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (91.00%) than losses (81.24%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.70% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 3.70%
- Beta
- 0.81
- R²
- 0.96
- Upside Capture
- 91.00%
- Downside Capture
- 81.24%
Expense Ratio
longterm balance new 3 has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
longterm balance new 3 ranks 80 for risk / return — in the top 80% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.94 | 2.23 | +0.71 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.14 | 3.12 | +1.03 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.42 | +0.13 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.21 | 4.05 | +1.16 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 23.66 | 17.91 | +5.75 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USRT iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF | 41 | 1.64 | 2.24 | 1.29 | 3.37 | 10.88 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 34 | 1.58 | 2.36 | 1.28 | 2.29 | 7.38 |
IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | 23 | 1.18 | 1.70 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 5.31 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 70 | 2.37 | 3.29 | 1.44 | 4.31 | 19.24 |
COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | 72 | 2.25 | 3.38 | 1.40 | 6.48 | 19.03 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 43 | 1.84 | 2.26 | 1.34 | 3.08 | 10.60 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 61 | 2.23 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 3.98 | 14.88 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.56 | 254.71 | 180.39 | 366.82 | 4,118.43 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
longterm balance new 3 provided a 1.45% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.45% | 1.47% | 1.49% | 1.55% | 1.49% | 1.00% | 1.46% | 1.56% | 1.68% | 1.47% | 1.13% | 1.03% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
USRT iShares Core U.S. REIT ETF | 2.75% | 3.07% | 2.85% | 3.18% | 3.46% | 2.27% | 3.12% | 3.34% | 5.66% | 3.44% | 3.98% | 3.59% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
IAGG iShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF | 3.68% | 3.08% | 4.28% | 3.55% | 2.27% | 1.16% | 1.95% | 2.82% | 3.02% | 1.74% | 1.56% | 0.13% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.14% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
COWZ Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF | 2.10% | 2.19% | 1.82% | 1.92% | 1.96% | 1.48% | 2.54% | 1.96% | 1.67% | 1.95% | 0.13% | 0.00% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.46% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.95% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the longterm balance new 3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the longterm balance new 3 was 27.51%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 79 trading sessions.
The current longterm balance new 3 drawdown is 2.49%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.51% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 79 | Jul 15, 2020 | 102 |
| -20.59% | Jan 5, 2022 | 186 | Sep 30, 2022 | 195 | Jul 13, 2023 | 381 |
| -15.71% | Aug 30, 2018 | 80 | Dec 24, 2018 | 59 | Mar 21, 2019 | 139 |
| -15.7% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 52 | Jun 24, 2025 | 86 |
| -8.35% | Sep 3, 2020 | 14 | Sep 23, 2020 | 37 | Nov 13, 2020 | 51 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | IAU | IAGG | BND | USRT | COWZ | QQQ | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| BIL | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| IAU | 0.06 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| IAGG | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.19 | -0.02 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| BND | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.35 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.23 | -0.03 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| USRT | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.42 | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| COWZ | 0.76 | -0.02 | 0.06 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| QQQ | 0.91 | -0.00 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 1.00 |