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Modified Trends Portfolio
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


FBTC 10.00%AAPL 10.00%MSFT 10.00%VTI 10.00%VOO 10.00%NVDA 10.00%AMZN 10.00%QQQ 10.00%TSLA 10.00%AVUV 10.00%CryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Modified Trends Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of FBTC

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Modified Trends Portfolio
-0.44%-3.07%-8.79%-10.19%17.68%
AAPL
Apple Inc
0.11%-2.97%-5.78%-0.28%14.80%16.04%16.39%26.10%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
1.11%-7.54%-22.60%-27.29%-1.52%10.00%9.94%22.58%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.16%-3.26%-3.13%-1.24%17.86%18.10%10.66%13.75%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
0.11%-3.33%-3.55%-1.41%17.60%18.47%11.96%14.19%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.93%-1.47%-4.88%-6.08%60.69%85.17%66.71%70.07%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
-0.38%0.50%-9.12%-5.68%7.02%27.00%5.83%21.61%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.64%-4.65%-3.18%23.45%22.97%13.18%19.05%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
-5.42%-8.11%-19.82%-17.30%27.53%22.79%10.33%36.16%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
0.68%-0.56%9.54%12.30%27.33%16.21%10.57%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
-1.68%-1.83%-23.44%-44.70%-23.09%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Modified Trends Portfolio's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.81%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +13.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -7.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Modified Trends Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -6.3%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-0.65%-5.34%-3.40%0.41%-8.79%
20250.92%-6.64%-7.50%1.56%11.06%4.91%4.16%1.54%6.61%3.21%-3.94%0.20%15.53%
2024-0.64%11.57%3.52%-4.70%7.90%5.15%2.93%-1.73%4.96%0.19%13.21%1.07%51.02%

Benchmark Metrics

Modified Trends Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 2.34%, beta of 1.36, and R² of 0.86 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 141.24% of S&P 500 Index gains and 112.88% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.34% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
2.34%
Beta
1.36
0.86
Upside Capture
141.24%
Downside Capture
112.88%

Expense Ratio

Modified Trends Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Modified Trends Portfolio ranks 20 for risk / return — below 20% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


Modified Trends Portfolio Risk / Return Rank: 2020
Overall Rank
Modified Trends Portfolio Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1818
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Modified Trends Portfolio Sortino Ratio Rank: 2020
Sortino Ratio Rank
Modified Trends Portfolio Omega Ratio Rank: 1818
Omega Ratio Rank
Modified Trends Portfolio Calmar Ratio Rank: 2525
Calmar Ratio Rank
Modified Trends Portfolio Martin Ratio Rank: 1919
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.72

0.88

-0.16

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.21

1.37

-0.16

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.16

1.21

-0.04

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.21

1.39

-0.18

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

3.64

6.43

-2.80


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AAPL
Apple Inc
550.470.921.130.662.04
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
35-0.060.111.01-0.05-0.12
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
540.941.471.221.537.16
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
540.981.491.231.537.13
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
811.472.171.273.027.54
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
460.200.551.070.421.00
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
591.041.621.231.937.00
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
600.501.101.131.253.01
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
631.171.731.241.907.48
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
5-0.51-0.490.94-0.43-0.91

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Modified Trends Portfolio Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.72
  • All Time: 1.00

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Modified Trends Portfolio compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Modified Trends Portfolio provided a 0.56% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.56%0.54%0.58%0.64%0.78%0.54%0.64%0.73%0.90%0.79%0.97%1.05%
AAPL
Apple Inc
0.41%0.38%0.40%0.49%0.70%0.49%0.61%1.04%1.79%1.45%1.93%1.93%
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
0.93%0.70%0.73%0.74%1.06%0.68%0.94%1.20%1.69%1.86%2.37%2.33%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.16%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
1.18%1.13%1.24%1.46%1.69%1.25%1.54%1.88%2.06%1.78%2.02%2.10%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.02%0.02%0.03%0.03%0.11%0.05%0.12%0.27%0.46%0.29%0.45%1.20%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
1.39%1.58%1.61%1.65%1.74%1.28%1.21%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Modified Trends Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Modified Trends Portfolio was 27.88%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 68 trading sessions.

The current Modified Trends Portfolio drawdown is 12.40%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-27.88%Dec 18, 202475Apr 8, 202568Jul 17, 2025143
-15.92%Nov 4, 2025100Mar 30, 2026
-14.15%Jul 17, 202416Aug 7, 202451Oct 18, 202467
-8.11%Mar 26, 202418Apr 19, 202418May 15, 202436
-4.11%Oct 7, 20254Oct 10, 202511Oct 27, 202515

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkFBTCAAPLAVUVTSLANVDAMSFTAMZNQQQVTIVOOPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.400.540.670.560.640.660.660.940.991.000.87
FBTC0.401.000.140.380.380.290.250.290.400.420.400.61
AAPL0.540.141.000.350.370.270.350.360.540.530.540.52
AVUV0.670.380.351.000.390.260.260.350.530.730.680.57
TSLA0.560.380.370.391.000.350.370.410.590.550.550.74
NVDA0.640.290.270.260.351.000.520.460.720.610.640.69
MSFT0.660.250.350.260.370.521.000.590.700.630.660.64
AMZN0.660.290.360.350.410.460.591.000.700.640.660.68
QQQ0.940.400.540.530.590.720.700.701.000.920.940.90
VTI0.990.420.530.730.550.610.630.640.921.000.990.87
VOO1.000.400.540.680.550.640.660.660.940.991.000.87
Portfolio0.870.610.520.570.740.690.640.680.900.870.871.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024