Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
PRULX T. Rowe Price U.S. Treasury Long Term Index Fund | Government Bonds | 20% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 20% | |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
TEMFX Templeton Foreign Fund Class A | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 20% |
^FVX Treasury Yield 5 Years | 20% |
Find the right asset allocation for 30 year
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 30 year, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 30 year returned 4.49% Year-To-Date and 14.92% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 30 year | 0.22% | -3.15% | 4.49% | 5.45% | 21.72% | 16.55% | 16.84% | 14.92% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^FVX Treasury Yield 5 Years | 0.55% | 2.23% | 13.19% | 12.32% | 4.70% | 1.57% | 41.30% | 14.05% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 5.86% | -19.04% | -9.77% | -8.79% | 45.85% | 40.48% | 17.92% | 12.83% |
PRULX T. Rowe Price U.S. Treasury Long Term Index Fund | 1.15% | 1.50% | -0.34% | 1.05% | 5.66% | -0.05% | -5.65% | -0.61% |
TEMFX Templeton Foreign Fund Class A | 3.17% | 1.46% | 9.82% | 12.41% | 22.35% | 13.80% | 7.76% | 7.53% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 3, 1995, 30 year's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.76%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.6 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Feb 2021 with a return of +16.1%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -17.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 30 year closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +7.9%, while the worst single day was Dec 1, 2008 at -6.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.04% | 1.61% | -6.69% | 3.05% | 2.64% | -2.66% | 4.49% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.69% | 0.72% | 1.90% | 0.07% | 3.95% | 1.69% | 0.47% | 4.03% | 6.63% | -0.02% | 3.06% | 2.41% | 32.40% |
| 2024 | -2.81% | 2.15% | 4.71% | 1.00% | 2.93% | -1.85% | 2.24% | 1.05% | 1.31% | 1.71% | -0.37% | -1.92% | 10.33% |
| 2023 | 5.20% | -2.03% | 1.60% | 0.89% | -1.77% | 4.17% | 2.06% | -2.26% | -3.04% | -0.64% | 5.38% | 1.74% | 11.37% |
| 2022 | 2.82% | 3.05% | 11.84% | -2.47% | -1.60% | -4.42% | 0.00% | -0.64% | -0.79% | 2.64% | 7.80% | -1.08% | 17.29% |
| 2021 | 2.31% | 16.05% | 8.03% | 1.57% | 2.36% | -0.38% | -2.52% | 1.15% | 1.30% | 7.78% | -1.64% | 3.45% | 45.51% |
Benchmark Metrics
30 year has an annualized alpha of 4.10%, beta of 0.49, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 03, 1995.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (59.61%) than losses (54.46%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.49 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.44 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.10%
- Beta
- 0.49
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 59.61%
- Downside Capture
- 54.46%
Expense Ratio
30 year has an expense ratio of 0.58%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
30 year ranks 34 for risk / return — below 34% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 30 year and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.81 | 1.86 | -0.05 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.37 | 2.53 | -0.17 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.00 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.25 | 2.53 | -0.28 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.28 | 11.37 | -3.09 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^FVX Treasury Yield 5 Years | 24 | 0.35 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.48 | 0.90 |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 71 | 1.86 | 2.53 | 1.34 | 2.53 | 11.37 |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 22 | 1.22 | 1.63 | 1.23 | 1.43 | 4.10 |
PRULX T. Rowe Price U.S. Treasury Long Term Index Fund | 10 | 0.65 | 0.99 | 1.12 | 0.81 | 2.11 |
TEMFX Templeton Foreign Fund Class A | 29 | 1.33 | 1.94 | 1.24 | 1.75 | 6.06 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
30 year provided a 5.19% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 5.19% | 4.90% | 1.87% | 1.48% | 0.65% | 1.16% | 4.67% | 4.15% | 1.12% | 0.88% | 1.74% | 1.03% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
^FVX Treasury Yield 5 Years | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GOLDX Gabelli Gold Fund | 17.26% | 15.57% | 2.11% | 1.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.69% | 0.83% | 0.34% | 0.51% | 2.18% | 0.00% |
PRULX T. Rowe Price U.S. Treasury Long Term Index Fund | 5.30% | 5.21% | 4.88% | 3.84% | 2.07% | 1.72% | 20.34% | 16.60% | 2.62% | 2.48% | 4.65% | 5.09% |
TEMFX Templeton Foreign Fund Class A | 3.37% | 3.71% | 2.35% | 2.43% | 1.19% | 4.10% | 1.32% | 3.31% | 2.65% | 1.39% | 1.88% | 0.05% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 30 year. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 30 year was 44.17%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 519 trading sessions.
The current 30 year drawdown is 4.01%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -44.17%Nov 2008 | 1y 20d | 2y 24d | 3y 1moNov 2007 - Dec 2010 |
COVID crash2020 | -30.03%Mar 2020 | 2mo 20d | 7mo 21d | 10mo 11dJan 2020 - Nov 2020 |
2012 bear market2012 | -25.44%Jul 2012 | 1y 3mo | 1y 20d | 2y 4moApr 2011 - Aug 2013 |
Dot-com crash2000–2002 | -21.92%Oct 2002 | 4mo 13d | 10mo 16d | 1y 2moMay 2002 - Aug 2003 |
1998 correction1998 | -19.32%Aug 1998 | 4mo 9d | 7mo 24d | 12mo 3dApr 1998 - Apr 1999 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.71 | 1.92 | 2.02 | 1.86 | 1.81 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.81, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
30 year correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.61 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 3, 1995 | 0.60 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. ^GSPC has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while PRULX has the lowest at -0.17.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 30 year is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 30 year is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification