Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
^VIX CBOE Volatility Index | 5.70% | |
ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | Technology | 5% |
BAESY BAE Systems PLC | Industrials | 10% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 14% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities | 22% |
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 22% | |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | Energy | 11% |
YUM YUM! Brands, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10.30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in TPG Recomendation 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 13, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of BAESY
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the TPG Recomendation 2 returned 11.85% Year-To-Date and 12.96% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.63% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio TPG Recomendation 2 | -0.44% | -2.35% | 11.85% | 15.00% | 36.12% | 19.41% | 16.08% | 12.96% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | -1.71% | -9.03% | 8.19% | 20.33% | 50.15% | 33.08% | 21.93% | 14.43% |
^VIX CBOE Volatility Index | -2.73% | 12.86% | 59.67% | 43.36% | -20.49% | 8.77% | 6.61% | 5.39% |
BAESY BAE Systems PLC | -0.91% | -0.58% | 30.87% | 9.89% | 44.77% | 37.50% | 37.50% | 20.48% |
ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | -0.70% | -6.78% | 17.75% | 32.43% | 78.68% | 19.49% | 16.69% | 20.71% |
YUM YUM! Brands, Inc. | 1.55% | -1.82% | 3.66% | 4.55% | -1.46% | 7.47% | 9.30% | 12.29% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.23% | -1.27% | 0.01% | 0.69% | 2.78% | 2.14% | -0.73% | 0.79% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 0.16% | -3.37% | 3.71% | 6.17% | 20.60% | 14.94% | 10.95% | 11.89% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | -0.06% | 7.26% | 34.42% | 44.07% | 47.84% | 15.29% | 27.66% | 11.56% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 16, 2007, TPG Recomendation 2's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.80%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +9.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -8.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, TPG Recomendation 2 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +7.9%, while the worst single day was Oct 27, 2008 at -5.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.90% | 7.71% | -5.79% | 0.30% | 11.85% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.37% | 8.39% | 2.48% | 0.61% | 1.27% | 3.03% | -2.32% | 3.61% | 6.19% | -2.59% | 3.55% | 1.94% | 31.92% |
| 2024 | 0.29% | 2.85% | 5.01% | 0.23% | 2.87% | -1.97% | 3.08% | 2.41% | 1.38% | -0.81% | 0.23% | -3.67% | 12.23% |
| 2023 | 3.12% | -1.69% | 4.19% | 1.91% | -4.84% | 3.51% | 1.37% | -2.27% | -2.51% | -0.73% | 3.81% | 3.98% | 9.74% |
| 2022 | -1.72% | 2.73% | -0.94% | -0.98% | 1.87% | -4.86% | 3.52% | -4.52% | -4.48% | 6.25% | 7.15% | -0.31% | 2.83% |
| 2021 | -0.91% | 0.82% | 0.77% | 3.98% | 3.60% | -2.16% | 4.44% | -0.36% | -2.06% | 1.94% | 0.39% | 3.72% | 14.77% |
Benchmark Metrics
TPG Recomendation 2 has an annualized alpha of 8.36%, beta of 0.13, and R² of 0.07 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 16, 2007.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (37.55%) than losses (13.11%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.13 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.07 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.07 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 8.36%
- Beta
- 0.13
- R²
- 0.07
- Upside Capture
- 37.55%
- Downside Capture
- 13.11%
Expense Ratio
TPG Recomendation 2 has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
TPG Recomendation 2 ranks 83 for risk / return — in the top 83% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.00 | 0.88 | +1.12 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.71 | 1.37 | +1.34 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.40 | 1.21 | +0.20 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.84 | 1.39 | +1.46 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.98 | 6.43 | +3.54 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 91 | 1.61 | 2.08 | 1.31 | 1.93 | 6.72 |
^VIX CBOE Volatility Index | 23 | 0.08 | 1.23 | 1.15 | -0.38 | -0.49 |
BAESY BAE Systems PLC | 78 | 1.50 | 2.08 | 1.26 | 2.09 | 5.27 |
ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.63 | 2.35 | 1.34 | 3.55 | 10.19 |
YUM YUM! Brands, Inc. | 37 | 0.02 | 0.19 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 31 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 2.87 |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 54 | 1.09 | 1.57 | 1.23 | 1.48 | 6.62 |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 80 | 1.58 | 2.06 | 1.28 | 2.51 | 6.57 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
TPG Recomendation 2 provided a 1.66% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.66% | 1.80% | 1.98% | 1.87% | 1.77% | 1.89% | 2.61% | 2.01% | 2.20% | 1.99% | 6.15% | 2.07% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
XAUUSD=X Gold Spot Price US Dollar | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^VIX CBOE Volatility Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BAESY BAE Systems PLC | 1.45% | 1.90% | 2.79% | 2.40% | 3.09% | 4.46% | 7.05% | 3.66% | 4.93% | 5.71% | 6.26% | 4.38% |
ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | 1.28% | 1.46% | 1.73% | 1.73% | 1.85% | 1.57% | 1.68% | 1.82% | 2.24% | 2.02% | 2.31% | 2.89% |
YUM YUM! Brands, Inc. | 1.85% | 1.88% | 2.00% | 1.85% | 1.78% | 1.44% | 1.73% | 1.67% | 1.57% | 1.47% | 41.26% | 2.31% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.84% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 2.02% | 2.05% | 2.31% | 2.46% | 2.52% | 2.15% | 2.56% | 2.50% | 2.73% | 2.29% | 2.44% | 2.60% |
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation | 2.51% | 3.32% | 3.57% | 3.68% | 3.22% | 5.70% | 8.44% | 4.92% | 4.74% | 3.66% | 3.30% | 3.69% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the TPG Recomendation 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the TPG Recomendation 2 was 19.22%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 105 trading sessions.
The current TPG Recomendation 2 drawdown is 5.91%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19.22% | Feb 24, 2020 | 21 | Mar 23, 2020 | 105 | Aug 18, 2020 | 126 |
| -15.91% | Mar 18, 2008 | 256 | Mar 10, 2009 | 300 | May 6, 2010 | 556 |
| -11.4% | Apr 21, 2022 | 114 | Sep 27, 2022 | 46 | Nov 30, 2022 | 160 |
| -9.83% | May 21, 2015 | 176 | Jan 25, 2016 | 97 | Jun 8, 2016 | 273 |
| -8.55% | Mar 2, 2026 | 22 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.46, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | XAUUSD=X | IEF | BAESY | YUM | XOM | ADI | ^VIX | VTV | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.05 | -0.28 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.69 | -0.79 | 0.91 | 0.35 |
| XAUUSD=X | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.04 | 0.57 |
| IEF | -0.28 | 0.23 | 1.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | -0.28 | -0.23 | 0.24 | -0.30 | 0.13 |
| BAESY | 0.41 | 0.11 | -0.14 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.26 | -0.34 | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| YUM | 0.56 | 0.01 | -0.15 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.39 | -0.46 | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| XOM | 0.54 | 0.10 | -0.28 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.35 | -0.44 | 0.63 | 0.34 |
| ADI | 0.69 | 0.02 | -0.23 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 1.00 | -0.56 | 0.61 | 0.32 |
| ^VIX | -0.79 | -0.02 | 0.24 | -0.34 | -0.46 | -0.44 | -0.56 | 1.00 | -0.72 | -0.11 |
| VTV | 0.91 | 0.04 | -0.30 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.61 | -0.72 | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Portfolio | 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.34 | 0.32 | -0.11 | 0.38 | 1.00 |