Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Forever v4 (to analyze), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 3, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of SDCI
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Forever v4 (to analyze) | 0.11% | 0.47% | 4.47% | 7.30% | 15.49% | 14.48% | 12.02% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.80% | -0.98% | -5.43% | -4.69% | 30.55% | 22.58% | 15.84% | 21.15% |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.53% | -6.14% | 6.01% | 6.51% | 3.19% | 5.77% | 6.56% | 7.15% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | -0.62% | -5.95% | -4.77% | 3.39% | 3.55% | 5.64% | 6.45% | 9.60% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.47% | 5.52% | 33.39% | 36.01% | 29.93% | 14.70% | 23.16% | 11.36% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.47% | 1.46% | 3.07% | 4.62% | 1.27% | 4.90% | 5.26% | 3.13% |
BTAL AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | 1.23% | -1.89% | -2.85% | -8.42% | -29.50% | -8.40% | -1.47% | -3.19% |
SDCI USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund | 1.66% | 11.39% | 24.74% | 25.05% | 30.37% | 21.12% | 22.86% | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.23% | -1.48% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 3.83% | 2.14% | -0.73% | 0.79% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 4, 2018, Forever v4 (to analyze)'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.76%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.6 years.
Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was Mar 2024 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -3.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Forever v4 (to analyze) closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +2.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.57% | 2.41% | -1.01% | 0.47% | 4.47% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.42% | 2.04% | 0.89% | -0.35% | 1.43% | 1.91% | 0.19% | 1.77% | 2.82% | 1.38% | 0.92% | 0.59% | 17.17% |
| 2024 | 2.07% | 1.78% | 3.80% | -0.31% | 2.01% | 0.39% | 0.22% | 0.87% | 1.12% | -0.58% | 2.28% | -0.29% | 14.11% |
| 2023 | 2.68% | -0.81% | 1.08% | 1.21% | -1.39% | 2.51% | 1.89% | 0.20% | 0.21% | 0.04% | 2.55% | 0.65% | 11.27% |
| 2022 | 2.80% | 0.67% | 1.78% | 0.67% | 1.64% | -3.93% | 0.74% | -1.52% | -3.69% | 3.45% | 3.52% | -0.36% | 5.56% |
| 2021 | 0.74% | 1.95% | 3.01% | 2.16% | 1.54% | -0.84% | 0.96% | 0.00% | -0.76% | 2.00% | -1.01% | 3.67% | 14.11% |
Benchmark Metrics
Forever v4 (to analyze) has an annualized alpha of 6.08%, beta of 0.23, and R² of 0.57 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 04, 2018.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (32.72%) than losses (16.10%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.08% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.23 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.08%
- Beta
- 0.23
- R²
- 0.57
- Upside Capture
- 32.72%
- Downside Capture
- 16.10%
Expense Ratio
Forever v4 (to analyze) has a high expense ratio of 1.48%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) ranks 97 for risk / return — in the top 97% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.44 | 0.88 | +1.56 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.25 | 1.37 | +1.88 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.21 | +0.34 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 8.95 | 1.39 | +7.56 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 29.54 | 6.43 | +23.11 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 61 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 1.24 | 1.98 | 6.27 |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 16 | 0.23 | 0.43 | 1.05 | 0.30 | 0.71 |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 16 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 0.83 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 54 | 1.19 | 1.58 | 1.23 | 1.60 | 4.21 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
BTAL AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | 1 | -1.32 | -1.98 | 0.79 | -0.89 | -1.20 |
SDCI USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund | 78 | 1.67 | 2.18 | 1.29 | 2.69 | 9.12 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 32 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 2.87 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Forever v4 (to analyze) provided a 2.27% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.27% | 2.37% | 3.89% | 7.74% | 8.01% | 3.93% | 2.91% | 1.99% | 1.99% | 2.31% | 1.47% | 2.42% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.56% | 0.54% | 0.66% | 0.76% | 1.04% | 0.65% | 0.92% | 1.16% | 1.60% | 1.37% | 1.74% | 1.79% |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 2.66% | 2.75% | 2.77% | 2.63% | 2.47% | 2.28% | 2.50% | 2.57% | 3.04% | 2.62% | 2.53% | 2.52% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.71% | 1.60% | 1.67% | 1.59% | 1.47% | 1.33% | 1.49% | 2.17% | 1.57% | 1.47% | 1.60% | 1.43% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 2.52% | 3.28% | 3.36% | 3.55% | 3.68% | 4.21% | 5.62% | 6.72% | 3.54% | 3.03% | 2.26% | 3.39% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.33% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTAL AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | 2.56% | 2.49% | 3.49% | 6.14% | 1.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.88% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SDCI USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund | 2.95% | 3.68% | 5.92% | 3.46% | 33.49% | 19.26% | 0.20% | 0.93% | 0.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.84% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Forever v4 (to analyze). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Forever v4 (to analyze) was 11.81%, occurring on Mar 22, 2020. Recovery took 157 trading sessions.
The current Forever v4 (to analyze) drawdown is 0.55%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.81% | Jan 19, 2020 | 64 | Mar 22, 2020 | 157 | Aug 26, 2020 | 221 |
| -9% | Jun 8, 2022 | 117 | Oct 2, 2022 | 183 | Apr 3, 2023 | 300 |
| -6.88% | May 22, 2018 | 218 | Dec 25, 2018 | 177 | Jun 20, 2019 | 395 |
| -5.6% | Apr 3, 2025 | 6 | Apr 8, 2025 | 37 | May 15, 2025 | 43 |
| -3.35% | Sep 3, 2020 | 58 | Oct 30, 2020 | 34 | Dec 3, 2020 | 92 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 18 assets, with an effective number of assets of 13.71, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | AQMNX | BTC-USD | GLD | TLT | IEF | QSPIX | QMNNX | SDCI | UUP | XLP | BTAL | XLE | XLV | QLENX | XLK | CMNIX | EEM | EFA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.05 | 0.27 | 0.07 | -0.08 | -0.07 | -0.11 | -0.08 | 0.21 | -0.22 | 0.51 | -0.57 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.90 | 0.79 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| AQMNX | -0.05 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | -0.20 | -0.23 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.15 | -0.10 | 0.07 | 0.03 | -0.08 | 0.18 | -0.01 | -0.06 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.19 |
| BTC-USD | 0.27 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.11 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.09 | -0.06 | 0.07 | -0.14 | 0.07 | -0.20 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| GLD | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.31 | -0.12 | -0.05 | 0.29 | -0.41 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| TLT | -0.08 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.90 | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.11 | -0.16 | 0.07 | 0.10 | -0.21 | 0.01 | -0.19 | -0.05 | -0.07 | -0.07 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| IEF | -0.07 | -0.23 | -0.00 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.18 | -0.17 | -0.10 | -0.22 | 0.09 | 0.09 | -0.20 | 0.02 | -0.19 | -0.04 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.01 | 0.07 |
| QSPIX | -0.11 | 0.23 | -0.09 | -0.12 | -0.16 | -0.18 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.11 | -0.02 | 0.50 | -0.13 | -0.06 | -0.10 | -0.04 | 0.25 |
| QMNNX | -0.08 | 0.24 | -0.06 | -0.05 | -0.16 | -0.17 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.10 | -0.03 | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.05 | 0.74 | -0.09 | -0.05 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 0.28 |
| SDCI | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.29 | -0.11 | -0.10 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1.00 | -0.21 | 0.08 | -0.18 | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
| UUP | -0.22 | 0.15 | -0.14 | -0.41 | -0.16 | -0.22 | 0.11 | 0.10 | -0.21 | 1.00 | -0.17 | 0.15 | -0.10 | -0.18 | -0.09 | -0.14 | -0.17 | -0.35 | -0.44 | -0.27 |
| XLP | 0.51 | -0.10 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.08 | -0.17 | 1.00 | -0.04 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| BTAL | -0.57 | 0.07 | -0.20 | -0.03 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.13 | -0.18 | 0.15 | -0.04 | 1.00 | -0.37 | -0.21 | -0.18 | -0.46 | -0.46 | -0.48 | -0.48 | -0.28 |
| XLE | 0.44 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.08 | -0.21 | -0.20 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.44 | -0.10 | 0.23 | -0.37 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| XLV | 0.67 | -0.08 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.05 | 0.08 | -0.18 | 0.54 | -0.21 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.46 |
| QLENX | 0.44 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.03 | -0.19 | -0.19 | 0.50 | 0.74 | 0.22 | -0.09 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.63 |
| XLK | 0.90 | -0.01 | 0.21 | 0.05 | -0.05 | -0.04 | -0.13 | -0.09 | 0.15 | -0.14 | 0.29 | -0.46 | 0.24 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| CMNIX | 0.79 | -0.06 | 0.17 | 0.07 | -0.07 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.05 | 0.18 | -0.17 | 0.38 | -0.46 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| EEM | 0.68 | -0.02 | 0.21 | 0.22 | -0.07 | -0.06 | -0.10 | -0.09 | 0.28 | -0.35 | 0.26 | -0.48 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0.58 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| EFA | 0.79 | -0.03 | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0.27 | -0.44 | 0.42 | -0.48 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 0.41 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Portfolio | 0.66 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.52 | -0.27 | 0.41 | -0.28 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 1.00 |