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Forever v4 (to analyze)
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Forever v4 (to analyze), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 3, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of SDCI

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Forever v4 (to analyze)
0.11%0.47%4.47%7.30%15.49%14.48%12.02%
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.80%-0.98%-5.43%-4.69%30.55%22.58%15.84%21.15%
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.53%-6.14%6.01%6.51%3.19%5.77%6.56%7.15%
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
-0.62%-5.95%-4.77%3.39%3.55%5.64%6.45%9.60%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-1.92%-8.27%8.35%21.03%49.02%32.51%21.53%13.97%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.47%5.52%33.39%36.01%29.93%14.70%23.16%11.36%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
0.47%1.46%3.07%4.62%1.27%4.90%5.26%3.13%
BTAL
AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
1.23%-1.89%-2.85%-8.42%-29.50%-8.40%-1.47%-3.19%
SDCI
USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund
1.66%11.39%24.74%25.05%30.37%21.12%22.86%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-2.56%0.69%-0.91%-0.77%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.23%-1.48%0.01%0.50%3.83%2.14%-0.73%0.79%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 4, 2018, Forever v4 (to analyze)'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.76%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.6 years.

Historically, 72% of months were positive and 28% were negative. The best month was Mar 2024 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -3.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Forever v4 (to analyze) closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +2.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.57%2.41%-1.01%0.47%4.47%
20252.42%2.04%0.89%-0.35%1.43%1.91%0.19%1.77%2.82%1.38%0.92%0.59%17.17%
20242.07%1.78%3.80%-0.31%2.01%0.39%0.22%0.87%1.12%-0.58%2.28%-0.29%14.11%
20232.68%-0.81%1.08%1.21%-1.39%2.51%1.89%0.20%0.21%0.04%2.55%0.65%11.27%
20222.80%0.67%1.78%0.67%1.64%-3.93%0.74%-1.52%-3.69%3.45%3.52%-0.36%5.56%
20210.74%1.95%3.01%2.16%1.54%-0.84%0.96%0.00%-0.76%2.00%-1.01%3.67%14.11%

Benchmark Metrics

Forever v4 (to analyze) has an annualized alpha of 6.08%, beta of 0.23, and R² of 0.57 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 04, 2018.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (32.72%) than losses (16.10%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.08% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.23 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
6.08%
Beta
0.23
0.57
Upside Capture
32.72%
Downside Capture
16.10%

Expense Ratio

Forever v4 (to analyze) has a high expense ratio of 1.48%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Forever v4 (to analyze) ranks 97 for risk / return — in the top 97% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Forever v4 (to analyze) Risk / Return Rank: 9797
Overall Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9595
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) Sortino Ratio Rank: 9595
Sortino Ratio Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) Omega Ratio Rank: 9797
Omega Ratio Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) Calmar Ratio Rank: 9999
Calmar Ratio Rank
Forever v4 (to analyze) Martin Ratio Rank: 9898
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.44

0.88

+1.56

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.25

1.37

+1.88

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.55

1.21

+0.34

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

8.95

1.39

+7.56

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

29.54

6.43

+23.11


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
611.131.711.241.986.27
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
160.230.431.050.300.71
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
160.200.401.050.390.83
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
801.772.191.322.579.28
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
541.191.581.231.604.21
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
140.170.281.040.150.30
BTAL
AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
1-1.32-1.980.79-0.89-1.20
SDCI
USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund
781.672.181.292.699.12
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
10-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
320.721.061.121.162.87

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Forever v4 (to analyze) Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.44
  • 5-Year: 2.17
  • All Time: 1.56

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Forever v4 (to analyze) compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Forever v4 (to analyze) provided a 2.27% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.27%2.37%3.89%7.74%8.01%3.93%2.91%1.99%1.99%2.31%1.47%2.42%
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.56%0.54%0.66%0.76%1.04%0.65%0.92%1.16%1.60%1.37%1.74%1.79%
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
2.66%2.75%2.77%2.63%2.47%2.28%2.50%2.57%3.04%2.62%2.53%2.52%
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
1.71%1.60%1.67%1.59%1.47%1.33%1.49%2.17%1.57%1.47%1.60%1.43%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
2.52%3.28%3.36%3.55%3.68%4.21%5.62%6.72%3.54%3.03%2.26%3.39%
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
3.33%3.43%4.48%6.44%0.89%0.00%0.00%2.03%1.08%0.10%0.00%0.00%
BTAL
AGFiQ US Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
2.56%2.49%3.49%6.14%1.01%0.00%0.00%0.88%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SDCI
USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund
2.95%3.68%5.92%3.46%33.49%19.26%0.20%0.93%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.84%3.77%3.62%2.91%1.96%0.83%1.08%2.08%2.24%1.82%1.81%1.90%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Forever v4 (to analyze). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Forever v4 (to analyze) was 11.81%, occurring on Mar 22, 2020. Recovery took 157 trading sessions.

The current Forever v4 (to analyze) drawdown is 0.55%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-11.81%Jan 19, 202064Mar 22, 2020157Aug 26, 2020221
-9%Jun 8, 2022117Oct 2, 2022183Apr 3, 2023300
-6.88%May 22, 2018218Dec 25, 2018177Jun 20, 2019395
-5.6%Apr 3, 20256Apr 8, 202537May 15, 202543
-3.35%Sep 3, 202058Oct 30, 202034Dec 3, 202092

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 18 assets, with an effective number of assets of 13.71, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkAQMNXBTC-USDGLDTLTIEFQSPIXQMNNXSDCIUUPXLPBTALXLEXLVQLENXXLKCMNIXEEMEFAPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.050.270.07-0.08-0.07-0.11-0.080.21-0.220.51-0.570.440.670.440.900.790.680.790.66
AQMNX-0.051.000.020.01-0.20-0.230.230.240.080.15-0.100.070.03-0.080.18-0.01-0.06-0.02-0.030.19
BTC-USD0.270.021.000.11-0.01-0.00-0.09-0.060.07-0.140.07-0.200.090.120.060.210.170.210.220.32
GLD0.070.010.111.000.240.31-0.12-0.050.29-0.410.09-0.030.080.080.030.050.070.220.220.34
TLT-0.08-0.20-0.010.241.000.90-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.160.070.10-0.210.01-0.19-0.05-0.07-0.07-0.040.06
IEF-0.07-0.23-0.000.310.901.00-0.18-0.17-0.10-0.220.090.09-0.200.02-0.19-0.04-0.06-0.06-0.010.07
QSPIX-0.110.23-0.09-0.12-0.16-0.181.000.620.100.110.000.170.11-0.020.50-0.13-0.06-0.10-0.040.25
QMNNX-0.080.24-0.06-0.05-0.16-0.170.621.000.070.10-0.030.130.13-0.050.74-0.09-0.05-0.09-0.040.28
SDCI0.210.080.070.29-0.11-0.100.100.071.00-0.210.08-0.180.440.080.220.150.180.280.270.52
UUP-0.220.15-0.14-0.41-0.16-0.220.110.10-0.211.00-0.170.15-0.10-0.18-0.09-0.14-0.17-0.35-0.44-0.27
XLP0.51-0.100.070.090.070.090.00-0.030.08-0.171.00-0.040.230.540.240.290.380.260.420.41
BTAL-0.570.07-0.20-0.030.100.090.170.13-0.180.15-0.041.00-0.37-0.21-0.18-0.46-0.46-0.48-0.48-0.28
XLE0.440.030.090.08-0.21-0.200.110.130.44-0.100.23-0.371.000.270.360.240.380.370.420.49
XLV0.67-0.080.120.080.010.02-0.02-0.050.08-0.180.54-0.210.271.000.290.460.510.390.550.46
QLENX0.440.180.060.03-0.19-0.190.500.740.22-0.090.24-0.180.360.291.000.330.320.300.410.63
XLK0.90-0.010.210.05-0.05-0.04-0.13-0.090.15-0.140.29-0.460.240.460.331.000.640.580.610.51
CMNIX0.79-0.060.170.07-0.07-0.06-0.06-0.050.18-0.170.38-0.460.380.510.320.641.000.510.600.50
EEM0.68-0.020.210.22-0.07-0.06-0.10-0.090.28-0.350.26-0.480.370.390.300.580.511.000.730.55
EFA0.79-0.030.220.22-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.040.27-0.440.42-0.480.420.550.410.610.600.731.000.63
Portfolio0.660.190.320.340.060.070.250.280.52-0.270.41-0.280.490.460.630.510.500.550.631.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 4, 2018