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XAUUSD=X vs. GDX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Gold Spot Price US Dollar (XAUUSD=X) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, XAUUSD=X achieves a 2.90% return, which is significantly higher than GDX's -0.90% return. Both investments have delivered pretty close results over the past 10 years, with XAUUSD=X having a 13.59% annualized return and GDX not far ahead at 13.98%.


XAUUSD=X

1D
-0.89%
1M
-1.69%
YTD
2.90%
6M
5.82%
1Y
32.64%
3Y*
31.68%
5Y*
18.66%
10Y*
13.59%

GDX

1D
-3.46%
1M
-0.76%
YTD
-0.90%
6M
5.62%
1Y
61.27%
3Y*
41.00%
5Y*
18.69%
10Y*
13.98%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
XAUUSD=X
Gold Spot Price US Dollar
2.90%64.75%27.24%13.14%-0.25%-3.50%24.55%18.77%-1.71%13.14%
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
-0.90%154.77%10.63%9.98%-9.01%-9.52%23.66%39.84%-8.77%11.99%

Correlation

The correlation between XAUUSD=X and GDX is 0.71, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.71

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.74

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.76

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.76

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 26, 2007

0.75

The correlation between XAUUSD=X and GDX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.71 to 0.76 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

XAUUSD=X
XAUUSD=X Risk / Return Rank: 8080
Overall Rank
XAUUSD=X Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8585
Sharpe Ratio Rank
XAUUSD=X Sortino Ratio Rank: 8181
Sortino Ratio Rank
XAUUSD=X Omega Ratio Rank: 8585
Omega Ratio Rank
XAUUSD=X Calmar Ratio Rank: 7676
Calmar Ratio Rank
XAUUSD=X Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank

GDX
GDX Risk / Return Rank: 3535
Overall Rank
GDX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3737
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GDX Sortino Ratio Rank: 3232
Sortino Ratio Rank
GDX Omega Ratio Rank: 3636
Omega Ratio Rank
GDX Calmar Ratio Rank: 3939
Calmar Ratio Rank
GDX Martin Ratio Rank: 3333
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Gold Spot Price US Dollar (XAUUSD=X) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


XAUUSD=XGDXDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.13

1.35

-0.22

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.52

1.76

-0.24

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.23

1.25

-0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.30

2.00

-0.70

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

3.28

5.13

-1.85

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current XAUUSD=X Sharpe Ratio is 1.13, which is comparable to the GDX Sharpe Ratio of 1.35. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of XAUUSD=X and GDX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


XAUUSD=XGDXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.13

1.35

-0.22

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

1.01

0.52

+0.49

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.84

0.38

+0.46

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.59

0.13

+0.46

Drawdowns

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum XAUUSD=X drawdown since its inception was -44.69%, smaller than the maximum GDX drawdown of -80.34%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for XAUUSD=X and GDX.


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Drawdown Indicators


XAUUSD=XGDXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-44.69%

-80.34%

+35.65%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-19.70%

-30.84%

+11.14%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-19.70%

-30.84%

+11.14%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-20.81%

-46.51%

+25.70%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-21.35%

-49.79%

+28.44%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-17.91%

-26.62%

+8.71%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-16.41%

-40.43%

+24.02%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

8.60%

11.99%

-3.39%

Volatility

XAUUSD=X vs. GDX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Gold Spot Price US Dollar (XAUUSD=X) is 4.70%, while VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has a volatility of 15.40%. This indicates that XAUUSD=X experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GDX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


XAUUSD=XGDXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.70%

15.40%

-10.70%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

21.40%

37.50%

-16.10%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

22.69%

45.49%

-22.80%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.53%

36.39%

-19.86%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

15.07%

37.18%

-22.11%

Frequently Asked Questions


XAUUSD=X and GDX have a correlation of 0.71, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

GDX has higher volatility (15.40%) compared to XAUUSD=X (4.70%). In terms of maximum drawdown, XAUUSD=X dropped -44.69% vs GDX's -80.34%.

GDX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.35 vs 1.13), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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