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VTWNX vs. VBTLX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund (VTWNX) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VTWNX achieves a 5.10% return, which is significantly higher than VBTLX's 0.42% return. Over the past 10 years, VTWNX has outperformed VBTLX with an annualized return of 6.81%, while VBTLX has yielded a comparatively lower 1.58% annualized return.


VTWNX

1D
0.17%
1M
2.27%
YTD
5.10%
6M
5.39%
1Y
13.27%
3Y*
10.58%
5Y*
4.89%
10Y*
6.81%

VBTLX

1D
0.00%
1M
0.55%
YTD
0.42%
6M
0.35%
1Y
5.34%
3Y*
4.05%
5Y*
0.21%
10Y*
1.58%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VTWNX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund
5.10%12.17%7.57%12.71%-14.17%8.15%12.05%17.64%-4.23%11.83%
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
0.42%7.17%1.26%5.74%-13.16%-1.81%7.72%8.73%-0.25%3.56%

Correlation

The correlation between VTWNX and VBTLX is 0.53, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.53

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.54

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.45

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.23

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 8, 2006

-0.02

The correlation between VTWNX and VBTLX shifts across timeframes, from -0.02 (all time) to 0.54 (3 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

VTWNX vs. VBTLX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VTWNX
VTWNX Risk / Return Rank: 7272
Overall Rank
VTWNX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7676
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTWNX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7777
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTWNX Omega Ratio Rank: 7676
Omega Ratio Rank
VTWNX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6262
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTWNX Martin Ratio Rank: 6969
Martin Ratio Rank

VBTLX
VBTLX Risk / Return Rank: 2323
Overall Rank
VBTLX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2323
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VBTLX Sortino Ratio Rank: 2424
Sortino Ratio Rank
VBTLX Omega Ratio Rank: 2121
Omega Ratio Rank
VBTLX Calmar Ratio Rank: 2525
Calmar Ratio Rank
VBTLX Martin Ratio Rank: 2121
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund (VTWNX) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VTWNXVBTLXDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.53

1.36

+1.17

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.69

2.04

+1.65

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.50

1.24

+0.26

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

3.04

1.86

+1.18

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

13.32

5.58

+7.74

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VTWNX Sharpe Ratio is 2.53, which is higher than the VBTLX Sharpe Ratio of 1.36. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VTWNX and VBTLX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VTWNXVBTLXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.53

1.36

+1.17

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.66

0.04

+0.63

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.83

0.32

+0.51

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.55

0.76

-0.21

Drawdowns

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VTWNX drawdown since its inception was -42.16%, which is greater than VBTLX's maximum drawdown of -18.81%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTWNX and VBTLX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VTWNXVBTLXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-42.16%

-18.81%

-23.35%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-4.43%

-2.89%

-1.54%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-6.20%

-6.00%

-0.20%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-19.38%

-18.14%

-1.24%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-19.38%

-18.81%

-0.57%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-2.18%

+2.18%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-4.80%

-2.67%

-2.13%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.01%

0.96%

+0.05%

Volatility

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Volatility Comparison

Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund (VTWNX) has a higher volatility of 1.90% compared to Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VBTLX) at 1.38%. This indicates that VTWNX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than VBTLX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VTWNXVBTLXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.90%

1.38%

+0.52%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.36%

2.80%

+1.56%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

5.32%

3.97%

+1.35%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

7.40%

6.01%

+1.39%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

8.28%

4.98%

+3.30%

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VTWNX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than VBTLX's 0.05% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VTWNX vs. VBTLX - Dividend Comparison

VTWNX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.80%, more than VBTLX's 3.98% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VBTLX
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares
3.98%3.87%3.69%3.10%2.59%1.96%2.39%2.74%2.57%2.56%2.53%2.82%
VTWNX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund
7.80%8.20%9.35%6.20%4.99%19.57%6.28%3.54%4.94%0.73%2.74%4.15%

Frequently Asked Questions


VTWNX and VBTLX have a correlation of 0.53, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

VTWNX has higher volatility (1.90%) compared to VBTLX (1.38%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTWNX dropped -42.16% vs VBTLX's -18.81%.

VTWNX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.53 vs 1.36), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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