VFORX vs. URTRX
VFORX (Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund) and URTRX (USAA Target Retirement 2030 Fund) are both Target Retirement Date funds. Over the past 10 years, VFORX returned 10.15%/yr vs 7.71%/yr for URTRX. Their 0.97 correlation means they have historically moved very closely together. VFORX charges 0.08%/yr vs 0.03%/yr for URTRX.
Performance
VFORX vs. URTRX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both investments are quite close, with VFORX having a 8.23% return and URTRX slightly higher at 8.39%. Over the past 10 years, VFORX has outperformed URTRX with an annualized return of 10.15%, while URTRX has yielded a comparatively lower 7.71% annualized return.
VFORX
- 1D
- 1.58%
- 1M
- -0.53%
- 6M
- 5.57%
- YTD
- 8.23%
- 1Y
- 18.10%
- 3Y*
- 14.62%
- 5Y*
- 8.09%
- 10Y*
- 10.15%
- ALL TIME*
- 8.12%
URTRX
- 1D
- 0.84%
- 1M
- 0.35%
- 6M
- 6.07%
- YTD
- 8.39%
- 1Y
- 15.94%
- 3Y*
- 11.77%
- 5Y*
- 6.43%
- 10Y*
- 7.71%
- ALL TIME*
- 7.07%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
VFORX vs. URTRX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFORX Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund | 8.23% | 18.77% | 12.90% | 18.56% | -17.00% | 14.55% | 15.48% | 23.86% | -7.32% | 18.45% |
URTRX USAA Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 8.39% | 14.78% | 8.09% | 13.98% | -13.23% | 12.23% | 9.25% | 17.13% | -6.98% | 16.14% |
Correlation
The correlation between VFORX and URTRX is 0.98 - they have historically moved very closely together. At this level, their price movements offset little of one another.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.98 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.96 |
Correlation (5Y) Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period. | 0.97 |
Correlation (10Y) Provides a long-term view across more market conditions. | 0.97 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 31, 2008 | 0.97 |
The correlation between VFORX and URTRX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.96 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
VFORX vs. URTRX — Risk / Return Rank
VFORX
URTRX
VFORX vs. URTRX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and USAA Target Retirement 2030 Fund (URTRX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| VFORX | URTRX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.39 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.60 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.37 | -0.08 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.19 | 2.90 | -0.71 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.06 | 12.19 | -3.13 |
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Drawdowns
VFORX vs. URTRX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum VFORX drawdown since its inception was -51.63%, which is greater than URTRX's maximum drawdown of -34.10%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFORX and URTRX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| VFORX | URTRX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -51.63% | -34.10% | -17.53% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.70% | -5.29% | -2.41% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -12.12% | -9.12% | -3.00% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -24.32% | -19.52% | -4.80% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -29.35% | -23.56% | -5.79% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -1.71% | -0.28% | -1.43% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -6.73% | -4.12% | -2.61% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.86% | 1.25% | +0.61% |
Volatility
VFORX vs. URTRX - Volatility Comparison
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) has a higher volatility of 3.18% compared to USAA Target Retirement 2030 Fund (URTRX) at 2.00%. This indicates that VFORX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than URTRX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| VFORX | URTRX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.18% | 2.00% | +1.18% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 8.97% | 6.61% | +2.36% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 10.70% | 7.81% | +2.89% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 12.56% | 9.76% | +2.80% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.62% | 10.31% | +3.31% |
VFORX vs. URTRX - Expense Ratio Comparison
VFORX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than URTRX's 0.03% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.
Dividends
VFORX vs. URTRX - Dividend Comparison
VFORX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.56%, less than URTRX's 6.25% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URTRX USAA Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 6.25% | 6.78% | 3.16% | 4.24% | 9.53% | 7.66% | 4.53% | 11.43% | 8.54% | 8.10% | 4.06% | 2.80% |
VFORX Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund | 2.56% | 2.77% | 2.86% | 2.38% | 2.60% | 20.68% | 2.06% | 2.28% | 2.58% | 0.04% | 2.40% | 2.99% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.98, VFORX and URTRX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
VFORX has higher volatility (3.18%) compared to URTRX (2.00%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFORX dropped -51.63% vs URTRX's -34.10%.
URTRX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.96 vs 1.57), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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