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VFORX vs. FSMAX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund (FSMAX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VFORX achieves a 8.11% return, which is significantly lower than FSMAX's 13.83% return. Over the past 10 years, VFORX has underperformed FSMAX with an annualized return of 10.63%, while FSMAX has yielded a comparatively higher 12.22% annualized return.


VFORX

1D
1.91%
1M
0.13%
YTD
8.11%
6M
8.81%
1Y
19.96%
3Y*
16.17%
5Y*
8.20%
10Y*
10.63%

FSMAX

1D
2.96%
1M
4.31%
YTD
13.83%
6M
11.67%
1Y
27.30%
3Y*
18.98%
5Y*
6.06%
10Y*
12.22%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
8.11%18.77%12.90%18.56%-17.00%14.55%15.48%23.86%-7.32%18.45%
FSMAX
Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund
13.83%11.40%16.99%25.36%-26.44%12.41%32.28%28.01%-9.44%18.04%

Correlation

The correlation between VFORX and FSMAX is 0.86, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.86

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.86

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.89

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.88

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 8, 2011

0.89

The correlation between VFORX and FSMAX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.86 to 0.89 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

VFORX vs. FSMAX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VFORX
VFORX Risk / Return Rank: 7373
Overall Rank
VFORX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VFORX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VFORX Omega Ratio Rank: 7272
Omega Ratio Rank
VFORX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
VFORX Martin Ratio Rank: 7979
Martin Ratio Rank

FSMAX
FSMAX Risk / Return Rank: 5151
Overall Rank
FSMAX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4444
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FSMAX Sortino Ratio Rank: 4343
Sortino Ratio Rank
FSMAX Omega Ratio Rank: 4040
Omega Ratio Rank
FSMAX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7070
Calmar Ratio Rank
FSMAX Martin Ratio Rank: 5858
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund (FSMAX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


VFORXFSMAXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.47

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.62

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.37

1.26

+0.11

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.67

2.65

+0.02

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.49

9.29

+2.20

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VFORX Sharpe Ratio is 2.00, which is higher than the FSMAX Sharpe Ratio of 1.53. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VFORX and FSMAX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VFORX drawdown since its inception was -51.63%, roughly equal to the maximum FSMAX drawdown of -50.55%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFORX and FSMAX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VFORXFSMAXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.63%

-50.55%

-1.08%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.70%

-10.26%

+2.56%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-12.12%

-26.82%

+14.70%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.32%

-36.31%

+11.99%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.35%

-50.55%

+21.20%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-1.82%

-1.04%

-0.78%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.77%

-12.15%

+5.38%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.78%

2.92%

-1.14%

Volatility

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) is 4.19%, while Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund (FSMAX) has a volatility of 6.48%. This indicates that VFORX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than FSMAX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VFORXFSMAXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.19%

6.48%

-2.29%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.47%

13.35%

-4.88%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.27%

17.80%

-7.53%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

12.51%

22.42%

-9.91%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.70%

30.26%

-16.56%

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VFORX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than FSMAX's 0.04% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VFORX vs. FSMAX - Dividend Comparison

VFORX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.56%, more than FSMAX's 0.50% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FSMAX
Fidelity Extended Market Index Fund
0.50%0.57%0.48%1.17%1.90%7.49%2.14%4.30%6.09%5.44%4.85%6.34%
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
2.56%2.77%2.86%2.38%2.60%20.68%2.06%2.28%2.58%0.04%2.40%2.99%

Frequently Asked Questions


VFORX and FSMAX have a correlation of 0.86, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

FSMAX has higher volatility (6.48%) compared to VFORX (4.19%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFORX dropped -51.63% vs FSMAX's -50.55%.

VFORX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.00 vs 1.53), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for VFORX and FSMAX

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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