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VFORX vs. FDFPX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Fidelity Flex Freedom Blend 2065 Fund (FDFPX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VFORX achieves a 10.11% return, which is significantly lower than FDFPX's 14.11% return.


VFORX

1D
0.31%
1M
4.40%
YTD
10.11%
6M
10.85%
1Y
23.95%
3Y*
17.28%
5Y*
8.86%
10Y*
10.66%

FDFPX

1D
0.70%
1M
5.45%
YTD
14.11%
6M
15.71%
1Y
31.31%
3Y*
21.92%
5Y*
11.28%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022202120202019
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
10.11%18.77%12.90%18.56%-17.00%14.55%15.48%7.90%
FDFPX
Fidelity Flex Freedom Blend 2065 Fund
14.11%22.81%17.81%20.93%-18.57%16.84%18.54%9.17%

Correlation

The correlation between VFORX and FDFPX is 0.99 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.99

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.97

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 1, 2019

0.97

The correlation between VFORX and FDFPX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

VFORX vs. FDFPX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VFORX
VFORX Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
VFORX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7474
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VFORX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VFORX Omega Ratio Rank: 6969
Omega Ratio Rank
VFORX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6767
Calmar Ratio Rank
VFORX Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank

FDFPX
FDFPX Risk / Return Rank: 7474
Overall Rank
FDFPX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7676
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FDFPX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7070
Sortino Ratio Rank
FDFPX Omega Ratio Rank: 7070
Omega Ratio Rank
FDFPX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
FDFPX Martin Ratio Rank: 7878
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Fidelity Flex Freedom Blend 2065 Fund (FDFPX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VFORXFDFPXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.03

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.02

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.46

1.47

-0.01

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.15

3.33

-0.18

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.90

14.77

-0.87

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VFORX Sharpe Ratio is 2.50, which is comparable to the FDFPX Sharpe Ratio of 2.53. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VFORX and FDFPX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VFORXFDFPXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.50

2.53

-0.03

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.72

0.75

-0.03

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.78

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.50

0.81

-0.31

Drawdowns

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VFORX drawdown since its inception was -51.63%, which is greater than FDFPX's maximum drawdown of -31.22%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFORX and FDFPX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VFORXFDFPXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.63%

-31.22%

-20.41%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.70%

-9.54%

+1.84%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-12.12%

-15.42%

+3.30%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.32%

-27.41%

+3.09%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.35%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.77%

-5.85%

-0.92%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.74%

2.15%

-0.41%

Volatility

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) is 2.99%, while Fidelity Flex Freedom Blend 2065 Fund (FDFPX) has a volatility of 4.15%. This indicates that VFORX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than FDFPX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VFORXFDFPXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.99%

4.15%

-1.16%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

7.78%

10.33%

-2.55%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.71%

12.56%

-2.85%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

12.43%

15.09%

-2.66%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.68%

17.18%

-3.50%

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VFORX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than FDFPX's 0.00% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VFORX vs. FDFPX - Dividend Comparison

VFORX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.51%, less than FDFPX's 3.75% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FDFPX
Fidelity Flex Freedom Blend 2065 Fund
3.75%2.87%6.56%2.22%5.41%8.52%5.38%3.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
2.51%2.77%2.86%2.38%2.60%20.68%2.06%2.28%2.58%0.04%2.40%2.99%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.99, VFORX and FDFPX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

FDFPX has higher volatility (4.15%) compared to VFORX (2.99%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFORX dropped -51.63% vs FDFPX's -31.22%.

FDFPX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.53 vs 2.50), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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