TYD vs. FFUT
TYD (Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X) and FFUT (Fidelity Managed Futures ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TYD is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index, while FFUT is a Systematic Trend fund actively managed by Fidelity. TYD is passively managed, while FFUT is actively managed. Over the past year, TYD returned -2.67% vs 18.95% for FFUT. At a correlation of -0.37, they often move in opposite directions. TYD charges 1.09%/yr vs 0.80%/yr for FFUT.
Performance
TYD vs. FFUT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TYD achieves a -8.30% return, which is significantly lower than FFUT's 11.54% return.
TYD
- 1D
- -0.90%
- 1M
- -2.66%
- 6M
- -8.14%
- YTD
- -8.30%
- 1Y
- -2.67%
- 3Y*
- -4.77%
- 5Y*
- -14.07%
- 10Y*
- -5.51%
FFUT
- 1D
- 1.16%
- 1M
- 0.14%
- 6M
- 8.28%
- YTD
- 11.54%
- 1Y
- 18.95%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TYD vs. FFUT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X | -8.30% | 4.97% |
FFUT Fidelity Managed Futures ETF | 11.54% | 8.58% |
Correlation
The correlation between TYD and FFUT is -0.38, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.38 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 5, 2025 | -0.37 |
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Return for Risk
TYD vs. FFUT — Risk / Return Rank
TYD
FFUT
TYD vs. FFUT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X (TYD) and Fidelity Managed Futures ETF (FFUT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TYD | FFUT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.86 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.57 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.98 | 1.32 | -0.34 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.20 | 3.41 | -3.61 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.45 | 11.43 | -11.88 |
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Drawdowns
TYD vs. FFUT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TYD drawdown since its inception was -64.28%, which is greater than FFUT's maximum drawdown of -5.59%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TYD and FFUT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TYD | FFUT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -64.28% | -5.59% | -58.69% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -13.54% | -5.59% | -7.95% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -23.96% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -59.84% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -64.28% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -60.15% | -1.95% | -58.20% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -22.16% | -1.12% | -21.04% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 5.95% | 1.66% | +4.29% |
Volatility
TYD vs. FFUT - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X (TYD) has a higher volatility of 4.65% compared to Fidelity Managed Futures ETF (FFUT) at 2.85%. This indicates that TYD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than FFUT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TYD | FFUT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.65% | 2.85% | +1.80% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 10.29% | 9.06% | +1.23% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 13.84% | 11.42% | +2.42% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 22.98% | 10.97% | +12.01% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 20.20% | 10.97% | +9.23% |
TYD vs. FFUT - Expense Ratio Comparison
TYD has a 1.09% expense ratio, which is higher than FFUT's 0.80% expense ratio.
Dividends
TYD vs. FFUT - Dividend Comparison
TYD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.36%, more than FFUT's 1.87% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FFUT Fidelity Managed Futures ETF | 1.87% | 2.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X | 3.36% | 2.97% | 3.10% | 2.71% | 0.55% | 0.00% | 9.80% | 0.92% | 1.10% | 0.01% | 6.84% | 1.65% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TYD and FFUT have a correlation of -0.38, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TYD has higher volatility (4.65%) compared to FFUT (2.85%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TYD dropped -64.28% vs FFUT's -5.59%.
On 1-year performance, FFUT leads with 18.95% vs -2.67% for TYD. On fees, FFUT is cheaper at 0.80% per year. On volatility, FFUT has been the lower-risk option at 2.85%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, FFUT has performed better with a 18.95% return vs -2.67%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
FFUT is cheaper with a 0.80% expense ratio, compared with 1.09% for TYD.
TYD has the higher dividend yield at 3.36%, compared with 1.87% for FFUT.
TYD is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while FFUT is Systematic Trend. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Fidelity. Their fees differ too: 1.09% for TYD and 0.80% for FFUT.
FFUT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.67 vs -0.19), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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