MUD vs. RDDT

Last updated Jun 25, 2026

MUD (Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares) is Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) is a stock. Over the past year, MUD returned -92.46% vs 14.16% for RDDT. At a correlation of -0.29, they often move in opposite directions.

Performance

MUD vs. RDDT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) and Reddit, Inc. (RDDT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MUD achieves a -80.74% return, which is significantly lower than RDDT's -30.08% return.

MUD

• 1D: 0.73%
• 1M: -37.29%
• YTD: -80.74%
• 6M: -80.67%
• 1Y: -92.46%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

RDDT

• 1D: -2.96%
• 1M: 13.45%
• YTD: -30.08%
• 6M: -28.84%
• 1Y: 14.16%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MUD vs. RDDT - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares	-80.74%	-78.75%	19.12%
RDDT Reddit, Inc.	-30.08%	40.64%	130.20%

Correlation

The correlation between MUD and RDDT is -0.25, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.25
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 10, 2024	-0.29

Return for Risk

MUD vs. RDDT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MUD

MUD Risk / Return Rank: 0
MUD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 0
MUD Sortino Ratio Rank: 0
MUD Omega Ratio Rank: 0
MUD Calmar Ratio Rank: 0
MUD Martin Ratio Rank: 2

RDDT

RDDT Risk / Return Rank: 50
RDDT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 51
RDDT Sortino Ratio Rank: 52
RDDT Omega Ratio Rank: 50
RDDT Calmar Ratio Rank: 49
RDDT Martin Ratio Rank: 49

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MUD vs. RDDT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) and Reddit, Inc. (RDDT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	MUD	RDDT	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-1.28	0.21	-1.49
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-3.79	0.79	-4.58
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.58	1.09	-0.51
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.98	0.26	-1.24
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.43	0.46	-1.89

MUD vs. RDDT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MUD Sharpe Ratio is -1.28, which is lower than the RDDT Sharpe Ratio of 0.21. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MUD and RDDT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

MUD vs. RDDT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MUD drawdown since its inception was -96.89%, which is greater than RDDT's maximum drawdown of -61.41%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MUD and RDDT.

Drawdown Indicators

	MUD	RDDT	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-96.89%	-61.41%	-35.48%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-94.52%	-54.99%	-39.53%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-96.45%	-40.63%	-55.82%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-51.71%	-24.65%	-27.06%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	64.56%	30.61%	+33.95%

Volatility

MUD vs. RDDT - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares (MUD) has a higher volatility of 38.32% compared to Reddit, Inc. (RDDT) at 24.27%. This indicates that MUD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than RDDT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	MUD	RDDT	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	38.32%	24.27%	+14.05%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	61.87%	48.13%	+13.74%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	72.59%	66.58%	+6.01%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	69.99%	81.41%	-11.42%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	69.99%	81.41%	-11.42%

Dividends

MUD vs. RDDT - Dividend Comparison

MUD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 12.71%, while RDDT has not paid dividends to shareholders.

Position	TTM	2025	2024
MUD Direxion Daily MU Bear 1X Shares	12.71%	9.21%	0.47%
RDDT Reddit, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both MUD and RDDT in my portfolio?

MUD and RDDT have a correlation of -0.25, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, MUD or RDDT?

MUD has higher volatility (38.32%) compared to RDDT (24.27%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MUD dropped -96.89% vs RDDT's -61.41%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

RDDT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.21 vs -1.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.