MSTX vs. BTCL
MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) and BTCL (T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - MSTX is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Defiance, while BTCL is a Leveraged Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by REX. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, MSTX returned -95.49% vs -74.22% for BTCL. A 0.78 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. MSTX charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for BTCL.
Performance
MSTX vs. BTCL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both investments are quite close, with MSTX having a -54.94% return and BTCL slightly higher at -53.22%.
MSTX
- 1D
- -14.41%
- 1M
- -56.02%
- YTD
- -54.94%
- 6M
- -72.02%
- 1Y
- -95.49%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BTCL
- 1D
- -5.48%
- 1M
- -35.14%
- YTD
- -53.22%
- 6M
- -59.97%
- 1Y
- -74.22%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MSTX vs. BTCL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -54.94% | -89.06% | 137.37% |
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | -53.22% | -39.52% | 127.10% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL is 0.86, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 16, 2024 | 0.78 |
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.78 to 0.86 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
MSTX vs. BTCL — Risk / Return Rank
MSTX
BTCL
MSTX vs. BTCL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) and T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.17 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.61 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.78 | 0.83 | -0.06 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.99 | -0.93 | -0.06 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.27 | -1.47 | +0.20 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.68 | -0.85 | +0.17 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.42 | -0.25 | -0.16 |
Drawdowns
MSTX vs. BTCL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSTX drawdown since its inception was -98.66%, which is greater than BTCL's maximum drawdown of -79.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTX and BTCL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -98.66% | -79.66% | -19.00% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -96.62% | -79.66% | -16.96% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -98.61% | -79.66% | -18.95% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -69.94% | -34.15% | -35.79% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 75.26% | 50.49% | +24.77% |
Volatility
MSTX vs. BTCL - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a higher volatility of 39.64% compared to T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL) at 19.12%. This indicates that MSTX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTCL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 39.64% | 19.12% | +20.52% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 112.57% | 69.76% | +42.81% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 140.09% | 87.35% | +52.74% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 167.46% | 97.87% | +69.59% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 167.46% | 97.87% | +69.59% |
MSTX vs. BTCL - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSTX has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than BTCL's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSTX vs. BTCL - Dividend Comparison
MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTCL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.62%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | 3.62% | 1.70% | 4.35% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSTX and BTCL have a correlation of 0.86, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (39.64%) compared to BTCL (19.12%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTX dropped -98.66% vs BTCL's -79.66%.
On 1-year performance, BTCL leads with -74.22% vs -95.49% for MSTX. On fees, BTCL is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BTCL has been the lower-risk option at 19.12%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BTCL has performed better with a -74.22% return vs -95.49%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BTCL is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for MSTX.
BTCL has the higher dividend yield at 3.62%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
MSTX is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while BTCL is Leveraged Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: Defiance and REX. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for MSTX and 0.95% for BTCL.
MSTX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.68 vs -0.85), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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