MSTX vs. BTCL
MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) and BTCL (T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - MSTX is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Defiance, while BTCL is a Leveraged Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by REX. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, MSTX returned -97.40% vs -78.91% for BTCL. Their 0.78 correlation means they have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently. MSTX charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for BTCL.
Performance
MSTX vs. BTCL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MSTX achieves a -79.12% return, which is significantly lower than BTCL's -58.66% return.
MSTX
- 1D
- -8.53%
- 1M
- -18.21%
- 6M
- -76.83%
- YTD
- -79.12%
- 1Y
- -97.40%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- -77.59%
BTCL
- 1D
- -5.62%
- 1M
- 3.27%
- 6M
- -53.78%
- YTD
- -58.66%
- 1Y
- -78.91%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- -28.39%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $874.62K | $895.29K | $1.28M | |
| $57.41M | $66.45M | $80.88M |
MSTX vs. BTCL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -79.12% | -89.06% | 134.05% |
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | -58.66% | -39.52% | 112.59% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL is 0.85, meaning they have usually moved in the same direction, including during past declines.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 15, 2024 | 0.78 |
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.78 to 0.85 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
MSTX vs. BTCL — Risk / Return Rank
MSTX
BTCL
MSTX vs. BTCL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) and T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.25 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.66 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.75 | 0.80 | -0.05 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.00 | -0.96 | -0.04 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.21 | -1.34 | +0.13 |
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Drawdowns
MSTX vs. BTCL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSTX drawdown since its inception was -99.46%, which is greater than BTCL's maximum drawdown of -84.01%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTX and BTCL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.46% | -84.01% | -15.45% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -98.15% | -84.01% | -14.14% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.36% | -82.03% | -17.33% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -72.18% | -37.76% | -34.42% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 81.05% | 59.98% | +21.07% |
Volatility
MSTX vs. BTCL - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a higher volatility of 36.23% compared to T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL) at 17.89%. This indicates that MSTX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTCL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 36.23% | 17.89% | +18.34% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 120.60% | 68.12% | +52.48% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 149.90% | 88.68% | +61.22% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 167.17% | 96.26% | +70.91% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 167.17% | 96.26% | +70.91% |
MSTX vs. BTCL - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSTX has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than BTCL's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSTX vs. BTCL - Dividend Comparison
MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTCL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.10%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | 4.10% | 1.70% | 4.35% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSTX and BTCL have a correlation of 0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (36.23%) compared to BTCL (17.89%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTX dropped -99.46% vs BTCL's -84.01%.
On 1-year performance, BTCL leads with -78.91% vs -97.40% for MSTX. On fees, BTCL is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BTCL has been the lower-risk option at 17.89%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BTCL has performed better with a -78.91% return vs -97.40%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BTCL is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for MSTX.
BTCL has the higher dividend yield at 4.10%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
MSTX is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while BTCL is Leveraged Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: Defiance and REX. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for MSTX and 0.95% for BTCL.
MSTX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.65 vs -0.91), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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