MSTX vs. BTCL
MSTX (Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF) and BTCL (T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - MSTX is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Defiance, while BTCL is a Leveraged Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by REX. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, MSTX returned -98.20% vs -81.18% for BTCL. A 0.78 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. MSTX charges 1.29%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for BTCL.
Performance
MSTX vs. BTCL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, MSTX achieves a -78.86% return, which is significantly lower than BTCL's -59.07% return.
MSTX
- 1D
- -5.35%
- 1M
- -49.69%
- 6M
- -81.03%
- YTD
- -78.86%
- 1Y
- -98.20%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BTCL
- 1D
- -5.13%
- 1M
- -6.40%
- 6M
- -62.35%
- YTD
- -59.07%
- 1Y
- -81.18%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MSTX vs. BTCL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | -78.86% | -89.06% | 134.05% |
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | -59.07% | -39.52% | 112.59% |
Correlation
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL is 0.84, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.84 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 15, 2024 | 0.78 |
The correlation between MSTX and BTCL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.78 to 0.84 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
MSTX vs. BTCL — Risk / Return Rank
MSTX
BTCL
MSTX vs. BTCL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) and T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.26 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.77 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.73 | 0.79 | -0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.00 | -0.97 | -0.03 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.20 | -1.43 | +0.22 |
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Drawdowns
MSTX vs. BTCL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum MSTX drawdown since its inception was -99.46%, which is greater than BTCL's maximum drawdown of -84.01%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTX and BTCL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.46% | -84.01% | -15.45% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -98.63% | -84.01% | -14.62% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.35% | -82.20% | -17.15% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -71.39% | -36.56% | -34.83% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 81.50% | 56.89% | +24.61% |
Volatility
MSTX vs. BTCL - Volatility Comparison
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) has a higher volatility of 53.48% compared to T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF (BTCL) at 22.76%. This indicates that MSTX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTCL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| MSTX | BTCL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 53.48% | 22.76% | +30.72% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 121.92% | 70.37% | +51.55% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 148.11% | 88.56% | +59.55% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 168.15% | 97.16% | +70.99% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 168.15% | 97.16% | +70.99% |
MSTX vs. BTCL - Expense Ratio Comparison
MSTX has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than BTCL's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
MSTX vs. BTCL - Dividend Comparison
MSTX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTCL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.14%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCL T-REX 2X Long Bitcoin Daily Target ETF | 4.14% | 1.70% | 4.35% |
MSTX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
MSTX and BTCL have a correlation of 0.84, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTX has higher volatility (53.48%) compared to BTCL (22.76%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTX dropped -99.46% vs BTCL's -84.01%.
On 1-year performance, BTCL leads with -81.18% vs -98.20% for MSTX. On fees, BTCL is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, BTCL has been the lower-risk option at 22.76%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BTCL has performed better with a -81.18% return vs -98.20%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
BTCL is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for MSTX.
BTCL has the higher dividend yield at 4.14%, compared with 0.00% for MSTX.
MSTX is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while BTCL is Leveraged Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: Defiance and REX. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for MSTX and 0.95% for BTCL.
MSTX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.66 vs -0.92), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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