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MSDD vs. ORCS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSDD vs. ORCS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF (MSDD) and Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF (ORCS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSDD achieves a -48.72% return, which is significantly lower than ORCS's 18.11% return.


MSDD

1D
0.00%
1M
-0.02%
6M
-43.28%
YTD
-48.72%
1Y
151.71%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

ORCS

1D
2.16%
1M
28.94%
6M
20.88%
YTD
18.11%
1Y
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSDD vs. ORCS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025
MSDD
GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF
-48.72%61.85%
ORCS
Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF
18.11%11.07%

Correlation

The correlation between MSDD and ORCS is 0.39, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 19, 2025

0.39

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Return for Risk

MSDD vs. ORCS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF (MSDD) and Direxion Daily ORCL Bear 1X ETF (ORCS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


MSDDORCSDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.22

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.92

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.81

MSDD vs. ORCS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison


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Drawdowns

MSDD vs. ORCS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSDD drawdown since its inception was -84.91%, which is greater than ORCS's maximum drawdown of -50.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSDD and ORCS.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSDDORCSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-84.91%

-50.25%

-34.66%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-84.91%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-68.63%

-15.50%

-53.13%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-31.40%

-16.45%

-14.95%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

43.10%

Volatility

MSDD vs. ORCS - Volatility Comparison


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Volatility by Period


MSDDORCSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

32.11%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

124.37%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

140.94%

59.53%

+81.41%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

138.59%

59.53%

+79.06%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

138.59%

59.53%

+79.06%

MSDD vs. ORCS - Expense Ratio Comparison

MSDD has a 1.50% expense ratio, which is higher than ORCS's 0.97% expense ratio.


Dividends

MSDD vs. ORCS - Dividend Comparison

MSDD has not paid dividends to shareholders, while ORCS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.21%.


Frequently Asked Questions


MSDD and ORCS have a correlation of 0.39, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

On fees, ORCS is cheaper at 0.97% per year. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

ORCS is cheaper with a 0.97% expense ratio, compared with 1.50% for MSDD.

ORCS has the higher dividend yield at 1.21%, compared with 0.00% for MSDD.

They also come from different issuers: GraniteShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.50% for MSDD and 0.97% for ORCS.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for MSDD and ORCS

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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