KDEC vs. MSDD

Last updated Jun 24, 2026

KDEC (Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - December) and MSDD (GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - KDEC is a Defined Outcome fund actively managed by Innovator, while MSDD is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by GraniteShares. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, KDEC returned 18.29% vs 69.58% for MSDD. At a correlation of -0.49, they often move in opposite directions. KDEC charges 0.79%/yr vs 1.50%/yr for MSDD.

Performance

KDEC vs. MSDD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - December (KDEC) and GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF (MSDD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, KDEC achieves a 10.13% return, which is significantly higher than MSDD's -48.72% return.

KDEC

• 1D: -0.35%
• 1M: 1.66%
• YTD: 10.13%
• 6M: 8.90%
• 1Y: 18.29%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

MSDD

• 1D: 0.00%
• 1M: 44.94%
• YTD: -48.72%
• 6M: -45.00%
• 1Y: 69.58%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

KDEC vs. MSDD - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025
KDEC Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - December	10.13%	7.19%
MSDD GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF	-48.72%	274.52%

Correlation

The correlation between KDEC and MSDD is -0.50, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.50
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 10, 2025	-0.49

Return for Risk

KDEC vs. MSDD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

KDEC

KDEC Risk / Return Rank: 67
KDEC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 65
KDEC Sortino Ratio Rank: 68
KDEC Omega Ratio Rank: 62
KDEC Calmar Ratio Rank: 74
KDEC Martin Ratio Rank: 68

MSDD

MSDD Risk / Return Rank: 24
MSDD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 17
MSDD Sortino Ratio Rank: 32
MSDD Omega Ratio Rank: 33
MSDD Calmar Ratio Rank: 20
MSDD Martin Ratio Rank: 16

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

KDEC vs. MSDD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - December (KDEC) and GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF (MSDD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	KDEC	MSDD	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	1.92	0.50	+1.43
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	2.81	1.61	+1.19
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.34	1.21	+0.13
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	3.41	0.82	+2.59
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	11.25	1.63	+9.63

KDEC vs. MSDD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current KDEC Sharpe Ratio is 1.92, which is higher than the MSDD Sharpe Ratio of 0.50. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of KDEC and MSDD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

KDEC vs. MSDD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum KDEC drawdown since its inception was -16.52%, smaller than the maximum MSDD drawdown of -84.91%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for KDEC and MSDD.

Drawdown Indicators

	KDEC	MSDD	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-16.52%	-84.91%	+68.39%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-5.38%	-84.91%	+79.53%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-0.35%	-68.63%	+68.28%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-2.96%	-31.26%	+28.30%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	1.63%	43.14%	-41.51%

Volatility

KDEC vs. MSDD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - December (KDEC) is 2.26%, while GraniteShares 2x Short MSTR Daily ETF (MSDD) has a volatility of 32.28%. This indicates that KDEC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSDD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	KDEC	MSDD	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	2.26%	32.28%	-30.02%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	6.73%	124.65%	-117.92%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	9.56%	140.94%	-131.38%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	12.28%	138.85%	-126.57%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	12.28%	138.85%	-126.57%

KDEC vs. MSDD - Expense Ratio Comparison

KDEC has a 0.79% expense ratio, which is lower than MSDD's 1.50% expense ratio.

Dividends

KDEC vs. MSDD - Dividend Comparison

Neither KDEC nor MSDD has paid dividends to shareholders.

Tickers have no history of dividend payments

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both KDEC and MSDD in my portfolio?

KDEC and MSDD have a correlation of -0.50, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, KDEC or MSDD?

MSDD has higher volatility (32.28%) compared to KDEC (2.26%). In terms of maximum drawdown, KDEC dropped -16.52% vs MSDD's -84.91%.

Which ETF is better, KDEC or MSDD?

On 1-year performance, MSDD leads with 69.58% vs 18.29% for KDEC. On fees, KDEC is cheaper at 0.79% per year. On volatility, KDEC has been the lower-risk option at 2.26%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, KDEC or MSDD?

Over the 1-year period, MSDD has performed better with a 69.58% return vs 18.29%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, KDEC or MSDD?

KDEC is cheaper with a 0.79% expense ratio, compared with 1.50% for MSDD.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, KDEC or MSDD?

KDEC and MSDD have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.

What is the main difference between KDEC and MSDD?

KDEC is categorized as Defined Outcome, while MSDD is Inverse Equities. They also come from different issuers: Innovator and GraniteShares. Their fees differ too: 0.79% for KDEC and 1.50% for MSDD.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

KDEC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.92 vs 0.50), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.