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GBTC vs. BTC
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

GBTC vs. BTC - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both investments are quite close, with GBTC having a -27.82% return and BTC slightly higher at -27.45%.


GBTC

1D
-2.74%
1M
-22.25%
YTD
-27.82%
6M
-31.83%
1Y
-40.35%
3Y*
53.36%
5Y*
9.81%
10Y*
49.21%

BTC

1D
-2.80%
1M
-22.20%
YTD
-27.45%
6M
-31.41%
1Y
-39.58%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

GBTC vs. BTC - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
-27.82%-7.65%42.15%
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
-27.45%-7.50%44.64%

Correlation

The correlation between GBTC and BTC is 1.00 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 1, 2024

1.00

The correlation between GBTC and BTC has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 1.00 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

GBTC vs. BTC — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

GBTC
GBTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
GBTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GBTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
GBTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
GBTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
GBTC Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

BTC
BTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
BTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

GBTC vs. BTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


GBTCBTCDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.02

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.04

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.85

0.86

0.00

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.81

-0.80

-0.01

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.40

-1.39

-0.01

GBTC vs. BTC - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current GBTC Sharpe Ratio is -0.93, which is comparable to the BTC Sharpe Ratio of -0.91. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of GBTC and BTC, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


GBTCBTCDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.93

-0.91

-0.02

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.16

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.60

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.65

-0.03

+0.69

Drawdowns

GBTC vs. BTC - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum GBTC drawdown since its inception was -89.91%, which is greater than BTC's maximum drawdown of -49.43%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GBTC and BTC.


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Drawdown Indicators


GBTCBTCDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-89.91%

-49.43%

-40.48%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.87%

-49.43%

-0.44%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-49.87%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-85.42%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-89.91%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-49.87%

-49.43%

-0.44%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-43.43%

-16.68%

-26.75%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

28.81%

28.55%

+0.26%

Volatility

GBTC vs. BTC - Volatility Comparison

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) have volatilities of 9.07% and 9.06%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


GBTCBTCDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

9.07%

9.06%

+0.01%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

33.86%

33.91%

-0.05%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

43.69%

43.72%

-0.03%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

62.44%

48.29%

+14.15%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

82.20%

48.29%

+33.91%

GBTC vs. BTC - Expense Ratio Comparison

GBTC has a 1.50% expense ratio, which is higher than BTC's 0.15% expense ratio.


Dividends

GBTC vs. BTC - Dividend Comparison

Neither GBTC nor BTC has paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.61%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 1.00, GBTC and BTC move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

GBTC has higher volatility (9.07%) compared to BTC (9.06%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GBTC dropped -89.91% vs BTC's -49.43%.

On 1-year performance, BTC leads with -39.58% vs -40.35% for GBTC. On fees, BTC is cheaper at 0.15% per year. Their volatility is very similar. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, BTC has performed better with a -39.58% return vs -40.35%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

BTC is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 1.50% for GBTC.

GBTC and BTC have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.

Their fees differ too: 1.50% for GBTC and 0.15% for BTC.

BTC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.91 vs -0.93), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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