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FTBFX vs. VFORX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Fidelity Total Bond Fund (FTBFX) and Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FTBFX achieves a 0.57% return, which is significantly lower than VFORX's 8.11% return. Over the past 10 years, FTBFX has underperformed VFORX with an annualized return of 2.43%, while VFORX has yielded a comparatively higher 10.63% annualized return.


FTBFX

1D
0.53%
1M
0.47%
YTD
0.57%
6M
1.02%
1Y
4.86%
3Y*
4.80%
5Y*
0.60%
10Y*
2.43%

VFORX

1D
1.91%
1M
0.13%
YTD
8.11%
6M
8.81%
1Y
19.96%
3Y*
16.17%
5Y*
8.20%
10Y*
10.63%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
FTBFX
Fidelity Total Bond Fund
0.57%7.50%2.13%7.25%-13.58%-0.44%9.34%9.89%-0.66%4.19%
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
8.11%18.77%12.90%18.56%-17.00%14.55%15.48%23.86%-7.32%18.45%

Correlation

The correlation between FTBFX and VFORX is 0.42, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.42

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.34

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.28

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.14

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 7, 2006

-0.04

The correlation between FTBFX and VFORX shifts across timeframes, from -0.04 (all time) to 0.42 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

FTBFX vs. VFORX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FTBFX
FTBFX Risk / Return Rank: 3434
Overall Rank
FTBFX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3636
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FTBFX Sortino Ratio Rank: 3939
Sortino Ratio Rank
FTBFX Omega Ratio Rank: 3535
Omega Ratio Rank
FTBFX Calmar Ratio Rank: 3434
Calmar Ratio Rank
FTBFX Martin Ratio Rank: 2828
Martin Ratio Rank

VFORX
VFORX Risk / Return Rank: 7373
Overall Rank
VFORX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VFORX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VFORX Omega Ratio Rank: 7272
Omega Ratio Rank
VFORX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
VFORX Martin Ratio Rank: 7979
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Fidelity Total Bond Fund (FTBFX) and Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


FTBFXVFORXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.64

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.73

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.24

1.37

-0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.80

2.67

-0.87

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

5.30

11.49

-6.19

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FTBFX Sharpe Ratio is 1.36, which is lower than the VFORX Sharpe Ratio of 2.00. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FTBFX and VFORX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FTBFX drawdown since its inception was -18.25%, smaller than the maximum VFORX drawdown of -51.63%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FTBFX and VFORX.


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Drawdown Indicators


FTBFXVFORXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-18.25%

-51.63%

+33.38%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-2.89%

-7.70%

+4.81%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-5.82%

-12.12%

+6.30%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-18.25%

-24.32%

+6.07%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-18.25%

-29.35%

+11.10%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-1.31%

-1.82%

+0.51%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-2.32%

-6.77%

+4.45%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

0.98%

1.78%

-0.80%

Volatility

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Fidelity Total Bond Fund (FTBFX) is 1.43%, while Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) has a volatility of 4.19%. This indicates that FTBFX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VFORX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


FTBFXVFORXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.43%

4.19%

-2.76%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

2.85%

8.47%

-5.62%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

3.84%

10.27%

-6.43%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

5.67%

12.51%

-6.84%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

4.73%

13.70%

-8.97%

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Expense Ratio Comparison

FTBFX has a 0.45% expense ratio, which is higher than VFORX's 0.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

FTBFX vs. VFORX - Dividend Comparison

FTBFX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.36%, more than VFORX's 2.56% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FTBFX
Fidelity Total Bond Fund
4.36%4.36%4.15%4.15%2.54%1.89%5.22%3.03%3.19%2.97%3.61%3.30%
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
2.56%2.77%2.86%2.38%2.60%20.68%2.06%2.28%2.58%0.04%2.40%2.99%

Frequently Asked Questions


FTBFX and VFORX have a correlation of 0.42, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

VFORX has higher volatility (4.19%) compared to FTBFX (1.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FTBFX dropped -18.25% vs VFORX's -51.63%.

VFORX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.00 vs 1.36), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for FTBFX and VFORX

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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