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BTC vs. OBTC
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

BTC vs. OBTC - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) and Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with BTC having a -25.36% return and OBTC slightly lower at -25.45%.


BTC

1D
-2.73%
1M
-18.40%
YTD
-25.36%
6M
-29.74%
1Y
-38.61%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

OBTC

1D
-2.72%
1M
-18.30%
YTD
-25.45%
6M
-25.31%
1Y
-28.83%
3Y*
53.99%
5Y*
8.44%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BTC vs. OBTC - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
-25.36%-7.50%44.64%
OBTC
Osprey Bitcoin Trust
-25.45%-1.87%40.69%

Correlation

The correlation between BTC and OBTC is 0.92, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.92

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 1, 2024

0.93

The correlation between BTC and OBTC has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.92 to 0.93 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

BTC vs. OBTC — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BTC
BTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
BTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

OBTC
OBTC Risk / Return Rank: 44
Overall Rank
OBTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
OBTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
OBTC Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
OBTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
OBTC Martin Ratio Rank: 33
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BTC vs. OBTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) and Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


BTCOBTCDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.23

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.46

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.86

0.91

-0.05

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.78

-0.64

-0.15

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.36

-1.15

-0.21

BTC vs. OBTC - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BTC Sharpe Ratio is -0.89, which is lower than the OBTC Sharpe Ratio of -0.65. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BTC and OBTC, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


BTCOBTCDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.89

-0.65

-0.23

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.15

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.00

-0.21

+0.21

Drawdowns

BTC vs. OBTC - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BTC drawdown since its inception was -49.34%, smaller than the maximum OBTC drawdown of -94.50%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BTC and OBTC.


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Drawdown Indicators


BTCOBTCDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.34%

-94.50%

+45.16%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.34%

-45.41%

-3.93%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-45.41%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-83.76%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-47.98%

-62.77%

+14.79%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-16.61%

-69.63%

+53.02%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

28.38%

25.06%

+3.32%

Volatility

BTC vs. OBTC - Volatility Comparison

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) and Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC) have volatilities of 9.40% and 9.55%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BTCOBTCDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

9.40%

9.55%

-0.15%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.45%

34.48%

-0.03%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

43.69%

44.27%

-0.58%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

48.30%

58.11%

-9.81%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

48.30%

71.56%

-23.26%

BTC vs. OBTC - Expense Ratio Comparison

BTC has a 0.15% expense ratio, which is lower than OBTC's 0.49% expense ratio.


Dividends

BTC vs. OBTC - Dividend Comparison

Neither BTC nor OBTC has paid dividends to shareholders.


Tickers have no history of dividend payments

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.92, BTC and OBTC move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

OBTC has higher volatility (9.55%) compared to BTC (9.40%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BTC dropped -49.34% vs OBTC's -94.50%.

On 1-year performance, OBTC leads with -28.83% vs -38.61% for BTC. On fees, BTC is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, BTC has been the lower-risk option at 9.40%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, OBTC has performed better with a -28.83% return vs -38.61%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

BTC is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.49% for OBTC.

BTC and OBTC have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.

They also come from different issuers: Grayscale and Osprey Funds. Their fees differ too: 0.15% for BTC and 0.49% for OBTC.

OBTC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.65 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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