Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 79.50% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | Leveraged Commodities | 20.50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Public, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every week.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 19, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of AVEM
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Public | -1.48% | -6.60% | 7.14% | 14.01% | 52.25% | 26.79% | 13.17% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | -0.75% | -3.74% | 4.81% | 7.71% | 39.32% | 18.50% | 7.00% | — |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | -3.94% | -18.86% | 9.85% | 30.77% | 93.11% | 56.26% | 34.59% | 20.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 20, 2019, Public's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.27%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.6 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Nov 2022 with a return of +16.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -15.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 10 months.
On a daily basis, Public closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -9.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.50% | 8.74% | -11.57% | -0.09% | 7.14% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.11% | 0.59% | 5.01% | 2.39% | 4.80% | 6.16% | 0.37% | 4.42% | 8.96% | 4.06% | 1.33% | 2.24% | 52.75% |
| 2024 | -3.34% | 3.33% | 5.07% | 1.86% | 3.05% | 1.61% | 2.12% | 1.16% | 5.94% | -0.99% | -3.20% | -1.90% | 15.18% |
| 2023 | 9.47% | -7.42% | 5.41% | 0.06% | -2.04% | 2.75% | 5.99% | -5.18% | -3.96% | 0.24% | 7.34% | 3.80% | 15.99% |
| 2022 | -1.19% | -0.47% | -1.22% | -5.50% | -0.71% | -6.15% | -1.25% | -1.85% | -9.91% | -2.02% | 16.59% | -1.02% | -15.55% |
| 2021 | 0.66% | -0.36% | 0.04% | 3.52% | 4.91% | -1.76% | -3.19% | 1.33% | -4.42% | 0.71% | -2.52% | 3.57% | 2.05% |
Benchmark Metrics
Public has an annualized alpha of 6.83%, beta of 0.65, and R² of 0.46 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 20, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (80.83%) than losses (68.64%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.65 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.46 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.46 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.83%
- Beta
- 0.65
- R²
- 0.46
- Upside Capture
- 80.83%
- Downside Capture
- 68.64%
Expense Ratio
Public has an expense ratio of 0.46%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Public ranks 87 for risk / return — in the top 87% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.17 | 0.88 | +1.29 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.68 | 1.37 | +1.31 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.41 | 1.21 | +0.20 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.15 | 1.39 | +1.76 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.91 | 6.43 | +6.48 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | 83 | 1.83 | 2.42 | 1.36 | 2.80 | 10.66 |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 73 | 1.60 | 1.98 | 1.29 | 2.40 | 8.01 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Public provided a 1.92% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.92% | 1.95% | 2.52% | 2.43% | 2.20% | 2.07% | 1.27% | 0.27% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | 2.41% | 2.45% | 3.17% | 3.06% | 2.77% | 2.61% | 1.60% | 0.35% |
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Public. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Public was 32.78%, occurring on Oct 24, 2022. Recovery took 388 trading sessions.
The current Public drawdown is 11.64%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -32.78% | Jun 3, 2021 | 352 | Oct 24, 2022 | 388 | May 10, 2024 | 740 |
| -30.7% | Jan 21, 2020 | 42 | Mar 19, 2020 | 86 | Jul 22, 2020 | 128 |
| -15.72% | Mar 2, 2026 | 19 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -13.05% | Mar 20, 2025 | 14 | Apr 8, 2025 | 11 | Apr 24, 2025 | 25 |
| -9.55% | Oct 3, 2024 | 69 | Jan 13, 2025 | 26 | Feb 20, 2025 | 95 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.48, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UGL | AVEM | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| UGL | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.58 |
| AVEM | 0.69 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Portfolio | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.91 | 1.00 |