Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 30% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | Technology Equities | 10% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All Weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 13, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of SHLD
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -2.33% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio All Weather | -0.58% | -5.30% | 2.81% | 6.33% | 46.27% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -1.94% | -9.32% | 8.34% | 20.10% | 53.58% | 32.68% | 21.72% | 14.14% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.65% | -4.25% | 14.15% | 5.21% | 70.43% | — | — | — |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -2.19% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 31.08% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.34% | -4.65% | -2.77% | 39.07% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, All Weather's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.18%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.7 years.
Historically, 88% of months were positive and 13% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +8.0%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 1 months.
On a daily basis, All Weather closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.27% | 2.34% | -7.37% | 1.10% | 2.81% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.11% | 0.17% | 0.39% | 3.49% | 5.38% | 4.01% | 1.35% | 2.59% | 8.04% | 2.62% | 0.12% | 1.18% | 38.67% |
| 2024 | 0.72% | 4.44% | 4.50% | -1.75% | 4.19% | 2.62% | 2.14% | 2.27% | 2.88% | 0.81% | 2.85% | -1.51% | 26.76% |
| 2023 | -3.54% | 1.49% | 7.17% | 3.73% | 8.83% |
Benchmark Metrics
All Weather has an annualized alpha of 16.51%, beta of 0.75, and R² of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 109.60% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 19.06% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 16.51% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 16.51%
- Beta
- 0.75
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 109.60%
- Downside Capture
- 19.06%
Expense Ratio
All Weather has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All Weather ranks 85 for risk / return — in the top 85% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.02 | 0.88 | +1.14 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.76 | 1.37 | +1.39 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.21 | +0.23 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.79 | 1.39 | +1.40 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.50 | 6.43 | +5.07 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 79 | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.32 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 89 | 2.26 | 2.92 | 1.39 | 3.83 | 11.11 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 58 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All Weather provided a 0.55% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.59% | 0.65% | 0.75% | 0.50% | 0.63% | 0.79% | 0.89% | 0.78% | 0.92% | 0.93% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.48% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All Weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All Weather was 12.78%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current All Weather drawdown is 8.75%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.78% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -10.89% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 13 | Apr 28, 2025 | 48 |
| -7.23% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 10 | Aug 21, 2024 | 26 |
| -5.32% | Oct 21, 2025 | 23 | Nov 20, 2025 | 21 | Dec 22, 2025 | 44 |
| -5.29% | Sep 15, 2023 | 13 | Oct 3, 2023 | 23 | Nov 3, 2023 | 36 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IAU | SHLD | QQQ | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.47 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| IAU | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.57 |
| SHLD | 0.47 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.79 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Portfolio | 0.80 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 1.00 |