Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | Hedge Fund, Actively Managed | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
NOCT Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October | Defined Outcome | 25% |
SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | S&P 500 | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Merlot Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 1, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of NOCT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Merlot Portfolio | -0.29% | -3.14% | 3.01% | 7.90% | 28.37% | 21.57% | 14.93% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
NOCT Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October | 0.25% | -1.05% | -1.71% | -0.02% | 13.44% | 13.30% | 8.94% | — |
SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.21% | -3.49% | -3.57% | -4.50% | 22.96% | 28.37% | 17.71% | 17.43% |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.33% | 0.36% | 8.44% | 15.46% | 27.06% | 10.31% | 8.74% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 2, 2019, Merlot Portfolio's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.16%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.0 years.
Historically, 70% of months were positive and 30% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -5.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Merlot Portfolio closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.39% | 3.96% | -5.94% | 0.92% | 3.01% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.67% | -0.36% | -0.64% | 2.14% | 4.05% | 3.44% | 0.82% | 2.01% | 5.83% | 2.39% | 1.48% | 0.88% | 28.73% |
| 2024 | 1.96% | 4.50% | 4.69% | 0.32% | 2.50% | 2.70% | 0.07% | 0.96% | 2.20% | -0.05% | 1.86% | -0.89% | 22.72% |
| 2023 | 2.20% | -2.36% | 1.87% | 1.48% | -0.90% | 2.38% | 1.15% | 0.49% | -0.20% | 1.06% | 3.16% | 2.03% | 12.93% |
| 2022 | -2.55% | 1.37% | 3.54% | -1.79% | -0.76% | -2.34% | 2.20% | -1.18% | -2.81% | 3.66% | 1.54% | -1.08% | -0.50% |
| 2021 | -0.91% | -0.61% | 1.44% | 3.32% | 2.52% | -0.01% | 1.52% | 0.63% | -1.98% | 3.92% | -1.47% | 1.80% | 10.46% |
Benchmark Metrics
Merlot Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 8.62%, beta of 0.42, and R² of 0.61 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 02, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (51.84%) than losses (25.29%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.62% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.42 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 8.62%
- Beta
- 0.42
- R²
- 0.61
- Upside Capture
- 51.84%
- Downside Capture
- 25.29%
Expense Ratio
Merlot Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.54%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Merlot Portfolio ranks 88 for risk / return — in the top 88% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.02 | 0.88 | +1.14 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.75 | 1.37 | +1.39 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.21 | +0.23 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.35 | 1.39 | +1.96 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.38 | 6.43 | +6.94 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOCT Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October | 63 | 1.08 | 1.68 | 1.27 | 1.74 | 8.64 |
SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 58 | 1.01 | 1.55 | 1.23 | 1.91 | 6.68 |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 94 | 2.25 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 4.38 | 18.76 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Merlot Portfolio provided a 1.54% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.54% | 1.66% | 1.56% | 1.13% | 2.35% | 2.73% | 0.53% | 2.95% | 0.26% | 0.19% | 0.48% | 0.09% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NOCT Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.88% | 0.73% | 0.48% | 1.63% | 1.66% | 0.52% | 1.27% | 1.39% | 1.05% | 0.77% | 1.94% | 0.36% |
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.28% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Merlot Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Merlot Portfolio was 14.22%, occurring on Mar 20, 2020. Recovery took 56 trading sessions.
The current Merlot Portfolio drawdown is 5.41%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14.22% | Feb 24, 2020 | 20 | Mar 20, 2020 | 56 | Jun 10, 2020 | 76 |
| -9.58% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 19 | May 6, 2025 | 54 |
| -8.62% | Mar 3, 2026 | 18 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.28% | Apr 20, 2022 | 114 | Sep 30, 2022 | 188 | Jul 3, 2023 | 302 |
| -7.1% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 33 | Sep 20, 2024 | 47 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | DBMF | NOCT | SPMO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.74 |
| GLD | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.52 |
| DBMF | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.49 |
| NOCT | 0.84 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| SPMO | 0.86 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Portfolio | 0.74 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.66 | 0.79 | 1.00 |