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All weather final
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather final, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD

Returns By Period

As of Apr 11, 2026, the All weather final returned -0.08% Year-To-Date and 19.13% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-0.11%0.61%-0.42%4.03%29.40%18.38%10.55%12.70%
Portfolio
All weather final
0.14%1.51%-0.08%0.73%24.83%17.61%8.21%19.13%
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
-0.02%1.47%2.51%7.81%34.96%18.68%10.02%12.06%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
0.03%0.32%0.98%1.82%4.00%4.70%3.30%2.14%
SEGA.L
iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist)
-0.15%0.60%-2.12%-1.25%3.99%4.14%-3.03%-0.20%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
1.48%3.78%-16.73%-35.51%-8.41%34.08%3.97%67.16%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.24%-0.35%0.34%-2.42%4.62%-3.00%-5.82%-1.38%
FEMKX
Fidelity Emerging Markets
0.30%2.10%8.16%14.53%54.15%17.57%4.48%10.75%
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.39%1.69%-0.81%2.74%47.59%25.42%15.89%21.85%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 27, 2012, All weather final's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.96%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.0 years.

Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +65.3%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -17.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, All weather final closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +13.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -10.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20260.77%-0.24%-4.79%4.39%-0.08%
20252.57%-1.70%-2.79%2.46%4.99%4.67%1.32%0.96%3.99%1.77%-2.23%0.23%17.07%
2024-0.17%7.12%4.11%-4.85%4.67%1.49%1.44%0.87%2.70%-1.13%6.64%-2.74%21.25%
202310.35%-2.83%6.81%1.20%-0.91%5.12%1.72%-3.33%-3.99%0.91%8.69%5.83%32.32%
2022-5.45%-1.62%0.71%-9.03%-1.45%-8.78%6.96%-5.45%-8.26%3.74%5.57%-4.14%-25.39%
20210.77%4.75%5.19%2.97%-2.53%1.24%2.88%2.98%-4.34%8.04%-1.56%-0.51%20.98%

Benchmark Metrics

All weather final has an annualized alpha of 12.31%, beta of 0.67, and R² of 0.46 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 27, 2012.

  • This portfolio captured 116.50% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 76.39% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • Beta of 0.67 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.46 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.46 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
12.31%
Beta
0.67
0.46
Upside Capture
116.50%
Downside Capture
76.39%

Expense Ratio

All weather final has an expense ratio of 0.24%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

All weather final ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


All weather final Risk / Return Rank: 1717
Overall Rank
All weather final Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2525
Sharpe Ratio Rank
All weather final Sortino Ratio Rank: 2626
Sortino Ratio Rank
All weather final Omega Ratio Rank: 2121
Omega Ratio Rank
All weather final Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
All weather final Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.07

2.23

-0.16

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.89

3.12

-0.23

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.35

1.42

-0.07

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.86

4.05

-3.19

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

2.48

17.91

-15.43


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
772.683.711.504.3519.49
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
10019.56254.71180.39366.824,118.43
SEGA.L
iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist)
130.440.681.080.802.48
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
56-0.200.011.00-0.95-1.64
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
110.450.711.080.360.78
FEMKX
Fidelity Emerging Markets
712.833.691.534.3216.60
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
572.282.931.393.7412.39

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

All weather final Sharpe ratios as of Apr 11, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.07
  • 5-Year: 0.56
  • 10-Year: 1.22
  • All Time: 1.32

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 2.14 to 3.05, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of All weather final compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

All weather final provided a 1.58% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.58%1.71%1.81%1.75%1.40%1.40%1.09%1.76%1.70%1.46%1.65%1.81%
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
1.51%1.55%1.70%1.88%1.79%1.71%1.43%2.33%2.18%1.94%2.19%2.56%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
3.95%4.13%5.03%4.92%1.35%0.00%0.30%2.05%1.66%0.68%0.07%0.00%
SEGA.L
iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist)
1.19%2.25%1.82%0.97%0.26%0.25%0.45%0.68%0.65%0.69%0.86%0.60%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.52%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
FEMKX
Fidelity Emerging Markets
0.04%0.05%0.65%1.11%0.77%6.00%1.39%1.71%0.83%0.08%0.67%0.51%
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
0.54%0.54%0.66%0.76%1.04%0.65%0.92%1.16%1.60%1.37%1.74%1.79%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather final. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the All weather final was 33.31%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 501 trading sessions.

The current All weather final drawdown is 3.12%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-33.31%Nov 9, 2021341Oct 15, 2022501Feb 28, 2024842
-26.84%Dec 5, 201314Dec 18, 20131113Jan 4, 20171127
-26.62%Dec 17, 2017374Dec 25, 2018180Jun 23, 2019554
-25.54%Feb 13, 202035Mar 18, 2020119Jul 15, 2020154
-15.98%Apr 10, 201386Jul 5, 2013106Oct 19, 2013192

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.39, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBILTLTSEGA.LBTC-USDFEMKXXLKACWIPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.01-0.180.120.150.690.890.950.74
BIL0.011.000.020.000.010.030.050.040.02
TLT-0.180.021.000.34-0.01-0.11-0.12-0.140.01
SEGA.L0.120.000.341.000.060.170.090.190.23
BTC-USD0.150.01-0.010.061.000.110.120.120.69
FEMKX0.690.03-0.110.170.111.000.610.740.57
XLK0.890.05-0.120.090.120.611.000.780.62
ACWI0.950.04-0.140.190.120.740.781.000.69
Portfolio0.740.020.010.230.690.570.620.691.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 27, 2012