Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All weather final, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the All weather final returned -0.08% Year-To-Date and 19.13% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 0.61% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 29.40% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio All weather final | 0.14% | 1.51% | -0.08% | 0.73% | 24.83% | 17.61% | 8.21% | 19.13% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | -0.02% | 1.47% | 2.51% | 7.81% | 34.96% | 18.68% | 10.02% | 12.06% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.03% | 0.32% | 0.98% | 1.82% | 4.00% | 4.70% | 3.30% | 2.14% |
SEGA.L iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist) | -0.15% | 0.60% | -2.12% | -1.25% | 3.99% | 4.14% | -3.03% | -0.20% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 1.48% | 3.78% | -16.73% | -35.51% | -8.41% | 34.08% | 3.97% | 67.16% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | -0.35% | 0.34% | -2.42% | 4.62% | -3.00% | -5.82% | -1.38% |
FEMKX Fidelity Emerging Markets | 0.30% | 2.10% | 8.16% | 14.53% | 54.15% | 17.57% | 4.48% | 10.75% |
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.39% | 1.69% | -0.81% | 2.74% | 47.59% | 25.42% | 15.89% | 21.85% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 27, 2012, All weather final's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.96%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.0 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +65.3%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -17.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, All weather final closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +13.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -10.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.77% | -0.24% | -4.79% | 4.39% | -0.08% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.57% | -1.70% | -2.79% | 2.46% | 4.99% | 4.67% | 1.32% | 0.96% | 3.99% | 1.77% | -2.23% | 0.23% | 17.07% |
| 2024 | -0.17% | 7.12% | 4.11% | -4.85% | 4.67% | 1.49% | 1.44% | 0.87% | 2.70% | -1.13% | 6.64% | -2.74% | 21.25% |
| 2023 | 10.35% | -2.83% | 6.81% | 1.20% | -0.91% | 5.12% | 1.72% | -3.33% | -3.99% | 0.91% | 8.69% | 5.83% | 32.32% |
| 2022 | -5.45% | -1.62% | 0.71% | -9.03% | -1.45% | -8.78% | 6.96% | -5.45% | -8.26% | 3.74% | 5.57% | -4.14% | -25.39% |
| 2021 | 0.77% | 4.75% | 5.19% | 2.97% | -2.53% | 1.24% | 2.88% | 2.98% | -4.34% | 8.04% | -1.56% | -0.51% | 20.98% |
Benchmark Metrics
All weather final has an annualized alpha of 12.31%, beta of 0.67, and R² of 0.46 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 27, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 116.50% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 76.39% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- Beta of 0.67 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.46 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.46 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 12.31%
- Beta
- 0.67
- R²
- 0.46
- Upside Capture
- 116.50%
- Downside Capture
- 76.39%
Expense Ratio
All weather final has an expense ratio of 0.24%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All weather final ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.07 | 2.23 | -0.16 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.89 | 3.12 | -0.23 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.42 | -0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.86 | 4.05 | -3.19 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.48 | 17.91 | -15.43 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | 77 | 2.68 | 3.71 | 1.50 | 4.35 | 19.49 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.56 | 254.71 | 180.39 | 366.82 | 4,118.43 |
SEGA.L iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist) | 13 | 0.44 | 0.68 | 1.08 | 0.80 | 2.48 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 56 | -0.20 | 0.01 | 1.00 | -0.95 | -1.64 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 11 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
FEMKX Fidelity Emerging Markets | 71 | 2.83 | 3.69 | 1.53 | 4.32 | 16.60 |
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 57 | 2.28 | 2.93 | 1.39 | 3.74 | 12.39 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All weather final provided a 1.58% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.58% | 1.71% | 1.81% | 1.75% | 1.40% | 1.40% | 1.09% | 1.76% | 1.70% | 1.46% | 1.65% | 1.81% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | 1.51% | 1.55% | 1.70% | 1.88% | 1.79% | 1.71% | 1.43% | 2.33% | 2.18% | 1.94% | 2.19% | 2.56% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.95% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
SEGA.L iShares Core Euro Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist) | 1.19% | 2.25% | 1.82% | 0.97% | 0.26% | 0.25% | 0.45% | 0.68% | 0.65% | 0.69% | 0.86% | 0.60% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.52% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
FEMKX Fidelity Emerging Markets | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.65% | 1.11% | 0.77% | 6.00% | 1.39% | 1.71% | 0.83% | 0.08% | 0.67% | 0.51% |
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.54% | 0.54% | 0.66% | 0.76% | 1.04% | 0.65% | 0.92% | 1.16% | 1.60% | 1.37% | 1.74% | 1.79% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All weather final. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All weather final was 33.31%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 501 trading sessions.
The current All weather final drawdown is 3.12%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -33.31% | Nov 9, 2021 | 341 | Oct 15, 2022 | 501 | Feb 28, 2024 | 842 |
| -26.84% | Dec 5, 2013 | 14 | Dec 18, 2013 | 1113 | Jan 4, 2017 | 1127 |
| -26.62% | Dec 17, 2017 | 374 | Dec 25, 2018 | 180 | Jun 23, 2019 | 554 |
| -25.54% | Feb 13, 2020 | 35 | Mar 18, 2020 | 119 | Jul 15, 2020 | 154 |
| -15.98% | Apr 10, 2013 | 86 | Jul 5, 2013 | 106 | Oct 19, 2013 | 192 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.39, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | TLT | SEGA.L | BTC-USD | FEMKX | XLK | ACWI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | -0.18 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 0.89 | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| BIL | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| TLT | -0.18 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.34 | -0.01 | -0.11 | -0.12 | -0.14 | 0.01 |
| SEGA.L | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.69 |
| FEMKX | 0.69 | 0.03 | -0.11 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.74 | 0.57 |
| XLK | 0.89 | 0.05 | -0.12 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| ACWI | 0.95 | 0.04 | -0.14 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Portfolio | 0.74 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 1.00 |