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first draft
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


CCJ 16.67%UEC 16.67%UUUU 16.67%LEU 16.67%EWY 16.67%EWP 16.67%EquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in first draft, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period

As of Jun 13, 2026, the first draft returned 12.89% Year-To-Date and 32.72% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
first draft
1.02%-5.45%12.89%12.93%101.22%58.89%35.95%32.72%
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
2.01%-6.09%10.35%10.35%51.75%47.60%36.72%25.74%
EWP
iShares MSCI Spain ETF
0.63%5.52%8.89%11.54%39.17%32.21%17.57%12.33%
EWY
iShares MSCI South Korea ETF
-0.75%10.39%103.10%117.85%203.95%46.46%18.80%16.84%
LEU
Centrus Energy Corp.
2.46%-10.96%-33.03%-34.71%0.21%68.75%43.53%47.52%
UEC
Uranium Energy Corp.
3.76%-19.19%-5.57%-14.63%76.48%51.69%28.08%27.01%
UUUU
Energy Fuels Inc.
-0.27%-18.31%3.44%3.23%167.62%32.20%16.43%20.04%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 5, 2007, first draft's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.44%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.

Historically, 49% of months were positive and 51% were negative. The best month was Apr 2009 with a return of +52.5%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -35.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, first draft closed higher 50% of trading days. The best single day was Jul 1, 2014 with a return of +27.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -15.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202630.44%-3.73%-12.72%16.46%-2.10%-9.65%12.89%
20256.80%-4.92%-10.31%10.46%24.37%22.32%18.01%10.42%25.72%18.12%-16.23%2.08%153.25%
20242.45%-10.26%4.76%-3.02%13.85%-9.41%-1.30%-6.83%14.34%19.20%3.20%-18.42%1.64%
202315.99%-2.51%-11.30%-1.57%0.38%11.17%7.29%8.95%10.56%-0.11%7.66%-0.17%52.85%
2022-11.95%17.23%3.89%-10.73%-4.49%-14.08%21.80%15.50%-17.63%10.52%-0.33%-5.96%-5.70%
2021-6.48%18.10%9.41%0.43%8.29%-3.14%-9.20%7.56%15.52%16.08%-0.43%-6.85%54.64%

Benchmark Metrics

first draft has an annualized alpha of 4.63%, beta of 1.22, and R2 of 0.31 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 05, 2007.

  • This portfolio captured 154.59% of S&P 500 Index gains and 143.79% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • R2 of 0.31 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
4.63%
Beta
1.22
0.31
Upside Capture
154.59%
Downside Capture
143.79%

Expense Ratio

first draft has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

first draft ranks 44 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


first draft Risk / Return Rank: 4444
Overall Rank
first draft Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5151
Sharpe Ratio Rank
first draft Sortino Ratio Rank: 3737
Sortino Ratio Rank
first draft Omega Ratio Rank: 3131
Omega Ratio Rank
first draft Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
first draft Martin Ratio Rank: 2828
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for first draft and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.98

1.86

+0.12

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.47

2.53

-0.06

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.30

1.34

-0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.47

2.53

+0.94

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

7.46

11.37

-3.91


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
72
0.961.681.201.834.43
EWP
iShares MSCI Spain ETF
67
1.942.621.343.2611.51
EWY
iShares MSCI South Korea ETF
95
4.294.081.598.6530.24
LEU
Centrus Energy Corp.
45
0.030.701.080.040.07
UEC
Uranium Energy Corp.
70
0.981.701.201.463.58
UUUU
Energy Fuels Inc.
84
1.892.471.293.536.84

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current first draft Sharpe ratio is 1.98 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.54 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of first draft compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

first draft provided a 0.55% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.55%0.76%1.19%0.90%0.78%0.96%0.62%1.08%0.93%1.66%1.61%1.59%
CCJ
Cameco Corporation
0.17%0.19%0.22%0.20%0.39%0.29%0.46%0.67%0.53%4.33%3.82%3.24%
EWP
iShares MSCI Spain ETF
2.09%2.27%4.35%2.70%3.07%3.29%2.56%3.72%3.69%2.72%4.65%3.85%
EWY
iShares MSCI South Korea ETF
1.03%2.10%2.55%2.52%1.23%2.16%0.73%2.10%1.34%2.90%1.21%2.42%
LEU
Centrus Energy Corp.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UEC
Uranium Energy Corp.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UUUU
Energy Fuels Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the first draft. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the first draft was 87.71%, occurring on Jan 20, 2016. Recovery took 1460 trading sessions.

The current first draft drawdown is 23.28%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2016 bear market2016
-87.71%Jan 2016
4y 11mo5y 9mo
10y 9moFeb 2011 - Nov 2021
Financial crisis2007–2009
-81.40%Nov 2008
1y 7mo2y 11d
3y 7moApr 2007 - Dec 2010
Bear market2022
-44.21%May 2022
5mo 28d1y 4mo
1y 10moNov 2021 - Sep 2023
2025 selloff2025
-35.32%Apr 2025
5mo 19d1mo 19d
7mo 8dOct 2024 - May 2025
2026 bear market2026
-29.99%Jun 2026
4mo 12d
4mo 17dJan 2026 - now

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.26

1.28

1.24

1.33

1.49

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.49, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

first draft correlation to the S&P 500 Index

first draft has a 0.53 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.53

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.48

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.54

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.51

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2007

0.55


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. EWP has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.68, while UUUU has the lowest at 0.31.

UUUU
0.31
LEU
0.31
UEC
0.35
CCJ
0.49
EWY
0.66
EWP
0.68

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. first draft. UEC has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.73, while EWP has the lowest at 0.49.

EWP
0.49
EWY
0.52
LEU
0.66
CCJ
0.69
UUUU
0.73
UEC
0.73

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Apr 5, 2007
Diversification Analysis

Find what first draft is missing

See which holdings overlap, where first draft is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification