Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | Financial Services | 0% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Financial Services | 0.63% |
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 0% |
MRCY Mercury Systems, Inc. | Industrials | 21.45% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 7.16% |
NTRA Natera, Inc. | Healthcare | 0% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 4.08% |
PVLA Palvella Therapeutics, Inc | Healthcare | 29.35% |
QLYS Qualys, Inc. | Technology | 0% |
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | Technology | 0% |
TTAN ServiceTitan, Inc | Technology | 0% |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | Healthcare | 37.34% |
VST Vistra Corp. | Utilities | 0% |
ZYME Zymeworks Inc. | Healthcare | 0% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Guessing Sharpe-Optimised, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 16, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of PVLA
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio Guessing Sharpe-Optimised | -0.52% | -7.35% | 3.02% | 19.12% | 153.43% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.77% | -3.68% | -5.76% | -6.13% | 59.59% | 85.01% | 66.40% | 69.75% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | -0.22% | -7.32% | -23.45% | -28.63% | -2.61% | 9.46% | 9.70% | 22.41% |
ZYME Zymeworks Inc. | 3.59% | 11.28% | -1.48% | 53.13% | 123.24% | 42.10% | -3.79% | — |
NTRA Natera, Inc. | 1.61% | 1.52% | -11.30% | 25.74% | 44.48% | 54.11% | 14.57% | 35.72% |
MRCY Mercury Systems, Inc. | 2.52% | -17.87% | 2.38% | -7.92% | 71.88% | 13.50% | 0.64% | 13.56% |
TTAN ServiceTitan, Inc | -1.62% | -16.40% | -41.38% | -38.60% | -34.28% | — | — | — |
PVLA Palvella Therapeutics, Inc | -3.43% | -9.22% | 15.01% | 90.38% | 410.30% | — | — | — |
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | 6.60% | 34.98% | 59.32% | 150.13% | 412.94% | 63.92% | 45.27% | 31.54% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0.41% | -0.73% | -7.92% | -4.04% | 23.71% | 34.51% | 16.89% | 20.50% |
BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | -1.24% | -11.00% | -19.01% | -30.27% | -47.73% | 4.59% | 7.45% | 14.72% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 17, 2024, Guessing Sharpe-Optimised's average daily return is +0.45%, while the average monthly return is +8.66%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.7 years.
Historically, 82% of months were positive and 18% were negative. The best month was Feb 2025 with a return of +24.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 13 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Guessing Sharpe-Optimised closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 24, 2026 with a return of +10.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 1, 2025 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.84% | 15.15% | -7.43% | -0.52% | 3.02% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 10.52% | 24.22% | 10.86% | 5.07% | 6.80% | 9.25% | 23.12% | 23.47% | 10.53% | 8.42% | 7.09% | 1.05% | 267.87% |
| 2024 | 2.49% | 2.49% |
Benchmark Metrics
Guessing Sharpe-Optimised has an annualized alpha of 187.51%, beta of 0.90, and R² of 0.20 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 17, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 533.89% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -475.30%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- R² of 0.20 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 187.51%
- Beta
- 0.90
- R²
- 0.20
- Upside Capture
- 533.89%
- Downside Capture
- -475.30%
Expense Ratio
Guessing Sharpe-Optimised has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Guessing Sharpe-Optimised ranks 99 for risk / return — in the top 99% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 4.73 | 0.92 | +3.82 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 5.08 | 1.41 | +3.67 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.64 | 1.21 | +0.42 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 9.78 | 1.41 | +8.36 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 30.05 | 6.61 | +23.43 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 82 | 1.45 | 2.14 | 1.27 | 3.08 | 7.73 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 35 | -0.10 | 0.04 | 1.01 | -0.03 | -0.07 |
ZYME Zymeworks Inc. | 92 | 2.22 | 3.14 | 1.38 | 5.66 | 12.89 |
NTRA Natera, Inc. | 72 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.21 | 1.55 | 4.16 |
MRCY Mercury Systems, Inc. | 79 | 1.34 | 1.93 | 1.28 | 2.28 | 6.72 |
TTAN ServiceTitan, Inc | 15 | -0.68 | -0.82 | 0.90 | -0.64 | -1.31 |
PVLA Palvella Therapeutics, Inc | 97 | 4.78 | 4.11 | 1.48 | 11.03 | 26.80 |
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | 99 | 6.60 | 5.10 | 1.70 | 16.96 | 61.93 |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 68 | 0.94 | 1.34 | 1.19 | 1.48 | 4.00 |
BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | 2 | -1.70 | -2.49 | 0.66 | -0.98 | -1.63 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Guessing Sharpe-Optimised provided a 0.08% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.11% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.94% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
ZYME Zymeworks Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NTRA Natera, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MRCY Mercury Systems, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TTAN ServiceTitan, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PVLA Palvella Therapeutics, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSEM Tower Semiconductor Ltd | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1.96% | 1.72% | 1.92% | 2.38% | 2.98% | 2.34% | 2.83% | 2.37% | 2.54% | 1.91% | 2.13% | 2.54% |
BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | 0.98% | 0.77% | 0.53% | 0.67% | 0.74% | 0.54% | 0.73% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.08% | 1.12% | 1.41% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Guessing Sharpe-Optimised. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Guessing Sharpe-Optimised was 18.17%, occurring on Apr 7, 2025. Recovery took 15 trading sessions.
The current Guessing Sharpe-Optimised drawdown is 11.35%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.17% | Mar 13, 2025 | 18 | Apr 7, 2025 | 15 | Apr 29, 2025 | 33 |
| -15.24% | Feb 27, 2026 | 22 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -14.92% | Jan 16, 2026 | 14 | Feb 5, 2026 | 13 | Feb 25, 2026 | 27 |
| -9.08% | May 5, 2025 | 5 | May 9, 2025 | 11 | May 27, 2025 | 16 |
| -6.55% | Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | Jan 13, 2025 | 5 | Jan 21, 2025 | 8 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.59, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BRO | VRNA | PVLA | TTAN | QLYS | ZYME | MRCY | LCID | NTRA | TSEM | VST | MSFT | JPM | NVDA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| BRO | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.06 | 0.10 | 0.18 | -0.13 | 0.09 |
| VRNA | 0.18 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.43 |
| PVLA | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.80 |
| TTAN | 0.32 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| QLYS | 0.36 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| ZYME | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| MRCY | 0.47 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| LCID | 0.44 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| NTRA | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| TSEM | 0.51 | -0.17 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 0.20 |
| VST | 0.45 | -0.06 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.51 | 0.33 |
| MSFT | 0.63 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| JPM | 0.62 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| NVDA | 0.67 | -0.13 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.31 |
| Portfolio | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.43 | 0.80 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 1.00 |