Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 25% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | Industrials | 25% |
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | Technology | 25% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Energy | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Paco Long Term Winners , comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 7, 2001, corresponding to the inception date of AXON
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the Paco Long Term Winners returned 4.88% Year-To-Date and 39.93% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Paco Long Term Winners | 0.17% | -14.52% | 4.88% | -6.43% | 7.74% | 42.66% | 33.61% | 39.93% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 2.61% | -24.74% | -35.54% | -38.94% | -42.34% | 16.46% | 16.82% | 26.39% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 1.15% | -15.16% | 54.85% | 38.13% | -3.63% | 32.06% | 21.56% | 40.32% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -2.54% | -28.71% | -27.31% | -42.71% | -26.08% | 21.99% | 23.61% | 36.33% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | -0.43% | 2.72% | 23.69% | 14.65% | 96.87% | 66.73% | 46.59% | 32.35% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 8, 2001, Paco Long Term Winners 's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.75%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.1 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Oct 2003 with a return of +35.8%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -29.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Paco Long Term Winners closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +18.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -14.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.75% | 16.81% | -11.61% | -1.13% | 4.88% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.99% | -3.99% | -5.19% | 7.49% | 3.97% | 7.23% | -5.28% | -0.27% | 0.08% | 4.47% | -8.43% | -1.01% | 2.54% |
| 2024 | -0.41% | 19.08% | 5.83% | -1.84% | 4.57% | 8.25% | 7.29% | 9.05% | 8.26% | 10.93% | 31.41% | -17.35% | 112.83% |
| 2023 | 3.57% | 2.01% | 2.82% | -2.64% | -3.47% | 4.46% | 7.44% | 12.99% | -4.68% | -0.06% | 8.60% | 4.40% | 39.86% |
| 2022 | -4.30% | 0.26% | 2.42% | -10.85% | 3.69% | -3.97% | 17.45% | 1.41% | -3.81% | 23.52% | 19.35% | -6.91% | 37.18% |
| 2021 | 8.18% | 11.55% | 14.30% | 4.35% | -2.63% | 7.86% | 0.38% | -5.85% | -8.02% | 3.38% | -6.06% | 6.22% | 35.55% |
Benchmark Metrics
Paco Long Term Winners has an annualized alpha of 27.09%, beta of 1.06, and R² of 0.47 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 08, 2001.
- This portfolio captured 192.26% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 70.11% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.47 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 27.09%
- Beta
- 1.06
- R²
- 0.47
- Upside Capture
- 192.26%
- Downside Capture
- 70.11%
Expense Ratio
Paco Long Term Winners has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Paco Long Term Winners ranks 9 for risk / return — in the bottom 9% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.26 | 0.88 | -0.62 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.58 | 1.37 | -0.79 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.21 | -0.14 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.62 | 1.39 | -0.77 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.24 | 6.43 | -5.19 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 10 | -0.81 | -1.03 | 0.86 | -0.76 | -1.45 |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 36 | -0.07 | 0.24 | 1.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 21 | -0.49 | -0.45 | 0.94 | -0.44 | -0.89 |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 90 | 2.42 | 2.74 | 1.41 | 4.05 | 10.46 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Paco Long Term Winners provided a 0.16% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.16% | 0.23% | 0.39% | 0.29% | 0.43% | 0.32% | 0.64% | 0.15% | 0.27% | 0.18% | 0.16% | 0.24% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FICO Fair Isaac Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.08% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 0.50% | 0.74% | 1.37% | 0.83% | 1.37% | 0.88% | 2.20% | 0.22% | 0.55% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 0.22% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 0.15% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.32% | 0.36% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.37% | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.67% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Paco Long Term Winners . A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Paco Long Term Winners was 71.49%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 991 trading sessions.
The current Paco Long Term Winners drawdown is 15.41%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -71.49% | Jul 20, 2007 | 340 | Nov 20, 2008 | 991 | Oct 26, 2012 | 1331 |
| -48.6% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 164 | Nov 9, 2020 | 184 |
| -40.83% | Apr 22, 2002 | 121 | Oct 10, 2002 | 148 | May 14, 2003 | 269 |
| -36.25% | Sep 17, 2018 | 69 | Dec 24, 2018 | 73 | Apr 10, 2019 | 142 |
| -30.49% | Jul 26, 2021 | 202 | May 11, 2022 | 114 | Oct 24, 2022 | 316 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TPL | AXON | FICO | EME | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| TPL | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.52 |
| AXON | 0.41 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.74 |
| FICO | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| EME | 0.62 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Portfolio | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 1.00 |