Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | -6% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 20% | |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | Long-Short, Actively Managed | 20% |
RPAR RPAR Risk Parity ETF | Hedge Fund, Actively Managed | 26% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | Leveraged Bonds, Leveraged | 20% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 20% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in pp, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 2, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of KMLM
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio pp | 0.85% | -3.52% | -5.14% | -11.21% | 9.73% | 16.47% | 4.46% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
RPAR RPAR Risk Parity ETF | 0.58% | -4.89% | 4.45% | 6.49% | 16.02% | 7.42% | 2.36% | — |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.51% | -0.38% | -21.63% | -42.21% | -19.49% | 34.49% | 3.06% | 66.45% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 3.72% | -12.88% | -17.87% | -17.28% | 48.52% | 46.87% | 13.55% | 35.31% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | -0.28% | -10.73% | -3.05% | -9.57% | -17.24% | -23.47% | -29.34% | -15.81% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | -0.74% | 2.72% | 7.86% | 9.64% | 8.23% | 0.19% | 5.47% | — |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.03% | 0.30% | 0.88% | 1.84% | 4.00% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 3, 2020, pp's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +1.06%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.5 years.
Historically, 52% of months were positive and 48% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +20.1%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -16.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, pp closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.7%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -6.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.53% | 0.55% | -5.95% | 0.85% | -5.14% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.01% | -2.00% | -5.69% | -0.15% | 5.74% | 6.97% | 1.59% | -0.31% | 7.55% | 2.79% | -4.72% | -2.64% | 11.68% |
| 2024 | -1.49% | 10.84% | 6.04% | -9.89% | 6.75% | 3.03% | 2.13% | -0.74% | 4.62% | -3.94% | 11.80% | -4.90% | 24.30% |
| 2023 | 20.08% | -4.72% | 14.51% | 1.41% | 0.55% | 6.46% | -0.03% | -6.24% | -7.55% | -0.47% | 14.13% | 12.04% | 56.88% |
| 2022 | -10.78% | -0.42% | 1.43% | -16.37% | -5.88% | -13.49% | 13.49% | -9.46% | -14.04% | -0.82% | 2.90% | -8.90% | -49.61% |
| 2021 | 0.39% | 5.74% | 6.42% | 6.58% | -6.90% | 6.84% | 7.50% | 5.15% | -7.47% | 16.29% | -0.24% | -5.16% | 37.84% |
Benchmark Metrics
pp has an annualized alpha of -4.04%, beta of 1.07, and R² of 0.56 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 03, 2020.
- This portfolio participated in 143.30% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 126.26% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -4.04% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.07 and R² of 0.56, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- -4.04%
- Beta
- 1.07
- R²
- 0.56
- Upside Capture
- 126.26%
- Downside Capture
- 143.30%
Expense Ratio
pp has an expense ratio of 0.71%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
pp ranks 6 for risk / return — in the bottom 6% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.43 | 0.92 | -0.49 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.75 | 1.41 | -0.66 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.09 | 1.21 | -0.13 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.32 | 1.41 | -1.73 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.73 | 6.61 | -7.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RPAR RPAR Risk Parity ETF | 71 | 1.37 | 1.89 | 1.26 | 2.02 | 7.13 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 43 | -0.44 | -0.38 | 0.96 | -1.11 | -1.99 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 47 | 0.72 | 1.41 | 1.20 | 1.41 | 4.28 |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.51 | -0.52 | 0.94 | -0.56 | -0.89 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 40 | 0.84 | 1.22 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 3.43 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.52 | 254.20 | 180.39 | 368.00 | 4,131.71 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
pp provided a 2.20% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.20% | 2.36% | 1.63% | 1.34% | 4.04% | 1.94% | 0.63% | 0.14% | 0.22% | 0.04% | -0.00% | 0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
RPAR RPAR Risk Parity ETF | 2.13% | 2.55% | 2.51% | 3.16% | 4.01% | 2.02% | 0.76% | 0.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4.02% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.66% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the pp. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the pp was 56.05%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 1008 trading sessions.
The current pp drawdown is 14.29%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -56.05% | Nov 10, 2021 | 365 | Nov 9, 2022 | 1008 | Aug 13, 2025 | 1373 |
| -18.1% | Oct 29, 2025 | 152 | Mar 29, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -12.73% | Apr 16, 2021 | 34 | May 19, 2021 | 65 | Jul 23, 2021 | 99 |
| -11.8% | Feb 22, 2021 | 11 | Mar 4, 2021 | 37 | Apr 10, 2021 | 48 |
| -11.04% | Sep 7, 2021 | 22 | Sep 28, 2021 | 17 | Oct 15, 2021 | 39 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | KMLM | TMF | BTC-USD | TQQQ | RPAR | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.01 | -0.09 | 0.06 | 0.36 | 0.93 | 0.51 | 0.72 |
| BIL | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| KMLM | -0.09 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.28 | -0.01 | -0.09 | -0.16 | -0.07 |
| TMF | 0.06 | 0.02 | -0.28 | 1.00 | -0.00 | 0.07 | 0.63 | 0.39 |
| BTC-USD | 0.36 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.70 |
| TQQQ | 0.93 | 0.04 | -0.09 | 0.07 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.67 |
| RPAR | 0.51 | 0.03 | -0.16 | 0.63 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.62 |
| Portfolio | 0.72 | 0.03 | -0.07 | 0.39 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 1.00 |