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Bogleheads Twist v3
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bogleheads Twist v3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 23, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of FETH

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Bogleheads Twist v3
-0.54%-3.53%-2.59%-1.51%24.20%
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
-0.23%-3.83%-0.97%1.25%26.32%16.97%9.38%11.66%
FTEC
Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF
0.86%-2.66%-5.31%-5.33%40.34%23.87%15.25%21.45%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-4.10%-4.65%-2.77%30.43%22.97%13.18%19.05%
VTIP
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF
0.23%0.38%1.11%1.47%3.52%4.67%3.51%3.08%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-1.92%-8.98%8.35%20.07%49.92%32.51%21.53%13.97%
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
-3.45%-12.68%2.13%51.17%127.73%43.94%23.23%16.57%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
-1.68%-8.35%-23.44%-45.54%-18.43%
FETH
Fidelity Ethereum Fund
-3.56%-4.10%-30.50%-54.47%15.42%
BNDW
Vanguard Total World Bond ETF
0.04%-1.20%0.13%0.54%2.95%3.66%0.24%
TFLO
iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF
0.04%0.32%0.98%1.99%4.12%4.85%3.50%2.29%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 24, 2024, Bogleheads Twist v3's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.12%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.2 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, Bogleheads Twist v3 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -3.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.99%-0.58%-4.11%0.18%-2.59%
20252.30%-2.55%-1.34%1.55%5.54%3.02%3.84%2.59%3.88%1.63%-1.00%1.86%23.16%
2024-0.39%-0.58%2.62%0.25%5.59%-1.57%5.89%

Benchmark Metrics

Bogleheads Twist v3 has an annualized alpha of 8.26%, beta of 0.62, and R² of 0.64 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 24, 2024.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (85.78%) than losses (41.30%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.26% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.62 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
8.26%
Beta
0.62
0.64
Upside Capture
85.78%
Downside Capture
41.30%

Expense Ratio

Bogleheads Twist v3 has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Bogleheads Twist v3 ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Bogleheads Twist v3 Risk / Return Rank: 5555
Overall Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6868
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 Sortino Ratio Rank: 6565
Sortino Ratio Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 Calmar Ratio Rank: 5151
Calmar Ratio Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 Martin Ratio Rank: 3232
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.48

0.88

+0.60

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.06

1.37

+0.70

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.28

1.21

+0.07

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.91

1.39

+0.52

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

6.34

6.43

-0.09


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
661.241.831.271.868.47
FTEC
Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF
581.101.691.241.925.88
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
581.041.621.231.937.00
VTIP
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF
922.183.311.474.1313.26
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
781.772.191.322.579.28
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
802.002.131.382.708.21
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
4-0.51-0.490.94-0.43-0.91
FETH
Fidelity Ethereum Fund
160.100.721.080.130.25
BNDW
Vanguard Total World Bond ETF
420.981.381.171.254.55
TFLO
iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF
10014.0947.1211.68207.99757.95

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Bogleheads Twist v3 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.48
  • All Time: 1.15

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Bogleheads Twist v3 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Bogleheads Twist v3 provided a 1.98% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.98%2.02%2.06%2.07%1.75%1.26%0.82%1.42%1.29%0.76%0.73%0.63%
VT
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF
1.80%1.82%1.95%2.08%2.20%1.82%1.66%2.32%2.53%2.11%2.39%2.45%
FTEC
Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF
0.45%0.43%0.49%0.77%0.93%0.63%0.83%1.03%1.20%0.96%1.25%1.27%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
VTIP
Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF
3.62%3.81%2.70%2.86%6.84%4.68%1.20%1.95%2.45%1.52%0.76%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FETH
Fidelity Ethereum Fund
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BNDW
Vanguard Total World Bond ETF
4.18%4.12%3.90%3.73%2.02%2.58%1.56%3.05%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TFLO
iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF
4.00%4.16%5.21%4.88%1.68%0.00%0.36%2.08%1.65%0.86%0.31%0.15%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bogleheads Twist v3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Bogleheads Twist v3 was 11.62%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 24 trading sessions.

The current Bogleheads Twist v3 drawdown is 8.94%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-11.62%Dec 17, 202476Apr 8, 202524May 13, 2025100
-11.17%Jan 29, 202642Mar 30, 2026
-5.65%Jul 24, 202411Aug 7, 202412Aug 23, 202423
-4.96%Oct 21, 202523Nov 20, 202521Dec 22, 202544
-3.85%Aug 26, 20249Sep 6, 20249Sep 19, 202418

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkTFLOSGOVVTIPBNDWGLDFLOTSLVFBTCFETHFTECQQQVTPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.01-0.03-0.030.150.090.420.220.450.510.900.940.950.77
TFLO0.011.000.370.04-0.03-0.030.12-0.030.060.05-0.010.020.000.02
SGOV-0.030.371.000.08-0.020.010.13-0.010.050.03-0.06-0.03-0.05-0.02
VTIP-0.030.040.081.000.590.220.020.070.000.03-0.10-0.07-0.000.09
BNDW0.15-0.03-0.020.591.000.190.090.090.050.080.050.090.200.19
GLD0.09-0.030.010.220.191.00-0.050.740.140.100.080.090.190.40
FLOT0.420.120.130.020.09-0.051.000.010.250.230.350.380.390.30
SLV0.22-0.03-0.010.070.090.740.011.000.210.180.240.240.320.52
FBTC0.450.060.050.000.050.140.250.211.000.810.450.470.460.74
FETH0.510.050.030.030.080.100.230.180.811.000.520.540.510.80
FTEC0.90-0.01-0.06-0.100.050.080.350.240.450.521.000.960.850.76
QQQ0.940.02-0.03-0.070.090.090.380.240.470.540.961.000.890.79
VT0.950.00-0.05-0.000.200.190.390.320.460.510.850.891.000.81
Portfolio0.770.02-0.020.090.190.400.300.520.740.800.760.790.811.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 24, 2024