Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bogleheads Twist v3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 23, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of FETH
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Bogleheads Twist v3 | -0.54% | -3.53% | -2.59% | -1.51% | 24.20% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | -0.23% | -3.83% | -0.97% | 1.25% | 26.32% | 16.97% | 9.38% | 11.66% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.86% | -2.66% | -5.31% | -5.33% | 40.34% | 23.87% | 15.25% | 21.45% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -4.10% | -4.65% | -2.77% | 30.43% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 0.23% | 0.38% | 1.11% | 1.47% | 3.52% | 4.67% | 3.51% | 3.08% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.98% | 8.35% | 20.07% | 49.92% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | -3.45% | -12.68% | 2.13% | 51.17% | 127.73% | 43.94% | 23.23% | 16.57% |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | -1.68% | -8.35% | -23.44% | -45.54% | -18.43% | — | — | — |
FETH Fidelity Ethereum Fund | -3.56% | -4.10% | -30.50% | -54.47% | 15.42% | — | — | — |
BNDW Vanguard Total World Bond ETF | 0.04% | -1.20% | 0.13% | 0.54% | 2.95% | 3.66% | 0.24% | — |
TFLO iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF | 0.04% | 0.32% | 0.98% | 1.99% | 4.12% | 4.85% | 3.50% | 2.29% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 24, 2024, Bogleheads Twist v3's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.12%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.2 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +5.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Bogleheads Twist v3 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -3.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.99% | -0.58% | -4.11% | 0.18% | -2.59% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.30% | -2.55% | -1.34% | 1.55% | 5.54% | 3.02% | 3.84% | 2.59% | 3.88% | 1.63% | -1.00% | 1.86% | 23.16% |
| 2024 | -0.39% | -0.58% | 2.62% | 0.25% | 5.59% | -1.57% | 5.89% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bogleheads Twist v3 has an annualized alpha of 8.26%, beta of 0.62, and R² of 0.64 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 24, 2024.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (85.78%) than losses (41.30%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.26% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.62 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 8.26%
- Beta
- 0.62
- R²
- 0.64
- Upside Capture
- 85.78%
- Downside Capture
- 41.30%
Expense Ratio
Bogleheads Twist v3 has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bogleheads Twist v3 ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.48 | 0.88 | +0.60 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.06 | 1.37 | +0.70 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.28 | 1.21 | +0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.91 | 1.39 | +0.52 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.34 | 6.43 | -0.09 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 66 | 1.24 | 1.83 | 1.27 | 1.86 | 8.47 |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 58 | 1.10 | 1.69 | 1.24 | 1.92 | 5.88 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 58 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 92 | 2.18 | 3.31 | 1.47 | 4.13 | 13.26 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 78 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 80 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.38 | 2.70 | 8.21 |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | 4 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -0.43 | -0.91 |
FETH Fidelity Ethereum Fund | 16 | 0.10 | 0.72 | 1.08 | 0.13 | 0.25 |
BNDW Vanguard Total World Bond ETF | 42 | 0.98 | 1.38 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 4.55 |
TFLO iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF | 100 | 14.09 | 47.12 | 11.68 | 207.99 | 757.95 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bogleheads Twist v3 provided a 1.98% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.98% | 2.02% | 2.06% | 2.07% | 1.75% | 1.26% | 0.82% | 1.42% | 1.29% | 0.76% | 0.73% | 0.63% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.80% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.45% | 0.43% | 0.49% | 0.77% | 0.93% | 0.63% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 1.20% | 0.96% | 1.25% | 1.27% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 3.62% | 3.81% | 2.70% | 2.86% | 6.84% | 4.68% | 1.20% | 1.95% | 2.45% | 1.52% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FETH Fidelity Ethereum Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BNDW Vanguard Total World Bond ETF | 4.18% | 4.12% | 3.90% | 3.73% | 2.02% | 2.58% | 1.56% | 3.05% | 1.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TFLO iShares Treasury Floating Rate Bond ETF | 4.00% | 4.16% | 5.21% | 4.88% | 1.68% | 0.00% | 0.36% | 2.08% | 1.65% | 0.86% | 0.31% | 0.15% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bogleheads Twist v3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bogleheads Twist v3 was 11.62%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 24 trading sessions.
The current Bogleheads Twist v3 drawdown is 8.94%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.62% | Dec 17, 2024 | 76 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 13, 2025 | 100 |
| -11.17% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -5.65% | Jul 24, 2024 | 11 | Aug 7, 2024 | 12 | Aug 23, 2024 | 23 |
| -4.96% | Oct 21, 2025 | 23 | Nov 20, 2025 | 21 | Dec 22, 2025 | 44 |
| -3.85% | Aug 26, 2024 | 9 | Sep 6, 2024 | 9 | Sep 19, 2024 | 18 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TFLO | SGOV | VTIP | BNDW | GLD | FLOT | SLV | FBTC | FETH | FTEC | QQQ | VT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.42 | 0.22 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.77 |
| TFLO | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.04 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.12 | -0.03 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| SGOV | -0.03 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.08 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.13 | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.03 | -0.06 | -0.03 | -0.05 | -0.02 |
| VTIP | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.03 | -0.10 | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.09 |
| BNDW | 0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| GLD | 0.09 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1.00 | -0.05 | 0.74 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| FLOT | 0.42 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.09 | -0.05 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| SLV | 0.22 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.74 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.52 |
| FBTC | 0.45 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.74 |
| FETH | 0.51 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.80 |
| FTEC | 0.90 | -0.01 | -0.06 | -0.10 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.76 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.02 | -0.03 | -0.07 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.79 |
| VT | 0.95 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 0.85 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Portfolio | 0.77 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.52 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 1.00 |