Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 32% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 26% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Global Equities | 22% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | Ultrashort Bond | 20% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 1/2026 Modified B, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.17% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 22.93% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 1/2026 Modified B | 0.30% | -2.32% | 6.03% | 6.61% | 21.66% | 19.53% | 11.68% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -10.21% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 23.81% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.02% | 0.30% | 1.61% | 1.78% | 3.95% | 4.71% | 3.56% | — |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.55% | -0.07% | 9.08% | 9.44% | 24.36% | 20.95% | 13.43% | 15.50% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 0.40% | 0.71% | 13.69% | 15.52% | 28.39% | 18.37% | 8.32% | 10.22% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 28, 2020, 1/2026 Modified B's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.10%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 5.3 years.
Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2022 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 1/2026 Modified B closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.3%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -3.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.94% | 3.38% | -6.44% | 4.75% | 2.29% | -2.50% | 6.03% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.45% | 0.56% | 0.96% | 1.85% | 3.08% | 2.72% | 0.45% | 2.96% | 5.05% | 2.12% | 1.64% | 1.24% | 29.31% |
| 2024 | -0.14% | 2.53% | 4.06% | -0.92% | 2.96% | 1.00% | 2.43% | 1.94% | 2.73% | -0.09% | 1.07% | -1.66% | 16.93% |
| 2023 | 5.48% | -3.10% | 3.95% | 1.22% | -0.88% | 2.61% | 2.59% | -1.74% | -3.43% | 0.56% | 5.39% | 3.02% | 16.23% |
| 2022 | -2.73% | 0.07% | 1.41% | -4.75% | -0.47% | -4.68% | 3.07% | -3.07% | -5.89% | 2.90% | 6.90% | -1.56% | -9.18% |
| 2021 | -1.11% | -0.20% | 1.70% | 3.24% | 2.91% | -1.32% | 1.20% | 1.25% | -3.10% | 3.25% | -1.35% | 3.13% | 9.74% |
Benchmark Metrics
1/2026 Modified B has an annualized alpha of 5.02%, beta of 0.53, and R2 of 0.70 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 28, 2020.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (60.76%) than losses (52.17%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.02% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.53 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 5.02%
- Beta
- 0.53
- R²
- 0.70
- Upside Capture
- 60.76%
- Downside Capture
- 52.17%
Expense Ratio
1/2026 Modified B has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
1/2026 Modified B ranks 37 for risk / return — below 37% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 1/2026 Modified B and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.80 | 1.86 | -0.06 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.35 | 2.53 | -0.18 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.34 | +0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.37 | 2.53 | -0.16 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.26 | 11.37 | -2.11 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 26 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.28 | 275.69 | 195.55 | 398.20 | 4,461.98 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 70 | 1.99 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.75 | 12.42 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 61 | 1.77 | 2.44 | 1.33 | 2.53 | 9.72 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
1/2026 Modified B provided a 1.69% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.69% | 1.88% | 2.16% | 2.15% | 1.51% | 1.09% | 0.97% | 1.28% | 1.36% | 1.17% | 1.29% | 1.30% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.85% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.05% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 2.67% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.24% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.18% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 1/2026 Modified B. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 1/2026 Modified B was 16.75%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 184 trading sessions.
The current 1/2026 Modified B drawdown is 2.59%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -16.75%Oct 2022 | 11mo 3d | 9mo 1d | 1y 7moNov 2021 - Jul 2023 |
2026 pullback2026 | -9.19%Mar 2026 | 1mo 25d | 2mo 8d | 4mo 3dJan 2026 - Jun 2026 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.06%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 16d | 2mo 4dFeb 2025 - Apr 2025 |
2023 pullback2023 | -6.37%Oct 2023 | 2mo 3d | 1mo 25d | 3mo 28dAug 2023 - Nov 2023 |
2020 pullback2020 | -5.35%Sep 2020 | 20d | 1mo 21d | 2mo 11dSep 2020 - Nov 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.87, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.28, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
1/2026 Modified B correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.75 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 28, 2020 | 0.81 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.02.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 1/2026 Modified B is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 1/2026 Modified B is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification