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Duncan Smith
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


GC=F 25.00%SI=F 25.00%GDX 25.00%SIL 25.00%CommodityCommodityEquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorTarget Weight
GC=F
Gold
25%
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Gold, Precious Metals
25%
SI=F
Silver
25%
SIL
Global X Silver Miners ETF
Precious Metals
25%

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Duncan Smith, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 20, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of SIL

Returns By Period

As of Apr 7, 2026, the Duncan Smith returned 7.73% Year-To-Date and 16.52% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.44%-1.90%-3.41%-1.91%30.31%17.22%10.14%12.44%
Portfolio
Duncan Smith
0.07%-9.80%7.73%30.00%123.10%41.24%22.96%16.52%
GC=F
Gold
0.53%-9.13%8.10%18.43%55.25%32.46%21.86%14.17%
SI=F
Silver
1.46%-13.59%3.18%51.51%149.23%42.46%23.59%16.83%
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
-0.81%-7.46%9.39%20.22%126.73%41.32%24.27%17.05%
SIL
Global X Silver Miners ETF
-0.74%-9.16%10.11%28.54%168.08%44.78%18.58%14.27%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 21, 2010, Duncan Smith's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.01%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.7 years.

Historically, 50% of months were positive and 50% were negative. The best month was Jul 2020 with a return of +22.0%, while the worst month was Sep 2011 at -19.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, Duncan Smith closed higher 51% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +10.5%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -18.5%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202610.73%19.50%-19.03%0.55%7.73%
202510.27%0.23%12.39%2.68%2.36%5.92%-0.26%15.32%17.42%-1.27%13.20%10.82%131.33%
2024-6.10%-3.99%13.82%6.42%9.15%-4.52%6.17%-0.19%6.03%5.01%-5.40%-6.49%18.79%
20236.21%-10.83%13.80%1.55%-6.25%-2.74%5.68%-3.65%-7.91%3.70%10.02%-0.23%6.52%
2022-5.37%7.93%6.07%-7.17%-6.46%-9.00%-1.25%-8.94%2.03%0.79%13.71%3.37%-6.96%
2021-2.15%-5.56%-2.25%4.67%11.99%-9.99%0.37%-4.26%-8.39%7.14%-2.02%1.54%-10.59%

Benchmark Metrics

Duncan Smith has an annualized alpha of 6.41%, beta of 0.39, and R² of 0.06 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 21, 2010.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (41.58%) than losses (38.01%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.39 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.06 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.06 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
6.41%
Beta
0.39
0.06
Upside Capture
41.58%
Downside Capture
38.01%

Expense Ratio

Duncan Smith has an expense ratio of 0.29%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Duncan Smith ranks 60 for risk / return — better than 60% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


Duncan Smith Risk / Return Rank: 6060
Overall Rank
Duncan Smith Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8282
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Duncan Smith Sortino Ratio Rank: 4141
Sortino Ratio Rank
Duncan Smith Omega Ratio Rank: 6666
Omega Ratio Rank
Duncan Smith Calmar Ratio Rank: 6969
Calmar Ratio Rank
Duncan Smith Martin Ratio Rank: 4444
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.58

1.84

+0.73

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.70

2.97

-0.27

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.45

1.40

+0.05

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.68

1.82

+0.86

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

8.37

7.76

+0.61


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
GC=F
Gold
891.922.321.362.559.23
SI=F
Silver
792.002.241.412.516.76
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
912.822.911.423.4512.19
SIL
Global X Silver Miners ETF
943.493.281.484.1714.01

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Duncan Smith Sharpe ratios as of Apr 7, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.58
  • 5-Year: 0.76
  • 10-Year: 0.57
  • All Time: 0.29

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.63 to 2.54, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Duncan Smith compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Duncan Smith provided a 0.44% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.44%0.48%0.90%0.55%0.54%0.82%0.61%0.55%0.43%0.19%0.90%0.31%
GC=F
Gold
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SI=F
Silver
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
0.67%0.74%1.19%1.61%1.66%1.67%0.53%0.67%0.50%0.76%0.26%0.85%
SIL
Global X Silver Miners ETF
1.07%1.18%2.40%0.59%0.48%1.59%1.92%1.53%1.21%0.02%3.34%0.38%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Duncan Smith. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Duncan Smith was 69.90%, occurring on Jan 19, 2016. Recovery took 2396 trading sessions.

The current Duncan Smith drawdown is 21.79%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-69.9%Sep 9, 20111191Jan 19, 20162396Apr 15, 20253587
-29.17%Jan 29, 202648Mar 26, 2026
-18.38%May 1, 201150Jun 27, 201148Aug 22, 201198
-14.94%Oct 17, 202514Nov 4, 202520Dec 1, 202534
-14.11%Jan 4, 201119Jan 25, 201129Feb 28, 201148

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkGC=FSI=FGDXSILPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.020.140.200.290.21
GC=F0.021.000.720.630.600.77
SI=F0.140.721.000.570.620.80
GDX0.200.630.571.000.910.92
SIL0.290.600.620.911.000.93
Portfolio0.210.770.800.920.931.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Apr 21, 2010