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All Weather - regular 2
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IAU 26.00%QQQ 36.00%VOO 30.00%SHLD 8.00%CommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All Weather - regular 2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 13, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of SHLD

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-2.33%-3.84%-1.98%29.73%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
All Weather - regular 2
-0.51%-4.98%1.82%5.25%44.89%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-1.94%-9.32%8.34%20.10%53.58%32.68%21.72%14.14%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.65%-4.25%14.15%5.21%70.43%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
0.11%-2.19%-3.55%-1.41%31.08%18.47%11.96%14.19%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.34%-4.65%-2.77%39.07%22.97%13.18%19.05%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, All Weather - regular 2's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.08%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.8 years.

Historically, 81% of months were positive and 19% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -7.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, All Weather - regular 2 closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.2%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20266.45%1.87%-7.11%1.08%1.82%
20253.84%-0.22%-0.68%3.08%5.70%4.24%1.48%2.43%7.59%2.87%0.06%0.95%35.80%
20240.87%4.51%4.11%-2.10%4.41%3.08%1.68%2.14%2.86%0.59%3.19%-1.32%26.51%
2023-3.63%0.97%7.61%3.95%8.84%

Benchmark Metrics

All Weather - regular 2 has an annualized alpha of 14.02%, beta of 0.81, and R² of 0.74 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.

  • This portfolio captured 109.69% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 31.61% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 14.02% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
14.02%
Beta
0.81
0.74
Upside Capture
109.69%
Downside Capture
31.61%

Expense Ratio

All Weather - regular 2 has an expense ratio of 0.18%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

All Weather - regular 2 ranks 83 for risk / return — in the top 83% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


All Weather - regular 2 Risk / Return Rank: 8383
Overall Rank
All Weather - regular 2 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8686
Sharpe Ratio Rank
All Weather - regular 2 Sortino Ratio Rank: 8787
Sortino Ratio Rank
All Weather - regular 2 Omega Ratio Rank: 9090
Omega Ratio Rank
All Weather - regular 2 Calmar Ratio Rank: 7575
Calmar Ratio Rank
All Weather - regular 2 Martin Ratio Rank: 7676
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.92

0.88

+1.04

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.66

1.37

+1.30

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.41

1.21

+0.21

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.68

1.39

+1.29

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

11.16

6.43

+4.72


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
791.782.211.332.589.32
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
892.262.921.393.8311.11
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
530.981.491.231.537.13
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
581.041.621.231.937.00

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

All Weather - regular 2 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.92
  • All Time: 2.00

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of All Weather - regular 2 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

All Weather - regular 2 provided a 0.57% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.57%0.55%0.62%0.68%0.80%0.53%0.66%0.83%0.95%0.83%0.99%0.99%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.48%0.55%0.53%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
1.18%1.13%1.24%1.46%1.69%1.25%1.54%1.88%2.06%1.78%2.02%2.10%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All Weather - regular 2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the All Weather - regular 2 was 12.58%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current All Weather - regular 2 drawdown is 8.59%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-12.58%Jan 29, 202642Mar 30, 2026
-12.46%Feb 19, 202535Apr 8, 202518May 5, 202553
-7.84%Jul 17, 202416Aug 7, 202426Sep 13, 202442
-5.38%Sep 15, 202313Oct 3, 202325Nov 7, 202338
-5.12%Oct 21, 202523Nov 20, 202514Dec 11, 202537

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.41, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkIAUSHLDQQQVOOPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.100.470.941.000.85
IAU0.101.000.240.080.110.50
SHLD0.470.241.000.390.470.58
QQQ0.940.080.391.000.930.84
VOO1.000.110.470.931.000.85
Portfolio0.850.500.580.840.851.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Sep 14, 2023