Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bogleheads Twist v2, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 23, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of FETH
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Bogleheads Twist v2 | -0.17% | -2.95% | -1.15% | 0.84% | 19.11% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | -0.23% | -3.83% | -0.97% | 1.25% | 26.32% | 16.97% | 9.38% | 11.66% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.86% | -2.66% | -5.31% | -5.33% | 40.34% | 23.87% | 15.25% | 21.45% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -4.10% | -4.65% | -2.77% | 30.43% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 0.23% | 0.38% | 1.11% | 1.47% | 3.52% | 4.67% | 3.51% | 3.08% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.98% | 8.35% | 20.07% | 49.92% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | -3.45% | -12.68% | 2.13% | 51.17% | 127.73% | 43.94% | 23.23% | 16.57% |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | -1.68% | -8.35% | -23.44% | -45.54% | -18.43% | — | — | — |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.22% | -0.91% | 0.31% | 0.97% | 3.73% | 3.53% | 0.30% | 1.70% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | -0.10% | -1.43% | -0.08% | 0.10% | 2.25% | 3.79% | 0.18% | 1.74% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.26% | 0.69% | -0.72% | -1.22% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 24, 2024, Bogleheads Twist v2's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +0.94%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.2 years.
Historically, 73% of months were positive and 27% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +3.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Bogleheads Twist v2 closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.9%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -3.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.69% | 1.03% | -4.11% | 0.34% | -1.15% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.77% | -0.13% | -1.17% | 1.00% | 3.07% | 3.23% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 3.72% | 1.88% | -0.12% | 1.10% | 19.65% |
| 2024 | 0.22% | 0.61% | 2.35% | -1.13% | 3.42% | -1.96% | 3.47% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bogleheads Twist v2 has an annualized alpha of 7.37%, beta of 0.46, and R² of 0.66 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 24, 2024.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (68.65%) than losses (31.24%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 7.37% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.46 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 7.37%
- Beta
- 0.46
- R²
- 0.66
- Upside Capture
- 68.65%
- Downside Capture
- 31.24%
Expense Ratio
Bogleheads Twist v2 has an expense ratio of 0.13%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bogleheads Twist v2 ranks 64 for risk / return — better than 64% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.63 | 0.88 | +0.74 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.25 | 1.37 | +0.88 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.21 | +0.11 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.08 | 1.39 | +0.69 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.49 | 6.43 | +1.05 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 66 | 1.24 | 1.83 | 1.27 | 1.86 | 8.47 |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 58 | 1.10 | 1.69 | 1.24 | 1.92 | 5.88 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 58 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 92 | 2.18 | 3.31 | 1.47 | 4.13 | 13.26 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 78 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 80 | 2.00 | 2.13 | 1.38 | 2.70 | 8.21 |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | 4 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -0.43 | -0.91 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 47 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.71 | 4.64 |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 33 | 0.82 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 0.89 | 3.55 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 9 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bogleheads Twist v2 provided a 2.46% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.46% | 2.46% | 2.26% | 2.09% | 2.35% | 1.73% | 1.15% | 1.71% | 1.89% | 1.54% | 1.50% | 1.39% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.80% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.45% | 0.43% | 0.49% | 0.77% | 0.93% | 0.63% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 1.20% | 0.96% | 1.25% | 1.27% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 3.62% | 3.81% | 2.70% | 2.86% | 6.84% | 4.68% | 1.20% | 1.95% | 2.45% | 1.52% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.92% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 4.47% | 4.39% | 4.18% | 4.42% | 1.51% | 3.74% | 1.11% | 3.40% | 3.01% | 2.23% | 1.89% | 1.63% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bogleheads Twist v2. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bogleheads Twist v2 was 8.25%, occurring on Mar 27, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current Bogleheads Twist v2 drawdown is 6.16%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -8.25% | Jan 29, 2026 | 41 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.05% | Dec 9, 2024 | 82 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 13, 2025 | 106 |
| -3.41% | Oct 21, 2025 | 23 | Nov 20, 2025 | 13 | Dec 10, 2025 | 36 |
| -3.26% | Aug 1, 2024 | 5 | Aug 7, 2024 | 7 | Aug 16, 2024 | 12 |
| -2.32% | Aug 26, 2024 | 9 | Sep 6, 2024 | 5 | Sep 13, 2024 | 14 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.54, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | VTIP | SLV | FBTC | BNDX | TLT | IEF | FETH | BND | FTEC | QQQ | VT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 0.22 | 0.45 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.51 | 0.14 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| GLD | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.74 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| VTIP | -0.03 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.66 | 0.03 | 0.62 | -0.10 | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.20 |
| SLV | 0.22 | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.54 |
| FBTC | 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 0.06 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.60 |
| BNDX | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.05 | 0.73 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| TLT | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.48 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.05 | 0.94 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| IEF | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.97 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| FETH | 0.51 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.81 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| BND | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.62 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.97 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| FTEC | 0.90 | 0.08 | -0.10 | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | 0.09 | -0.07 | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.09 | 0.05 | -0.00 | 0.54 | 0.08 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.80 |
| VT | 0.95 | 0.19 | -0.00 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.51 | 0.19 | 0.85 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.44 | 0.20 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 0.83 | 1.00 |