Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
The All-Weather portfolio is an investment strategy developed by Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, a prominent hedge fund. It is designed to be a globally diversified portfolio that can perform well in various market conditions, hence the name "All Weather." The portfolio is intended to be relatively simple and easy to implement, with a mix of stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies.
The core of the All Weather portfolio is a combination of 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, and 15% commodities. The specific investments within each category can vary, but the overall allocation is meant to be relatively stable over time, which could be achieved through regular rebalancing.
One of the fundamental principles behind the All Weather portfolio is the idea of "risk parity," which seeks to balance risk across different asset classes rather than maximizing returns from any particular asset. The goal is to create a portfolio that can weather market volatility and produce consistent returns over the long term.
Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 7.50% |
GLD SPDR Gold Trust | Precious Metals, Gold | 7.50% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 15% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 40% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 3, 2006, corresponding to the inception date of DBC
Returns By Period
As of May 9, 2025, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned 1.55% Year-To-Date and 5.06% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| YTD | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 | -3.70% | 13.67% | -5.18% | 9.18% | 14.14% | 10.43% |
| Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | 1.55% | 4.50% | -0.87% | 6.82% | 2.56% | 5.06% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -3.64% | 14.17% | -5.14% | 10.03% | 15.30% | 11.75% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -1.96% | 3.97% | -3.37% | -4.95% | 15.73% | 2.84% |
GLD SPDR Gold Trust | 25.81% | 10.69% | 22.02% | 42.63% | 13.73% | 10.40% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.27% | -0.36% | 2.21% | 5.73% | -2.84% | 0.93% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.93% | -1.26% | -2.78% | 0.41% | -9.53% | -0.61% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.92% | 2.24% | -1.24% | -0.85% | -0.47% | 1.55% | |||||||
| 2024 | -0.56% | 0.34% | 2.43% | -3.99% | 2.92% | 1.79% | 2.64% | 1.70% | 2.07% | -2.48% | 2.57% | -3.74% | 5.46% |
| 2023 | 6.16% | -3.89% | 3.90% | 0.59% | -1.87% | 2.02% | 0.81% | -2.05% | -5.22% | -2.86% | 7.42% | 5.53% | 10.02% |
| 2022 | -3.24% | -0.41% | -0.86% | -6.88% | -0.73% | -3.79% | 3.87% | -3.87% | -7.56% | 0.07% | 5.64% | -3.09% | -19.65% |
| 2021 | -1.71% | -1.31% | -1.34% | 3.52% | 1.09% | 2.32% | 2.59% | 0.52% | -2.62% | 3.46% | 0.08% | 0.97% | 7.61% |
| 2020 | 3.26% | 0.37% | -1.47% | 4.76% | 1.86% | 1.37% | 4.83% | 0.36% | -1.46% | -2.42% | 4.65% | 1.92% | 19.19% |
| 2019 | 3.57% | 0.69% | 2.79% | 0.35% | 0.78% | 3.50% | 0.45% | 4.61% | -0.97% | 0.55% | 0.64% | 0.18% | 18.38% |
| 2018 | 0.40% | -2.87% | 0.89% | -0.70% | 1.89% | 0.09% | -0.01% | 1.63% | -1.04% | -3.70% | 0.80% | 0.28% | -2.47% |
| 2017 | 1.28% | 2.08% | -0.50% | 1.04% | 1.08% | 0.31% | 0.84% | 1.95% | -0.52% | 0.85% | 1.28% | 1.48% | 11.72% |
| 2016 | 1.12% | 2.36% | 2.08% | 0.99% | 0.41% | 4.32% | 1.71% | -0.68% | -0.17% | -2.87% | -2.98% | 0.68% | 6.93% |
| 2015 | 4.00% | -1.54% | -0.38% | -0.77% | -0.81% | -2.34% | 1.09% | -1.88% | -0.09% | 2.34% | -1.19% | -1.28% | -3.00% |
| 2014 | 2.04% | 2.50% | 0.12% | 1.09% | 1.76% | 1.25% | -0.99% | 3.38% | -2.60% | 1.67% | 1.52% | 0.81% | 13.14% |
Expense Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
The current rank of Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is 50, indicating average performance compared to other portfolios on our website. Here’s a breakdown of how it compares using common performance measures.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.51 | 0.84 | 1.12 | 0.52 | 1.99 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -0.31 | -0.38 | 0.96 | -0.11 | -0.92 |
GLD SPDR Gold Trust | 2.45 | 3.20 | 1.41 | 5.12 | 13.67 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.87 | 1.29 | 1.15 | 0.29 | 1.82 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.03 | 0.14 | 1.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
Dividends
Dividend yield
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio provided a 3.10% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.10% | 3.03% | 2.59% | 1.90% | 1.09% | 1.19% | 1.87% | 2.10% | 1.76% | 1.89% | 1.92% | 1.90% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.35% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.67% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% | 1.76% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 5.32% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.72% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% | 2.05% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.36% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% | 2.67% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio was 24.28%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio drawdown is 6.22%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.28% | Nov 10, 2021 | 238 | Oct 20, 2022 | — | — | — |
| -15.56% | May 21, 2008 | 123 | Nov 12, 2008 | 226 | Oct 7, 2009 | 349 |
| -13.99% | Mar 9, 2020 | 8 | Mar 18, 2020 | 29 | Apr 29, 2020 | 37 |
| -8.23% | Feb 3, 2015 | 237 | Jan 11, 2016 | 84 | May 11, 2016 | 321 |
| -7.37% | May 3, 2013 | 37 | Jun 25, 2013 | 170 | Feb 27, 2014 | 207 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio volatility is 5.01%, representing the average percentage change in the investments's value, either up or down over the past month. The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| ^GSPC | GLD | DBC | VTI | IEF | TLT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ^GSPC | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.33 | 0.99 | -0.28 | -0.27 | 0.42 |
| GLD | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.44 |
| DBC | 0.33 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.34 | -0.17 | -0.19 | 0.30 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 1.00 | -0.28 | -0.27 | 0.42 |
| IEF | -0.28 | 0.22 | -0.17 | -0.28 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.59 |
| TLT | -0.27 | 0.18 | -0.19 | -0.27 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Portfolio | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 1.00 |
AI Insight on Diversification
The portfolio is moderately diversified, with a mix of asset classes that exhibit varying degrees of correlation. The correlation matrix shows that Treasury bond ETFs (IEF and TLT) are highly correlated with each other (0.92), which suggests some concentration risk within the fixed income portion. This high correlation may reduce diversification benefits between these two bond holdings.
On the other hand, the portfolio includes assets with relatively low correlations, such as VTI (U.S. equities) and GLD (gold), which have a correlation of only 0.07. Similarly, DBC (commodities) has low to moderate correlations with other assets, including a negative correlation with IEF (-0.17) and TLT (-0.19). These low or negative correlations help enhance diversification by reducing overall portfolio volatility.
Looking at the portfolio’s correlation with individual positions, TLT has the highest correlation at 0.63, followed by IEF at 0.59 and VTI at 0.42. This indicates that the portfolio’s performance is more influenced by the bond holdings and equities than by gold or commodities. GLD and DBC have lower correlations with the portfolio (0.44 and 0.30, respectively), suggesting they play a smaller but important role in diversification.
No single position overwhelmingly dominates the portfolio, but the relatively higher correlations of TLT and IEF with the portfolio suggest that fixed income assets have a significant influence on overall returns and risk. The presence of lowly correlated assets like gold and commodities balances this influence, preventing the portfolio from being overly concentrated.
In summary, the portfolio achieves a reasonable level of diversification by combining asset classes with low to moderate correlations, though the strong correlation between the two bond ETFs indicates some concentration within fixed income. The inclusion of equities, gold, and commodities helps mitigate this concentration and supports the portfolio’s risk management objectives.